{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-MVF6TJRMS1",
  "slug": "us-national-ethereum-reserve-before-2027",
  "question": "Will the US establish a national Ethereum reserve before 2027?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "ethereum",
    "us-policy",
    "crypto-reserves",
    "trump-era",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market prices the binary outcome of the US government establishing a national Ethereum reserve before January 2027. Resolution depends on official announcements from the US Treasury, Federal Reserve, or other federal agencies. Only one platform structures this event, so no cross-platform contrast applies. Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle resolves the contract against verified government disclosures.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-RDSYC15GK6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.05,
    "implied_probability": 0.05
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RDSYC15GK6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MVF6TJRMS1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3bdf487707735a1ca84079e6a4020147c5d865c4621b7a966ca2cdd0dd7ee5b0",
      "question": "US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US government holds any amount of Ethereum in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNote that the US government confiscating Ethereum does not count as holding Ethereum reserves.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Official announcements from the US Department of the Treasury, Federal Reserve, or other US government agencies regarding Ethereum holdings in national reserves by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US government holds any amount of Ethereum in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNote that the US government confiscating Ethereum does not count as holding Ethereum reserves.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "Federal Reserve (consensus fallback)",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 50,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.05,
      "implied_probability": 0.05,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 17476.403385000027,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-32611A0317",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ethereum",
        "policy",
        "reserve",
        "us government",
        "us national ethereum"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-MVF6TJRMS1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}