{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-7JN6F66K01",
  "slug": "ventuals-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch",
  "question": "Ventuals FDV one day after launch",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      null,
      100000000
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 100000000,
        "prob": 3
      },
      {
        "threshold": 300000000,
        "prob": 4
      },
      {
        "threshold": 500000000,
        "prob": 2
      },
      {
        "threshold": 800000000,
        "prob": 3
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1000000000,
        "prob": 3
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1500000000,
        "prob": 2
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2000000000,
        "prob": 1
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "token-launch",
    "fdv-valuation",
    "ventuals",
    "post-launch-metrics",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Ventuals token's fully diluted valuation one day after launch, resolved at 4:00 PM ET on the measurement date. Seven binary Polymarket contracts span strike thresholds from $100M to $2B FDV, forming an implied probability curve across valuation levels. Each contract resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle using the most liquid available price source multiplied by total token supply. Markets close January 1, 2027; the nested strike structure lets traders express both directional and magnitude views on the launch valuation.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-LF2BLY3S29",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.032,
    "implied_probability": 0.032
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0CG7VVNXB2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7JN6F66K01",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x035a884ce6f5336373bf691a94a8bf26ce9cb7442b944f611596f1f979dc80b5",
      "question": "Ventuals FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ventual's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) doesn't launch a toke",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The most liquid price source available for Ventuals token multiplied by total token supply, measured at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the token's launch.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ventual's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "x.com",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/ventuals",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 50,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 6170.491437999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1500000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-1A52E5702A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "token",
        "ventuals",
        "ventuals fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C62S2QZFV6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7JN6F66K01",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0042924c2b33e9e7a2ac2969ad7e1be3c790ef80be526350d7fe2b936e18d1de",
      "question": "Ventuals FDV above $2B one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ventual's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) doesn't launch a toke",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The most liquid price source available for Ventuals token multiplied by total token supply, measured at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the token's launch.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ventual's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "x.com",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/ventuals",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 50,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.014,
      "implied_probability": 0.014,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 8269.392408,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-8E5D20C783",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "token",
        "ventuals",
        "ventuals fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6QB5BVL9H1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7JN6F66K01",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2774a88561f965120ffcb9e4027503e9a7aeca484be187f409fef00ce3033194",
      "question": "Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ventual's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) doesn't launch a toke",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The most liquid price source available for Ventuals token multiplied by total token supply, measured at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the token's launch.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ventual's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "x.com",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/ventuals",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 50,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.037,
      "implied_probability": 0.037,
      "volume_24h_usd": 130,
      "volume_total_usd": 13315.832368,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 500000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-23BDEFD741",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "token",
        "ventuals",
        "ventuals fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3Q4XYTZ4K2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7JN6F66K01",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x86575cc9ae593201e788fbcd30a07be98c8d922a63994a0424ea0d620ae97e03",
      "question": "Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ventual's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) doesn't launch a toke",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The most liquid price source available for Ventuals token multiplied by total token supply, measured at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the token's launch.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ventual's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "x.com",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/ventuals",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 50,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.043,
      "implied_probability": 0.043,
      "volume_24h_usd": 583,
      "volume_total_usd": 13513.368288999998,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 300000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-F36A690018",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "token",
        "ventuals",
        "ventuals fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z3Q1S90V16",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7JN6F66K01",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4f5fd359d70d8694ac8d366117d91023d0504e5f402b11c16bc6fea497fe2646",
      "question": "Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ventual's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) doesn't launch a toke",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The most liquid price source available for Ventuals token multiplied by total token supply, measured at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the token's launch.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ventual's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "x.com",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/ventuals",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 50,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 14.97,
      "volume_total_usd": 6009.656469000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 800000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-A52A714F5A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "token",
        "ventuals",
        "ventuals fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N3SDSQ6MH5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7JN6F66K01",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9f792d81fcffb9ee4b2ae766ac286512712327cd93925eed60d512f2c0805c6a",
      "question": "Ventuals FDV above $1B one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ventual's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) doesn't launch a toke",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The most liquid price source available for Ventuals token multiplied by total token supply, measured at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the token's launch.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ventual's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "x.com",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/ventuals",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 50,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.016,
      "implied_probability": 0.016,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 8065.032191000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-7F7F17BA47",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "token",
        "ventuals",
        "ventuals fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LF2BLY3S29",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7JN6F66K01",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2232353eadccd26a40d742e78710cbbe11b4a4edea3de0f1ec0ffaea09ded474",
      "question": "Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ventual's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) doesn't launch a toke",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The most liquid price source available for Ventuals token multiplied by total token supply, measured at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the token's launch.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ventual's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "x.com",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/ventuals",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 50,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.032,
      "implied_probability": 0.032,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1164.87,
      "volume_total_usd": 12315.475085999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 100000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-A80667C20F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "token",
        "ventuals",
        "ventuals fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-7JN6F66K01",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}