{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-DYB2XLWX26",
  "slug": "wa-03-primary-first-place-20260706195611094",
  "question": "Will the Washington 3rd District Democratic primary winner be determined by August 4, 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "2026",
    "washington-state",
    "primary-election",
    "us-house"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the first-place finisher in Washington's 3rd Congressional District non-partisan primary on August 4, 2026. All 16 markets are on Polymarket, each pricing a binary outcome for a named or placeholder candidate. The markets are mutually exclusive; exactly one resolves YES. Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle resolves each contract against certified results from Washington's non-partisan primary canvass.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-RLQ2RMZ4N1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.85,
    "implied_probability": 0.85
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M4XX4Q5853",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DYB2XLWX26",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb51d97e037cd6fb40caea2b00681cc310a547bfb4280063475b6db15a839f283",
      "question": "Will Antony Barran earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?",
      "description": "The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Antony Barran: The named candidate's vote total in the Washington-03 non-partisan primary election on August 4, 2026, as certified by Washington State election authorities, determines resolution; ties resolve alphabetically.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "the State of Washington",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 104.16650000000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 331.6265,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "antony barran",
        "candidate",
        "primary",
        "wa-03"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RLQ2RMZ4N1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DYB2XLWX26",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x62e42b3ad31813197d2496900247bcf78af857c0c6d196e557d9baf2ef2a3ab9",
      "question": "Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?",
      "description": "The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "John Braun: The named candidate's vote total in the Washington-03 non-partisan primary election on August 4, 2026, as certified by Washington State election authorities, determines resolution; ties resolve alphabetically.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "the State of Washington",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.85,
      "implied_probability": 0.85,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1924.57167,
      "volume_total_usd": 9529.910479999999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "candidate",
        "john braun",
        "primary",
        "wa-03"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-025CZY02J5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DYB2XLWX26",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd450e0657975b73d5c7bc22d27bf4249ad4ba065ac3ae19373b0c72f40b8af68",
      "question": "Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?",
      "description": "The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Marie Gluesenkamp Perez: The named candidate's vote total in the Washington-03 non-partisan primary election on August 4, 2026, as certified by Washington State election authorities, determines resolution; ties resolve alphabetically.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "the State of Washington",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.13,
      "implied_probability": 0.13,
      "volume_24h_usd": 115.485231,
      "volume_total_usd": 1465.9427680000001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "candidate",
        "marie gluesenkamp perez",
        "primary",
        "wa-03"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M9N7504PM4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DYB2XLWX26",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x05e13848db9c42ad9e8f8cce6e0c67ab5608d48328c57cb36cea07636bfb26f1",
      "question": "Will Brent Hennrich earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?",
      "description": "The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Brent Hennrich: The named candidate's vote total in the Washington-03 non-partisan primary election on August 4, 2026, as certified by Washington State election authorities, determines resolution; ties resolve alphabetically.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "the State of Washington",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 104.163833,
      "volume_total_usd": 1037.0476489999999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brent hennrich",
        "candidate",
        "primary",
        "wa-03"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PM0LT4TH18",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DYB2XLWX26",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5b3f7e85d1d18582865fd69a60962105fc94edf0aeb782efbaa83a4dff12ed99",
      "question": "Will Austin Braswell earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?",
      "description": "The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Austin Braswell: The named candidate's vote total in the Washington-03 non-partisan primary election on August 4, 2026, as certified by Washington State election authorities, determines resolution; ties resolve alphabetically.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "the State of Washington",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 98.735,
      "volume_total_usd": 240.855,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "austin braswell",
        "candidate",
        "primary",
        "wa-03"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GLFSKM9CG9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DYB2XLWX26",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1717cc526e6063d8f862940352b183936ec2a76fd9ce4dad958544084cb766bc",
      "question": "Will Lawrence Kellogg earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?",
      "description": "The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Lawrence Kellogg: The named candidate's vote total in the Washington-03 non-partisan primary election on August 4, 2026, as certified by Washington State election authorities, determines resolution; ties resolve alphabetically.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "the State of Washington",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 104.149,
      "volume_total_usd": 320.28899999999993,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "candidate",
        "lawrence kellogg",
        "primary",
        "wa-03"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GQQF6CHHH3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DYB2XLWX26",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x19e97e3efa3552639e51c7e3014a7ab82d635c87e84ea964f0ebc795057a9e4d",
      "question": "Will John Saulie-Rohman earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?",
      "description": "The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "John Saulie-Rohman: The named candidate's vote total in the Washington-03 non-partisan primary election on August 4, 2026, as certified by Washington State election authorities, determines resolution; ties resolve alphabetically.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "the State of Washington",
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