{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-82XFTLM2W2",
  "slug": "what-price-will-spy-hit-in-august-2026",
  "question": "Will the S&P 500 (SPY) reach a specific price target by August 2026?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "finance",
    "equities",
    "s-p-500",
    "august-2026",
    "price-target"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether SPY touches discrete upside or downside price strikes during August 2026 regular trading hours. The upside markets price probability of SPY reaching levels from $740 to $800; the downside markets price probability of SPY breaching levels from $730 to $670. Strikes form a two-sided range structure, letting readers read implied volatility distribution directly across the ladder. Resolution relies on Pyth Network 1-minute candle data, validated through Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-5QFBBSPKR5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.24,
    "implied_probability": 0.24
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B7CTBM6TJ9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-82XFTLM2W2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x24b630b31a5e9d6bf9d1b435e1bce9177a1cca8d6947df656bfe734811176c22",
      "question": "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during August 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final \"High\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.\n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporat",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑ $800: Pyth's 1-minute candle low prices for the listed security during regular trading hours (9:30 AM–4:00 PM ET) in August 2026 determine if the threshold was touched, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by September 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59.999Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59.999Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during August 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final \"High\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.\n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.\n\nThe target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) \"High\" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.\n\nHistorical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the \"t=\" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)\n\nIf the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "pythdata.app",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "pythdata.app",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Pyth",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Pyth",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 75,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.168,
      "implied_probability": 0.168,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1290.7228670000002,
      "volume_total_usd": 2523.0580659999996,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 800,
      "question_id": "CMX-E88AFEE866",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "500",
        "equities",
        "spy",
        "us-index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3FNM8NLM88",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-82XFTLM2W2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4903776b7f50f1e35f18e2d766684eca14813834b1508530b1d50cfcdb1d71be",
      "question": "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during August 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final \"High\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.\n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporat",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑ $790: Pyth's 1-minute candle low prices for the listed security during regular trading hours (9:30 AM–4:00 PM ET) in August 2026 determine if the threshold was touched, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by September 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59.999Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59.999Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during August 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final \"High\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.\n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.\n\nThe target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) \"High\" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.\n\nHistorical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the \"t=\" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)\n\nIf the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "pythdata.app",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "pythdata.app",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Pyth",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Pyth",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 75,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.269,
      "implied_probability": 0.269,
      "volume_24h_usd": 905.9,
      "volume_total_usd": 4692.807868,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 790,
      "question_id": "CMX-06AF0B721C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "500",
        "equities",
        "spy",
        "us-index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZKP07ZJV85",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-82XFTLM2W2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc96645e20447a06d0795b79ae81c6e23f0b8166458b3f2de0501d3156eb046af",
      "question": "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during August 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final \"High\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.\n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporat",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑ $780: Pyth's 1-minute candle low prices for the listed security during regular trading hours (9:30 AM–4:00 PM ET) in August 2026 determine if the threshold was touched, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by September 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59.999Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59.999Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during August 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final \"High\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.\n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.\n\nThe target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) \"High\" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.\n\nHistorical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the \"t=\" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)\n\nIf the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "pythdata.app",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "pythdata.app",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Pyth",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Pyth",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 75,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.71,
      "implied_probability": 0.71,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1285.2752619999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 3228.677337,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 780,
      "question_id": "CMX-E6C15F911B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "500",
        "equities",
        "spy",
        "us-index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1XK70C5HV0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-82XFTLM2W2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe881880c04a14347b373394328fedb5c9bfdccc61e37591ad28fe5de93e97bbc",
      "question": "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during August 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final \"High\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.\n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporat",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑ $770: Pyth's 1-minute candle low prices for the listed security during regular trading hours (9:30 AM–4:00 PM ET) in August 2026 determine if the threshold was touched, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by September 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59.999Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T17:02:17Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during August 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final \"High\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.\n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.\n\nThe target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) \"High\" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.\n\nHistorical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the \"t=\" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)\n\nIf the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "pythdata.app",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "pythdata.app",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Pyth",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Pyth",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 75,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1782.7789460000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 4260.380653000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 770,
      "question_id": "CMX-E4BB713014",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "500",
        "equities",
        "spy",
        "us-index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H4ZQRLPV65",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-82XFTLM2W2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x07e54a17e2843d6136d34d15a048cb26e4d642a66bc2a1e6588b920921e33036",
