{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-DZF5V1ZN41",
  "slug": "vermont-governor-republican-primary-winner",
  "question": "Will a Republican win the Vermont Governor Primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "vermont",
    "2026",
    "governor",
    "republican-primary"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the winner of the Vermont Republican gubernatorial primary on August 11, 2026. Polymarket structures the event as a candidate-by-candidate binary series, pricing each named contender's outcome separately. Phil Scott and John Rodgers are the only named candidates; remaining contracts cover generic placeholders. Resolution relies on the Vermont Republican Party's official announcement, confirmed via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-QKB59CWZK8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.986
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DZF5V1ZN41",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x02c23da27e72ea0b2823e6399a59a056f12c5d5d52462561362412db398253e9",
      "question": "Will Phil Scott win the 2026 Vermont Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Phil Scott: The Vermont Republican Party's official announcement of the 2026 primary results on or after August 11, 2026 determines the winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "Vermont Republican Party",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Vermont Republican Party",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0.986,
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YLY6D9S1V4",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x9d6d218ece67e09513c6a0b7954763f006033c9274ffe8eedbe0c82d8197e7e2",
      "question": "Will John Rodgers win the 2026 Vermont Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "John Rodgers: The Vermont Republican Party's official announcement of the 2026 primary results on or after August 11, 2026 determines the winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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      "question": "Will Candidate A win the 2026 Vermont Governor Republican primary election?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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        "caps": [],
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8JTXKMB1G8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DZF5V1ZN41",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x386fd4c837670fa4a62c28ba7eb2838bc97a69cfe0afc52506729aa14459d814",
      "question": "Will Candidate B win the 2026 Vermont Governor Republican primary election?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1K38YC12D4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DZF5V1ZN41",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe1a580cf0a1e0c889112ccf1c239e5707f18d196edf5954348f778ea6aa8213e",
      "question": "Will Candidate C win the 2026 Vermont Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate C: The Vermont Republican Party's official announcement of the 2026 primary results on or after August 11, 2026 determines the winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DZF5V1ZN41",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x4b648ca080101b6204cdea39e9d4bf1250fce2ed6f13af0b625549951a75450d",
      "question": "Will Candidate D win the 2026 Vermont Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate D: The Vermont Republican Party's official announcement of the 2026 primary results on or after August 11, 2026 determines the winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-00SN9QHV73",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DZF5V1ZN41",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9203ad9323bca97591bc68fa21f9ff99e57698c17e71e77ec915e0cb6bf5a860",
      "question": "Will Candidate E win the 2026 Vermont Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate E: The Vermont Republican Party's official announcement of the 2026 primary results on or after August 11, 2026 determines the winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DZF5V1ZN41",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcf8debde679c554224278dc734347c3947885670a2c7694614210037471d8353",
      "question": "Will Candidate F win the 2026 Vermont Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate F: The Vermont Republican Party's official announcement of the 2026 primary results on or after August 11, 2026 determines the winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [],
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DZF5V1ZN41",
      "platform": "polymarket",
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