{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-XNM8P2FM55",
  "slug": "what-market-cap-will-strc-reach-by-june-30",
  "question": "Will STRC reach what market cap by June 30?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "strc",
    "market-cap",
    "price-prediction",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether STRC's market capitalization reaches discrete strike thresholds by June 30, 2026. Polymarket structures the event as three separate binary contracts at $12B, $14B, and $16B strikes. Each resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle using the market cap field on Strategy's dedicated page. The $12B contract prices a lower-conviction threshold; the $16B contract prices a more aggressive one.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-K6CHKWXQD5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K6CHKWXQD5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XNM8P2FM55",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb148dc500d9df491ef83bea1b0778c7cd59a00e8073a2529cda3b9b5721ca1ad",
      "question": "Will STRC market cap hit $12B by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the STRC market cap is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title at any point between the creation of this market and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe value used for resolution will be the “Market Cap ($M)” field, updated daily, available at: https://www.strategy.com/strc\n\nThis market will resolve based solely on the data displayed on the Strategy STRC page. Data from other sources will not be considered for resolution.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$12B: The listed company's market capitalization, as reported in the Market Cap field on Strategy's dedicated page, resolves Yes if it reaches or exceeds the specified threshold at any point by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the STRC market cap is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title at any point between the creation of this market and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe value used for resolution will be the “Market Cap ($M)” field, updated daily, available at: https://www.strategy.com/strc\n\nThis market will resolve based solely on the data displayed on the Strategy STRC page. Data from other sources will not be considered for resolution.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.strategy.com/strc",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "strategy.com",
            "url": "https://www.strategy.com/strc",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.strategy.com/strc",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Strategy STRC page",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 35,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 105,
      "volume_total_usd": 25641.782565000012,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 12000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-2879CB100F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "market-cap",
        "strc"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-70VX5NHKV4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XNM8P2FM55",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x86aa00395a522fe93e875112ed14474015a62753eee397af0a655c46534276bc",
      "question": "Will STRC market cap hit $14B by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the STRC market cap is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title at any point between the creation of this market and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe value used for resolution will be the “Market Cap ($M)” field, updated daily, available at: https://www.strategy.com/strc\n\nThis market will resolve based solely on the data displayed on the Strategy STRC page. Data from other sources will not be considered for resolution.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$14B: The listed company's market capitalization, as reported in the Market Cap field on Strategy's dedicated page, resolves Yes if it reaches or exceeds the specified threshold at any point by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the STRC market cap is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title at any point between the creation of this market and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe value used for resolution will be the “Market Cap ($M)” field, updated daily, available at: https://www.strategy.com/strc\n\nThis market will resolve based solely on the data displayed on the Strategy STRC page. Data from other sources will not be considered for resolution.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.strategy.com/strc",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "strategy.com",
            "url": "https://www.strategy.com/strc",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.strategy.com/strc",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Strategy STRC page",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 35,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1070.983264,
      "volume_total_usd": 8222.844031,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 14000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-E0092848E3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "market-cap",
        "strc"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z10L57SQC8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XNM8P2FM55",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc8b2d50435e1b8342f093fb882b7669eb7d90a52a887eb6010ae8e236477778d",
      "question": "Will STRC market cap hit $16B by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the STRC market cap is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title at any point between the creation of this market and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe value used for resolution will be the “Market Cap ($M)” field, updated daily, available at: https://www.strategy.com/strc\n\nThis market will resolve based solely on the data displayed on the Strategy STRC page. Data from other sources will not be considered for resolution.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$16B: The listed company's market capitalization, as reported in the Market Cap field on Strategy's dedicated page, resolves Yes if it reaches or exceeds the specified threshold at any point by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the STRC market cap is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title at any point between the creation of this market and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe value used for resolution will be the “Market Cap ($M)” field, updated daily, available at: https://www.strategy.com/strc\n\nThis market will resolve based solely on the data displayed on the Strategy STRC page. Data from other sources will not be considered for resolution.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.strategy.com/strc",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "strategy.com",
            "url": "https://www.strategy.com/strc",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.strategy.com/strc",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Strategy STRC page",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 35,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 330.188321,
      "volume_total_usd": 8625.935088,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 16000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-D1BFEDDD48",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "market-cap",
        "strc"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K6CHKWXQD5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T04:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-70VX5NHKV4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T04:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z10L57SQC8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T04:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-XNM8P2FM55",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}