{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-GCZ78T77M8",
  "slug": "us-embassy-in-damaskus-reopend-by",
  "question": "Will the U.S. Embassy in Damascus be reopened in 2026? (multi-deadline series)",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "us-foreign-policy",
    "syria-damascus",
    "diplomatic-relations",
    "middle-east",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether the U.S. Embassy in Damascus will reopen by three sequential deadlines: December 31, 2025, June 30, 2026, and December 31, 2026. Each contract is a binary outcome priced on a different deadline horizon, creating a term structure of reopening probability. All three resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against an official U.S. government announcement. The December 31, 2025 contract is past its deadline and reflects the earliest settled data point in the sequence.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-TR4JC2FBF7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.007,
    "implied_probability": 0.007,
    "as_of": null
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  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GCZ78T77M8",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x6d5b3ee4e4c1ee4d901606f7738fe614f06a615853023f8046940658ed59ed27",
      "question": "U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "The United States has suspended operations of the Embassy in Damascus since February 6, 2012. As of market creation, the Government of the Czech Republic serves as the protecting power for U.S. interests in Syria and provides limited consular services to U.S. citizens.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the U.S. government announces the reopening of its embassy in Damascus or if such a reopening is otherwise confirmed by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resol",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2026: Official U.S. government announcement or confirmation of the named facility's reopening by 11:59 PM ET July 1, 2026 resolves Yes; otherwise No.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The United States has suspended operations of the Embassy in Damascus since February 6, 2012. As of market creation, the Government of the Czech Republic serves as the protecting power for U.S. interests in Syria and provides limited consular services to U.S. citizens.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the U.S. government announces the reopening of its embassy in Damascus or if such a reopening is otherwise confirmed by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.\n\nAny opening of a U.S. embassy in Damascus will qualify regardless of its exact location.\n\nAnnouncements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.\n\nThe resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S. and Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 37,
        "caps": [
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          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.31,
      "implied_probability": 0.31,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-06T20:00:46.793Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 15128.613819000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "damascus",
        "embassy",
        "embassy damascus reopening",
        "syria",
        "us-diplomacy"
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      "question": "U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30, 2026: Official U.S. government announcement or confirmation of the named facility's reopening by 11:59 PM ET July 1, 2026 resolves Yes; otherwise No.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-03T06:26:20Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The United States has suspended operations of the Embassy in Damascus since February 6, 2012. As of market creation, the Government of the Czech Republic serves as the protecting power for U.S. interests in Syria and provides limited consular services to U.S. citizens.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the U.S. government announces the reopening of its embassy in Damascus or if such a reopening is otherwise confirmed by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.\n\nAny opening of a U.S. embassy in Damascus will qualify regardless of its exact location.\n\nAnnouncements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.\n\nThe resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S. and Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
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      "last_price": 0.007,
      "implied_probability": 0.007,
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      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 414138.6687220002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "syria",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GCZ78T77M8",
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      "question": "U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2025?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2025: Official U.S. government announcement or confirmation of the named facility's reopening by 11:59 PM ET July 1, 2026 resolves Yes; otherwise No.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-01-01T09:52:33Z",
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
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      "platform": "polymarket",
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      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-01-01T09:52:33Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
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    "ref": "CM-EVT-GCZ78T77M8",
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}