{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-0BCSYSZJQ6",
  "slug": "us-iran-60-day-negotiation-period-extended-20260624044855448",
  "question": "Will the US-Iran 60 day negotiation period be extended?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "us-iran-relations",
    "diplomacy",
    "middle-east",
    "negotiation",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether the US and Iran formally extend their 60-day negotiation window beyond its current term. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, referencing official public announcements from both governments. No cross-platform structural contrast is present; only one market exists. The market resolves August 20, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-PR1HD4TKN8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.43,
    "implied_probability": 0.43
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PR1HD4TKN8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0BCSYSZJQ6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x518df6d694ad4658fe6c284850c029c6f00c9b3609cf05f7757d1fecba1641f8",
      "question": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?",
      "description": "On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement (the MOU), including a 60-day negotiation period toward a “final deal”, extendable by mutual consent.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if both the United States and Iran publicly and officially announce an extension of the 60-day negotiation period initiated by the MOU between market creation and August 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of a present extension of the 60-day negotiation period, a previously-unannounce",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Official public announcements by the United States and Iranian governments confirming an extension of the 60-day negotiation period before August 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-20T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-20T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement (the MOU), including a 60-day negotiation period toward a “final deal”, extendable by mutual consent.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if both the United States and Iran publicly and officially announce an extension of the 60-day negotiation period initiated by the MOU between market creation and August 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of a present extension of the 60-day negotiation period, a previously-unannounced prior extension of the 60-day negotiation period, or definitive agreement to extend the 60-day negotiation period.\n\nA qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify an extension of the 60-day negotiation period initiated by the MOU. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe an extension, without clearly communicating it, do not qualify. However, the announcement need not use specific terminology or reference the MOU by name.\n\nA qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.\n\nThe extension must be mutually announced by the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Mutual announcement means that taken together, the announcements from the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran directly indicate that both parties have agreed to extend the 60-day negotiation period, or have recognized a definitive extension of the period.\n\nThe following do not qualify as official announcements: \n- Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official; \n- Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the United States or Iran;\n- Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the United States or Iran will announce or implement an extension of the 60-day negotiation period; \n- Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications; \n- Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional extension of the 60-day negotiation period rather than announcing a present and decided position.\n\nOnce an extension has been mutually announced by the United States and Iran, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the extension is ever actually implemented.\n\nResolution will be based on official information from the United States and Iran, including their official representatives.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 24,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.43,
      "implied_probability": 0.43,
      "volume_24h_usd": 23056.467808,
      "volume_total_usd": 706245.0982020021,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "diplomacy",
        "iran",
        "nuclear",
        "us",
        "us iran nuclear"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-0BCSYSZJQ6",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}