{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-0M39GH7W59",
  "slug": "unit-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch",
  "question": "Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "token-launch",
    "fdv-valuation",
    "market-cap",
    "post-launch",
    "2028"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the fully diluted valuation of the Unit token one day after its launch. Eight binary strikes span $200M to $3B, forming an implied probability distribution across FDV outcomes. All markets resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, using total supply multiplied by the most liquid price source. The strike ladder structure prices magnitude, not direction, giving traders a continuous read on expected valuation range at launch.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-DK30RQC941",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.41,
    "implied_probability": 0.41,
    "as_of": "2026-09-06T06:00:48.475Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DK30RQC941",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0M39GH7W59",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x70eb82556e062975ed23ff8e07a355f132a79f17ef6267ee8be0a8c283ef7dbd",
      "question": "Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Unit's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/) doesn't launch a ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$200M: The named token's fully diluted valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by the most liquid price source, must exceed the specified threshold at 4:00 PM ET one day after public launch to resolve Yes.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Unit's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://hyperunit.xyz/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "hyperunit.xyz",
            "url": "https://hyperunit.xyz/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 37,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.41,
      "implied_probability": 0.41,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-06T06:00:48.475Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 332.18,
      "volume_total_usd": 104374.855736,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 200000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-4818D616F0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "unit"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XMJ09C7CG5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0M39GH7W59",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7751647558c676e670214b1161ba938c16417b09c7b577310ad80652d70066c1",
      "question": "Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Unit's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/) doesn't launch a ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$400M: The named token's fully diluted valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by the most liquid price source, must exceed the specified threshold at 4:00 PM ET one day after public launch to resolve Yes.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Unit's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://hyperunit.xyz/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "hyperunit.xyz",
            "url": "https://hyperunit.xyz/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 37,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.33,
      "implied_probability": 0.33,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-06T04:00:34.553Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 765.073938,
      "volume_total_usd": 57185.477322000006,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 400000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-53C8528059",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "unit"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-85CQ2Y65F1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0M39GH7W59",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc8bf61693542486a6d63b8b2ae3a808cfbfdb0f2f0f4d95d011009d096882b91",
      "question": "Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Unit's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/) doesn't launch a ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$600M: The named token's fully diluted valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by the most liquid price source, must exceed the specified threshold at 4:00 PM ET one day after public launch to resolve Yes.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Unit's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://hyperunit.xyz/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "hyperunit.xyz",
            "url": "https://hyperunit.xyz/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 37,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.16,
      "implied_probability": 0.16,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-06T06:00:48.475Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 370,
      "volume_total_usd": 20350.277418,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 600000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-B2736D3423",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "unit"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-28BNGBQBY5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0M39GH7W59",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe79a0a415c0a6f012270ba152608b52caa0b721bde34ade3c808ecc63f988e7e",
      "question": "Unit FDV above $800M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Unit's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/) doesn't launch a ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$800M: The named token's fully diluted valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by the most liquid price source, must exceed the specified threshold at 4:00 PM ET one day after public launch to resolve Yes.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Unit's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://hyperunit.xyz/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "hyperunit.xyz",
            "url": "https://hyperunit.xyz/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 37,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.15,
      "implied_probability": 0.15,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-05T02:00:11.212Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 7812.066809000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 800000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-DEA0CA4AE5",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "unit"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GJF3046KF6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0M39GH7W59",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2d2be55da0447bc9e4fd4f14f4c8ea3a81031fb44ff8105b23469d6b4ef1e60b",
      "question": "Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Unit's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/) doesn't launch a ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$1B: The named token's fully diluted valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by the most liquid price source, must exceed the specified threshold at 4:00 PM ET one day after public launch to resolve Yes.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Unit's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://hyperunit.xyz/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "hyperunit.xyz",
            "url": "https://hyperunit.xyz/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 37,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.13,
      "implied_probability": 0.13,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-06T06:00:48.475Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 32,
      "volume_total_usd": 10886.048121000003,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-5720391CD9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "unit"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HFGFKHG1M1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0M39GH7W59",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xec250d64dc6ea833256ae22e85dc47f1c613f7ad97be4f0be0948ac7c78b2fad",
      "question": "Unit FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Unit's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/) doesn't launch a ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$1.5B: The named token's fully diluted valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by the most liquid price source, must exceed the specified threshold at 4:00 PM ET one day after public launch to resolve Yes.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Unit's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://hyperunit.xyz/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "hyperunit.xyz",
            "url": "https://hyperunit.xyz/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 37,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.11,
      "implied_probability": 0.11,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-06T06:00:48.475Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 175.324544,
      "volume_total_usd": 4222.656604,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1500000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-3A30A3673A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "unit"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-44GN85FWT0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0M39GH7W59",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa76a275f67052768be0d7ea46a8f181e8371c448bca393d6108c44fa40293c81",
      "question": "Unit FDV above $2B one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Unit's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/) doesn't launch a ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$2B: The named token's fully diluted valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by the most liquid price source, must exceed the specified threshold at 4:00 PM ET one day after public launch to resolve Yes.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Unit's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://hyperunit.xyz/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "hyperunit.xyz",
            "url": "https://hyperunit.xyz/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 37,
        "caps": [
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          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.12,
      "implied_probability": 0.12,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-01T23:00:40.271Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 16757.168847999998,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-352C0566A8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "unit"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VRCZFVYCM8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0M39GH7W59",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x235ad1d416e9b135f6e36a796b4e410de36083be2a60b4831da9cb316037b03c",
      "question": "Unit FDV above $3B one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Unit's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/) doesn't launch a ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$3B: The named token's fully diluted valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by the most liquid price source, must exceed the specified threshold at 4:00 PM ET one day after public launch to resolve Yes.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Unit's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://hyperunit.xyz/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "hyperunit.xyz",
            "url": "https://hyperunit.xyz/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
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        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 37,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.11,
      "implied_probability": 0.11,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-06T06:00:48.475Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 54.818269,
      "volume_total_usd": 6293.852319,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-9DA8B9F4AC",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "unit"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-0M39GH7W59",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}