      "question": "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during August 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final \"High\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.\n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporat",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑ $760: Pyth's 1-minute candle low prices for the listed security during regular trading hours (9:30 AM–4:00 PM ET) in August 2026 determine if the threshold was touched, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by September 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59.999Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T13:47:32Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during August 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final \"High\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.\n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.\n\nThe target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) \"High\" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.\n\nHistorical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the \"t=\" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)\n\nIf the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "pythdata.app",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "pythdata.app",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Pyth",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Pyth",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 75,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1139.53,
      "volume_total_usd": 3456.5240679999997,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 760,
      "question_id": "CMX-40BBA2F2A0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "500",
        "equities",
        "spy",
        "us-index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YGQ9C6GN72",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-82XFTLM2W2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x05cbd9a0765dffefe520b3ddb19f387426e38a2fb19033cb4ff6f5925d7a587f",
      "question": "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during August 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final \"High\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.\n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporat",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑ $750: Pyth's 1-minute candle low prices for the listed security during regular trading hours (9:30 AM–4:00 PM ET) in August 2026 determine if the threshold was touched, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by September 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59.999Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-03T13:48:18Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during August 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final \"High\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.\n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.\n\nThe target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) \"High\" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.\n\nHistorical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the \"t=\" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)\n\nIf the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "pythdata.app",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "pythdata.app",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Pyth",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Pyth",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 75,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 348.18850000000003,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 750,
      "question_id": "CMX-934EBCCF89",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "500",
        "equities",
        "spy",
        "us-index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K7YWW8M7Q3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-82XFTLM2W2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2f4ff480638ff0a94923a025bc49b09ddabc1deb0ddd72e012dc85465d8af218",
      "question": "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during August 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final \"High\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.\n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporat",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑ $740: Pyth's 1-minute candle low prices for the listed security during regular trading hours (9:30 AM–4:00 PM ET) in August 2026 determine if the threshold was touched, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by September 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59.999Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-03T13:48:15Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during August 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final \"High\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.\n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.\n\nThe target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) \"High\" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.\n\nHistorical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the \"t=\" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)\n\nIf the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "pythdata.app",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "pythdata.app",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Pyth",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Pyth",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 75,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 135.02,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 740,
      "question_id": "CMX-FBF0FC7D93",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "500",
        "equities",
        "spy",
        "us-index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6JP8S0CF09",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-82XFTLM2W2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2af947efd09a6869722e0e0f3ea3a6918f12af6f557f3fe5786a872969472db6",
      "question": "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during August 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final \"Low\" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.\n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↓ $730: Pyth's 1-minute candle low prices for the listed security during regular trading hours (9:30 AM–4:00 PM ET) in August 2026 determine if the threshold was touched, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by September 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59.999Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59.999Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during August 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final \"Low\" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.\n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.\n\nThe target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) \"Low\" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.\n\nHistorical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the \"t=\" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)\n\nIf the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "pythdata.app",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "pythdata.app",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Pyth",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Pyth",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 75,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.14,
      "implied_probability": 0.14,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1177.461763,
      "volume_total_usd": 3841.617386000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 730,
      "question_id": "CMX-2835ABA3A7",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "500",
        "equities",
        "spy",
        "us-index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5QFBBSPKR5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-82XFTLM2W2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xac2d996e7921d50c9008a315b003e1f6da29e73b7dbab5bbfc921ed65a4302e9",
      "question": "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during August 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final \"Low\" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.\n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↓ $720: Pyth's 1-minute candle low prices for the listed security during regular trading hours (9:30 AM–4:00 PM ET) in August 2026 determine if the threshold was touched, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by September 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59.999Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59.999Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during August 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final \"Low\" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.\n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.\n\nThe target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) \"Low\" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.\n\nHistorical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the \"t=\" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)\n\nIf the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "pythdata.app",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "pythdata.app",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Pyth",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Pyth",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 75,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.24,
      "implied_probability": 0.24,
      "volume_24h_usd": 576.290962,
      "volume_total_usd": 5383.7278099999985,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 720,
      "question_id": "CMX-4E5D51678A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "500",
        "equities",
        "spy",
        "us-index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TZMRNB4HH1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-82XFTLM2W2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc771be8109732774fff5bd56e5669227a6ade258e6835146cfa330a570d5b4e9",
