{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-G39S6YRVR7",
  "slug": "vancouver-mayoral-election-winner",
  "question": "Will Kennedy Stewart win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "elections",
    "politics",
    "vancouver",
    "canada",
    "2026",
    "municipal-election"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the Vancouver mayoral election on October 17, 2026. All candidate markets are binary outcome contracts; each prices one named candidate's probability of winning. Polymarket structures each candidate as a separate binary, so implied probabilities across contracts should sum to one. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle referencing credible post-election reporting.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-KDBTFH7J38",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.11,
    "implied_probability": 0.11,
    "as_of": "2026-09-07T09:00:42.355Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-08JGV31C65",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G39S6YRVR7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x010f3f24ab463669b4d3dee775864db64b2441f8fa7a34725765ff0d7c667ec8",
      "question": "Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Ken Sim: The named candidate who becomes Vancouver's next mayor following the October 17, 2026 election, per credible reporting consensus, with UMA Optimistic Oracle resolving ambiguities by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-17T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-17T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from Vancouver",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 54,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.44,
      "implied_probability": 0.44,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-07T07:00:43.371Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 25,
      "volume_total_usd": 33623.41744600001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "vancouver mayoral election"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KDBTFH7J38",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G39S6YRVR7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x574baadddd5ff73355480351a6b067f762d4ad18ffdd619aa99253820b691845",
      "question": "Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Kareem Allam: The named candidate who becomes Vancouver's next mayor following the October 17, 2026 election, per credible reporting consensus, with UMA Optimistic Oracle resolving ambiguities by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-17T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-17T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from Vancouver",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 54,
        "caps": [
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          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.11,
      "implied_probability": 0.11,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-07T09:00:42.355Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 3189.8999999999996,
      "volume_total_usd": 69498.489015,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TZPKKNBWJ3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G39S6YRVR7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x495d7107985ea26bd6b84c32701b3d071f2fe56235a51b8c707cfeef3112ace6",
      "question": "Will John Coupar win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "John Coupar: The named candidate who becomes Vancouver's next mayor following the October 17, 2026 election, per credible reporting consensus, with UMA Optimistic Oracle resolving ambiguities by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-17T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-17T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from Vancouver",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 54,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.007,
      "implied_probability": 0.007,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-07T09:00:42.355Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 49.81,
      "volume_total_usd": 5412.058428,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "vancouver mayoral election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J1P6RQV4R2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G39S6YRVR7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf42fdaf0069af7f49b1b2dcd8160ad73034c8704ef988c44dfe964f2f719facc",
      "question": "Will Kirk LaPointe win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Kirk LaPointe: The named candidate who becomes Vancouver's next mayor following the October 17, 2026 election, per credible reporting consensus, with UMA Optimistic Oracle resolving ambiguities by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-17T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-17T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from Vancouver",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 54,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.016,
      "implied_probability": 0.016,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-19T03:00:57.324Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3652.460083,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "vancouver mayoral election"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5S7F4TTFN6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G39S6YRVR7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcb3a9ca91633c58ea4886b82edb537de4c7626197878e9768272a8bdeafd73bd",
      "question": "Will Rebecca Bligh win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Rebecca Bligh: The named candidate who becomes Vancouver's next mayor following the October 17, 2026 election, per credible reporting consensus, with UMA Optimistic Oracle resolving ambiguities by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-17T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-17T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from Vancouver",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 54,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.005,
      "implied_probability": 0.005,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-05T02:00:11.212Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4377.44492,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "vancouver mayoral election"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RX5QP5J9J5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G39S6YRVR7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1d4d4b7b17f1649e5a902a91992476263b1be640df547540cf2954bd00df4df8",
      "question": "Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Pete Fry: The named candidate who becomes Vancouver's next mayor following the October 17, 2026 election, per credible reporting consensus, with UMA Optimistic Oracle resolving ambiguities by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-17T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-17T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from Vancouver",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 54,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.333,
      "implied_probability": 0.333,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-07T02:00:28.492Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 31608.594186,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "vancouver mayoral election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GZQ27SPB88",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G39S6YRVR7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe3a2415eb9cd17f05d6b26a4a4ee6e2b17c6dbf60b99c0ad2ca79a6a1e9c4a03",
      "question": "Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "William Azaroff: The named candidate who becomes Vancouver's next mayor following the October 17, 2026 election, per credible reporting consensus, with UMA Optimistic Oracle resolving ambiguities by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-17T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-17T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from Vancouver",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 54,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.045,
      "implied_probability": 0.045,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-07T09:00:42.355Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 20.46,
      "volume_total_usd": 16882.075846000007,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "vancouver mayoral election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-77K79SW211",
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