{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-WMMFP7Y6G5",
  "slug": "us-enacts-ai-safety-bill-before-2027",
  "question": "Will the U.S. enact an AI safety bill before 2027?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "us-ai-regulation",
    "legislative-policy",
    "ai-safety",
    "2026",
    "tech-governance"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether the U.S. Congress passes and the President signs an AI safety bill before January 1, 2027. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, referencing Congress.gov and the Federal Register as authoritative sources. Only one platform structures this event, as a binary outcome on enactment. No cross-platform comparison is available for this question.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-0BXWQYPHY1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.1,
    "implied_probability": 0.1,
    "as_of": "2026-09-05T05:00:33.736Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0BXWQYPHY1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WMMFP7Y6G5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcdbf64cb434d132ae3eba2c6d4aa8123dde9f90bd8641a5cd31ceddee6d935b8",
      "question": "U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States  by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. \n\n- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.\n\n- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.\n\n- Usage Restrictions:  Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as intera",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Congress.gov and the Federal Register determine whether a bill meeting the specified AI safety provisions was signed into federal law by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States  by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. \n\n- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.\n\n- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.\n\n- Usage Restrictions:  Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.\n\n- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.\n\nOtherwise this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nThe resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. ",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "Congress.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "congress.gov",
            "url": "Congress.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "congress.gov",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.1,
      "implied_probability": 0.1,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-05T05:00:33.736Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 102025.599228,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-36A7673B43",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ai",
        "ai safety legislation",
        "legislation",
        "regulation",
        "u.s. policy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-WMMFP7Y6G5",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}