{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-NT8N4PCF91",
  "slug": "us-announces-cuba-oil-sanction-relief-by-june-30",
  "question": "Will the US announce Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump",
    "us-foreign-policy",
    "cuba-sanctions",
    "2026",
    "executive-action"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether the U.S. federal government announces any reduction, suspension, or removal of oil sanctions on Cuba by June 30, 2026. A single binary contract on Polymarket covers the event; no parallel rate-level or margin market exists on a second platform. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, triggered by an official announcement from Donald Trump or the U.S. federal government. Ambiguity may arise over whether partial or conditional relief qualifies under the resolution criteria.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-P05ZHXM6B4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P05ZHXM6B4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NT8N4PCF91",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x29622357277151027e86fdb78bf95a87b87805050b089606762f7e12578a4cc8",
      "question": "US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the United States federal government officially announces any reduction, suspension, removal, or similar relief for U.S. sanctions related to the sale or transport of oil, fuel or other petroleum products to Cuba between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively rel",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "An official announcement by Donald Trump or the U.S. federal government of any reduction, suspension, or removal of sanctions on oil or petroleum product sales or transport to Cuba between market creation and June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the United States federal government officially announces any reduction, suspension, removal, or similar relief for U.S. sanctions related to the sale or transport of oil, fuel or other petroleum products to Cuba between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.\n\nAn announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.\n\nOnly definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.\n\nAny qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "the US federal government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 56,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 37,
      "volume_total_usd": 24731.052677999967,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cuba",
        "oil",
        "policy",
        "sanctions",
        "us",
        "us cuba oil"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P05ZHXM6B4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-NT8N4PCF91",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}