{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-VYFW76XHC2",
  "slug": "us-gdp-growth-in-q2-2026",
  "question": "Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 exceed 2%?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "economy",
    "economic-policy",
    "us-gdp",
    "gdp-growth",
    "q2-2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Bureau of Economic Analysis advance estimate of seasonally adjusted annualized US GDP growth for Q2 2026. Polymarket structures the event as seven mutually exclusive binary contracts spanning discrete 50-basis-point tiers from below 1.0% to above 3.5%. The full probability distribution is readable by summing implied probabilities across tiers. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle referencing the BEA advance release expected in late July 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-D7Z306NR56",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.022,
    "implied_probability": 0.022
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H1253KFBQ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VYFW76XHC2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2fbd2dd1e58234aaa3d9ad3ad8637fdbdcdca5cef384e7dba27f652afd23bc0b",
      "question": "Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 1.0%?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP \"Advance Estimate\" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product\n\nNote: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an \"Advance Estimate\". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a par",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "<1.0%: Bureau of Economic Analysis releases the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP Advance Estimate for Q2 2026 on July 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP \"Advance Estimate\" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product\n\nNote: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an \"Advance Estimate\". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.\n\nIf the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bea.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BEA",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "bea.gov",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.063,
      "implied_probability": 0.063,
      "volume_24h_usd": 517.644592,
      "volume_total_usd": 3649.5952729999995,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 1,
      "question_id": "CMX-3B2159AC76",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "economic-indicator",
        "gdp",
        "q2",
        "us",
        "us gdp growth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XTVJK20MV9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VYFW76XHC2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x40df085761181d25bcdd5715a743ab1b06323b0f68683d3bd2fe7d5fa11b1960",
      "question": "Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP \"Advance Estimate\" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product\n\nNote: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an \"Advance Estimate\". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a par",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1.0–1.5%: Bureau of Economic Analysis releases the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP Advance Estimate for Q2 2026 on July 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP \"Advance Estimate\" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product\n\nNote: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an \"Advance Estimate\". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.\n\nIf the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bea.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BEA",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "bea.gov",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.126,
      "implied_probability": 0.126,
      "volume_24h_usd": 469.487125,
      "volume_total_usd": 2777.8500929999996,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-18F4BD1E42",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "economic-indicator",
        "gdp",
        "q2",
        "us",
        "us gdp growth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P1R31BHX80",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VYFW76XHC2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcb0820efdbc7813d883c71a348ca8109cc6d5b74feb928ba3992bf41ba45d663",
      "question": "Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP \"Advance Estimate\" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product\n\nNote: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an \"Advance Estimate\". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a par",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1.5–2.0%: Bureau of Economic Analysis releases the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP Advance Estimate for Q2 2026 on July 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP \"Advance Estimate\" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product\n\nNote: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an \"Advance Estimate\". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.\n\nIf the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bea.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BEA",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "bea.gov",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.44,
      "implied_probability": 0.44,
      "volume_24h_usd": 485.64551,
      "volume_total_usd": 3910.867792,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-E5DE5AE166",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "economic-indicator",
        "gdp",
        "q2",
        "us",
        "us gdp growth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S2B320XGD5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VYFW76XHC2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa3a8bbabfa3069a5301ecbdcf5defcdff10b6c2dc7ad2a58b2805cc90f02770f",
      "question": "Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP \"Advance Estimate\" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product\n\nNote: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an \"Advance Estimate\". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a par",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "2.0–2.5%: Bureau of Economic Analysis releases the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP Advance Estimate for Q2 2026 on July 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP \"Advance Estimate\" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product\n\nNote: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an \"Advance Estimate\". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.\n\nIf the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bea.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BEA",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "bea.gov",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.33,
      "implied_probability": 0.33,
      "volume_24h_usd": 339.320844,
      "volume_total_usd": 3279.3596469999993,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-3DF75E4606",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "economic-indicator",
        "gdp",
        "q2",
        "us",
        "us gdp growth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-44LPVBYYZ1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VYFW76XHC2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x88cf368125d325223b6f21c2b004448d9f9c22d101cd9aaadaa131647798b609",
      "question": "Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP \"Advance Estimate\" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product\n\nNote: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an \"Advance Estimate\". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a par",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "2.5–3.0%: Bureau of Economic Analysis releases the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP Advance Estimate for Q2 2026 on July 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP \"Advance Estimate\" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product\n\nNote: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an \"Advance Estimate\". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.\n\nIf the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bea.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BEA",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "bea.gov",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.17,
      "implied_probability": 0.17,
      "volume_24h_usd": 314.176469,
      "volume_total_usd": 2733.2700409999984,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-048EEC3147",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "economic-indicator",
        "gdp",
        "q2",
        "us",
        "us gdp growth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H7M0483ZS0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VYFW76XHC2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4e8bd7c295b79258d3581e8fef733cf7990883127d10e5a41805b4a136574312",
      "question": "Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP \"Advance Estimate\" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product\n\nNote: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an \"Advance Estimate\". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a par",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "3.0–3.5%: Bureau of Economic Analysis releases the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP Advance Estimate for Q2 2026 on July 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP \"Advance Estimate\" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product\n\nNote: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an \"Advance Estimate\". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.\n\nIf the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bea.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BEA",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "bea.gov",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 167.18,
      "volume_total_usd": 2068.048415,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-6DFC73E448",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "economic-indicator",
        "gdp",
        "q2",
        "us",
        "us gdp growth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D7Z306NR56",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VYFW76XHC2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2a48c165b2f8792429afe26c4ef2ec2af68889c77c4c9e2627ffac7ef41e589b",
      "question": "Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be greater than 3.5%?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP \"Advance Estimate\" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product\n\nNote: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an \"Advance Estimate\". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a par",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "≥3.5%: Bureau of Economic Analysis releases the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP Advance Estimate for Q2 2026 on July 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP \"Advance Estimate\" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product\n\nNote: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an \"Advance Estimate\". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.\n\nIf the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bea.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BEA",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "bea.gov",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.022,
      "implied_probability": 0.022,
      "volume_24h_usd": 250.36,
      "volume_total_usd": 4208.973659,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-AD474855DA",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "economic-indicator",
        "gdp",
        "q2",
        "us",
        "us gdp growth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-VYFW76XHC2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}