{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-YTM45JBTC4",
  "slug": "usd-x-iranian-rials-end-of-july-20260626151916139",
  "question": "Will the USD/Iranian rial exchange rate reach a specified level by the end of July?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "economy",
    "currency-exchange",
    "usd-irr",
    "iran",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the USD/IRR free-market exchange rate on July 31, 2026. Seven mutually exclusive Polymarket binaries span rate tiers from below 1.4M to above 1.9M rials per dollar, together forming a synthetic probability distribution over the rate level. All seven resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, referencing Bonbast's finalized free-market rate as the authoritative source. Bonbast aggregates informal Iranian foreign exchange data outside official central bank channels, introducing data-availability and methodology risk at resolution.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-S0TQBDC1G9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.8,
    "implied_probability": 0.8
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P49J6T9246",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YTM45JBTC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa54116e69031cbe71119aac1b73223fe536e4883da35a24500323e16cf16de89",
      "question": "Will USD be less than 1.4M Iranian rials on July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "<1.4M: Bonbast's finalized free-market USD exchange rate in Iranian rials on July 31, 2026, determines the outcome, with rates between brackets resolving to the higher bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bonbast.com",
            "url": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bonbast",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "bonbast.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 65,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.003,
      "implied_probability": 0.003,
      "volume_24h_usd": 14.006999999999998,
      "volume_total_usd": 3396.455445000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 1400000,
      "question_id": "CMX-1DFCEDBB64",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "currency",
        "fx",
        "iran",
        "usd irr"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RP4SKV6168",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YTM45JBTC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x759dab1bdab41c844883828a6c3e4554f98bc54ec254cb4d1ca5c07b04264c59",
      "question": "Will USD be between 1.4M and 1.5M Iranian rials on July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1.4-1.5M: Bonbast's finalized free-market USD exchange rate in Iranian rials on July 31, 2026, determines the outcome, with rates between brackets resolving to the higher bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bonbast.com",
            "url": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bonbast",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "bonbast.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 65,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 53.525999999999996,
      "volume_total_usd": 3639.789830000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-0D2EFBB4CE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "currency",
        "fx",
        "iran",
        "usd irr"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0MP562GP75",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YTM45JBTC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x54d5ec56ba6e078011e3c14521aeb3ca46aa7dbff2064ec49c3c6bd0d724c74b",
      "question": "Will USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1.5-1.6M: Bonbast's finalized free-market USD exchange rate in Iranian rials on July 31, 2026, determines the outcome, with rates between brackets resolving to the higher bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bonbast.com",
            "url": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bonbast",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "bonbast.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 65,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.003,
      "implied_probability": 0.003,
      "volume_24h_usd": 91.16066599999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 3992.2011150000008,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-81392920AC",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "currency",
        "fx",
        "iran",
        "usd irr"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JXM950NDX7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YTM45JBTC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6ace94b13fe7b18c71d9d525bf307be39a58e2464fdb9bdcd0a843be9e6e4be9",
      "question": "Will USD be between 1.6M and 1.7M Iranian rials on July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1.6-1.7M: Bonbast's finalized free-market USD exchange rate in Iranian rials on July 31, 2026, determines the outcome, with rates between brackets resolving to the higher bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bonbast.com",
            "url": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bonbast",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "bonbast.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 65,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.033,
      "implied_probability": 0.033,
      "volume_24h_usd": 47.519999999999996,
      "volume_total_usd": 3841.6597019999995,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-4AA989F3EA",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "currency",
        "fx",
        "iran",
        "usd irr"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GS07HJFJY4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YTM45JBTC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc88b9d1e8be96dea8d9d2a1e580e24b4b3d090aa1ebbc1d234813fbde40b80e7",
      "question": "Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1.7-1.8M: Bonbast's finalized free-market USD exchange rate in Iranian rials on July 31, 2026, determines the outcome, with rates between brackets resolving to the higher bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bonbast.com",
            "url": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bonbast",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "bonbast.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 65,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.065,
      "implied_probability": 0.065,
      "volume_24h_usd": 91.160879,
      "volume_total_usd": 5015.479378,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-84838C227C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "currency",
        "fx",
        "iran",
        "usd irr"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-38V87PK7X5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YTM45JBTC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc0e9e4d63c4b9bf067ed68afb96351d578f3fb86d0bc34f19ca4d64d99e4fde0",
      "question": "Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1.8-1.9M: Bonbast's finalized free-market USD exchange rate in Iranian rials on July 31, 2026, determines the outcome, with rates between brackets resolving to the higher bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bonbast.com",
            "url": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bonbast",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "bonbast.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 65,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.217,
      "implied_probability": 0.217,
      "volume_24h_usd": 143.50217,
      "volume_total_usd": 7688.644823,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-A7A8AACEF8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "currency",
        "fx",
        "iran",
        "usd irr"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S0TQBDC1G9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YTM45JBTC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf79d9a57049eb935fa8778a204f38340e45eab12f35df14819f486fdfb9f9143",
      "question": "Will USD be at least 1.9M Iranian rials on July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1.9M+: Bonbast's finalized free-market USD exchange rate in Iranian rials on July 31, 2026, determines the outcome, with rates between brackets resolving to the higher bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bonbast.com",
            "url": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bonbast",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "bonbast.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 65,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.8,
      "implied_probability": 0.8,
      "volume_24h_usd": 534.709605,
      "volume_total_usd": 11838.654619000003,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1900000,
      "question_id": "CMX-FBEDB98504",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "currency",
        "fx",
        "iran",
        "usd irr"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-YTM45JBTC4",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}