{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-3QMHP43P20",
  "slug": "university-of-michigan-consumer-sentiment-june-2026",
  "question": "Will the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be below 70 in June 2026?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "consumer-sentiment",
    "economy",
    "united-states",
    "economic-indicators",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final sentiment reading for June 2026, published June 26, 2026. Seven Polymarket contracts partition the index into discrete score bands from below 40.0 to 55.0 and above, forming a full probability distribution across the range. Unlike a single binary or continuous contract, this structure lets traders express views on specific index levels simultaneously. All seven contracts resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the official University of Michigan release.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-22ZBM1PHW7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-22ZBM1PHW7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3QMHP43P20",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x43a553e6eeb754b68d14ee5f079fee88f437e730ce17719f7e03e375c8538ee0",
      "question": "Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in June?",
      "description": "This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for June 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for June 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for June 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on June 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Reso",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "<40.0: University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for June 2026, published June 26, 2026, determines which bracket contains the Index of Consumer Sentiment value.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-26T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-26T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for June 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for June 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for June 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on June 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. \n\nNote: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "data.sca.isr.umich.edu",
            "url": "https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5844.551397,
      "volume_total_usd": 33523.719646,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 40,
      "question_id": "CMX-33CF432BEA",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic-indicator",
        "sentiment",
        "umich",
        "umich consumer sentiment"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KXNVWBQ3X1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3QMHP43P20",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x16151b7165b012d9e4c9b7c334527d74e68a368d7703a2b696bfe3cae9f93966",
      "question": "Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in June?",
      "description": "This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for June 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for June 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for June 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on June 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Reso",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "43.0–45.9: University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for June 2026, published June 26, 2026, determines which bracket contains the Index of Consumer Sentiment value.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-26T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-26T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for June 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for June 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for June 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on June 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. \n\nNote: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "data.sca.isr.umich.edu",
            "url": "https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1461.971546,
      "volume_total_usd": 13109.198959999998,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 43,
      "question_id": "CMX-2C21598F16",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic-indicator",
        "sentiment",
        "umich",
        "umich consumer sentiment"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JM1V8995V9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3QMHP43P20",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1e8dfa941df4bd52858b5635cec5644ca635f79a80b609fb249a9545314c6745",
      "question": "Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in June?",
      "description": "This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for June 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for June 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for June 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on June 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Reso",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "49.0–51.9: University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for June 2026, published June 26, 2026, determines which bracket contains the Index of Consumer Sentiment value.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-26T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-26T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for June 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for June 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for June 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on June 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. \n\nNote: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "data.sca.isr.umich.edu",
            "url": "https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5868.133298999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 14496.307512000003,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 49,
      "question_id": "CMX-6DEC382D1C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic-indicator",
        "sentiment",
        "umich",
        "umich consumer sentiment"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1GV2QZ6SH0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3QMHP43P20",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x29b7afef4bfb74b503e6807d9d391d0595d3e971b797cccd0e2339f0c36b6d19",
      "question": "Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be at least 55.0 in June?",
      "description": "This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for June 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for June 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for June 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on June 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Reso",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "≥55.0: University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for June 2026, published June 26, 2026, determines which bracket contains the Index of Consumer Sentiment value.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-26T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-26T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for June 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for June 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for June 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on June 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. \n\nNote: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "data.sca.isr.umich.edu",
            "url": "https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1891.135674,
      "volume_total_usd": 4910.5230839999995,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 55,
      "question_id": "CMX-F0338CDC68",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic-indicator",
        "sentiment",
        "umich",
        "umich consumer sentiment"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6G631J75X6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3QMHP43P20",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9c5932d401b4c0425b616f75437cc3fdcd984706e6971fc110c938e15fbef491",
      "question": "Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 and 42.9 in June?",
      "description": "This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for June 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for June 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for June 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on June 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Reso",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "40.0–42.9: University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for June 2026, published June 26, 2026, determines which bracket contains the Index of Consumer Sentiment value.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-26T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-26T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for June 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for June 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for June 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on June 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. \n\nNote: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "data.sca.isr.umich.edu",
            "url": "https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2662.499869,
      "volume_total_usd": 17334.139185999997,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 40,
      "question_id": "CMX-3E5B4E6A81",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic-indicator",
        "sentiment",
        "umich",
        "umich consumer sentiment"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MQCZ0MB0X9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3QMHP43P20",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x79c34b99382df430a3f7db33cdf5aca34a5d3820d4678e0f8608f416a60c9481",
      "question": "Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?",
      "description": "This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for June 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for June 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for June 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on June 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Reso",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "46.0–48.9: University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for June 2026, published June 26, 2026, determines which bracket contains the Index of Consumer Sentiment value.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-26T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-26T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for June 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for June 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for June 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on June 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. \n\nNote: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "data.sca.isr.umich.edu",
            "url": "https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 4172.080095,
      "volume_total_usd": 18991.908127,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 46,
      "question_id": "CMX-5F03A3D7E8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic-indicator",
        "sentiment",
        "umich",
        "umich consumer sentiment"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SNM48T6QH3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3QMHP43P20",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd9fb5c3a1404b606331d1d947745abe70bc3120e8ecd6f761ce03eda0032d037",
      "question": "Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in June?",
      "description": "This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for June 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for June 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for June 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on June 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Reso",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "52.0–54.9: University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for June 2026, published June 26, 2026, determines which bracket contains the Index of Consumer Sentiment value.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-26T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-26T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for June 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for June 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for June 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on June 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. \n\nNote: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "data.sca.isr.umich.edu",
            "url": "https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2813.246116,
      "volume_total_usd": 6160.122453,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 52,
      "question_id": "CMX-3E5B4E6A81",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic-indicator",
        "sentiment",
        "umich",
        "umich consumer sentiment"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-22ZBM1PHW7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-26T06:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KXNVWBQ3X1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-26T06:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JM1V8995V9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-26T06:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1GV2QZ6SH0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-26T06:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6G631J75X6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-26T06:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MQCZ0MB0X9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-26T06:00:00Z",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SNM48T6QH3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-26T06:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-3QMHP43P20",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}