{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-8HQQGTNWZ3",
  "slug": "what-places-will-trump-mention-in-august-20260728181450062",
  "question": "Will Trump mention specific places in August?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "trump",
    "politics",
    "speech-analysis",
    "geographic-mentions",
    "2026",
    "august-events"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether Trump verbally mentions 18 specific places during August 2026. All 18 markets are on Polymarket alone, structured as independent binary outcomes per location. Each resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against verified video or audio recordings. The resolve timestamp of August 4, 2026 predates the August 31 close, creating a potential resolution gap traders should scrutinize.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-55VQ6L1KD2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.29,
    "implied_probability": 0.29
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RK9R5DRJ08",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8HQQGTNWZ3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa12919aae9d46eb6d98c584c0285b7e751267ae0027a9aa8239b56b6124b306e",
      "question": "Will Trump say \"Washington D.C.\" in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nWritten usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.\n\nVideos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington D.C.: The named candidate's spoken utterances during August 1–31, 2026, verified through video or audio recordings filmed within that window, determine if the listed term was stated, excluding written posts and pre-recorded videos.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T02:35:26Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nWritten usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.\n\nVideos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
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      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1399.9549999999997,
      "volume_total_usd": 2207.2629150000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VL1MGYZ1X6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8HQQGTNWZ3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0339f326155e91e6aad7cd011d272383f801b3ebefcf2bb61d10bd940f1f0427",
      "question": "Will Trump say \"Gulf of America\" or \"Gulf of Mexico\" in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nWritten usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.\n\nVideos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Gulf of America / Gulf of Mexico: The named candidate's spoken utterances during August 1–31, 2026, verified through video or audio recordings filmed within that window, determine if the listed term was stated, excluding written posts and pre-recorded videos.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nWritten usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.\n\nVideos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VHS03DHFS2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8HQQGTNWZ3",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x70584a2005ed9ee659b2c21b1d4f44974c132eeb4925ab7de81c863680404506",
      "question": "Will Trump say \"Middle East\" in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nWritten usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.\n\nVideos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Middle East: The named candidate's spoken utterances during August 1–31, 2026, verified through video or audio recordings filmed within that window, determine if the listed term was stated, excluding written posts and pre-recorded videos.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nWritten usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.\n\nVideos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
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      "last_price": 0.99,
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      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 670.3609,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MJX5BGRZT0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8HQQGTNWZ3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x43d043f1ddd9d9cf87291557d2fd124f11d781e8f959a06bd0f542903053a6dc",
      "question": "Will Trump say \"Gaza\" in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nWritten usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.\n\nVideos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Gaza: The named candidate's spoken utterances during August 1–31, 2026, verified through video or audio recordings filmed within that window, determine if the listed term was stated, excluding written posts and pre-recorded videos.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nWritten usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.\n\nVideos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "volume_24h_usd": 40,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R36CB2XBD5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8HQQGTNWZ3",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xa54e71fc93085f75665fb330984ae62facba4049573b4e3dfc7638d0511c2d71",
      "question": "Will Trump say \"Tehran\" in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nWritten usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.\n\nVideos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Tehran: The named candidate's spoken utterances during August 1–31, 2026, verified through video or audio recordings filmed within that window, determine if the listed term was stated, excluding written posts and pre-recorded videos.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nWritten usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.\n\nVideos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
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      "question": "Will Trump say \"Moscow\" in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nWritten usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.\n\nVideos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nWritten usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.\n\nVideos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
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      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7b7bca30803d708f3d5c04632152b1ff6ec2d3571e1a471b78d5287079982d1b",
      "question": "Will Trump say \"Greenland\" in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nWritten usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.\n\nVideos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Greenland: The named candidate's spoken utterances during August 1–31, 2026, verified through video or audio recordings filmed within that window, determine if the listed term was stated, excluding written posts and pre-recorded videos.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
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