      "question": "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during August 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final \"Low\" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.\n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↓ $710: Pyth's 1-minute candle low prices for the listed security during regular trading hours (9:30 AM–4:00 PM ET) in August 2026 determine if the threshold was touched, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by September 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59.999Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59.999Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during August 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final \"Low\" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.\n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.\n\nThe target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) \"Low\" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.\n\nHistorical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the \"t=\" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)\n\nIf the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "pythdata.app",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "pythdata.app",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Pyth",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Pyth",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 75,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.15,
      "implied_probability": 0.15,
      "volume_24h_usd": 100,
      "volume_total_usd": 3021.2695110000004,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 710,
      "question_id": "CMX-CC66F97980",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "500",
        "equities",
        "spy",
        "us-index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CPHC776301",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-82XFTLM2W2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf9f74ff5cf4ae8574740e7e014f96c14e4a45bfd7a787eb4bcb8924cb7d9ca80",
      "question": "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during August 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final \"Low\" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.\n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↓ $700: Pyth's 1-minute candle low prices for the listed security during regular trading hours (9:30 AM–4:00 PM ET) in August 2026 determine if the threshold was touched, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by September 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59.999Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59.999Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during August 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final \"Low\" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.\n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.\n\nThe target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) \"Low\" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.\n\nHistorical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the \"t=\" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)\n\nIf the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "pythdata.app",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "pythdata.app",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Pyth",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Pyth",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 75,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.14,
      "implied_probability": 0.14,
      "volume_24h_usd": 266.18,
      "volume_total_usd": 3593.752334,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 700,
      "question_id": "CMX-7ED0D09F6D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "500",
        "equities",
        "spy",
        "us-index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MDFS91HVC0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-82XFTLM2W2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa39ff3285adc8670c7f461791d287f338a21d880153bbbb42958f43013a177f0",
      "question": "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during August 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final \"Low\" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.\n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↓ $690: Pyth's 1-minute candle low prices for the listed security during regular trading hours (9:30 AM–4:00 PM ET) in August 2026 determine if the threshold was touched, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by September 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59.999Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59.999Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during August 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final \"Low\" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.\n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.\n\nThe target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) \"Low\" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.\n\nHistorical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the \"t=\" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)\n\nIf the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "pythdata.app",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "pythdata.app",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Pyth",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Pyth",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 75,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.07,
      "implied_probability": 0.07,
      "volume_24h_usd": 899.994407,
      "volume_total_usd": 4362.930769,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 690,
      "question_id": "CMX-84BFCB4277",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "500",
        "equities",
        "spy",
        "us-index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T30RD674X8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-82XFTLM2W2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd7b0f741a435b9e6e7373d5616805ce9fd17bcb8e50af07084173217ff8d0106",
      "question": "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during August 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final \"Low\" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.\n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↓ $680: Pyth's 1-minute candle low prices for the listed security during regular trading hours (9:30 AM–4:00 PM ET) in August 2026 determine if the threshold was touched, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by September 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59.999Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59.999Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during August 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final \"Low\" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.\n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.\n\nThe target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) \"Low\" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.\n\nHistorical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the \"t=\" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)\n\nIf the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "pythdata.app",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "pythdata.app",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Pyth",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Pyth",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 75,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.051,
      "implied_probability": 0.051,
      "volume_24h_usd": 281,
      "volume_total_usd": 3202.7543899999996,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 680,
      "question_id": "CMX-3362D3CF69",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "500",
        "equities",
        "spy",
        "us-index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6JD6GK34X6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-82XFTLM2W2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9fffc1bb8fedfae4d9b4fde6029a054841a32c4d5c6dab38f5a07a4d5d18f0aa",
      "question": "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $670 in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during August 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final \"Low\" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.\n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↓ $670: Pyth's 1-minute candle low prices for the listed security during regular trading hours (9:30 AM–4:00 PM ET) in August 2026 determine if the threshold was touched, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by September 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59.999Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59.999Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during August 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final \"Low\" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.\n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.\n\nThe target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) \"Low\" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.\n\nHistorical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the \"t=\" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)\n\nIf the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "pythdata.app",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "pythdata.app",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Pyth",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Pyth",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 75,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 2820.032856,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 670,
      "question_id": "CMX-D379AA4211",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "500",
        "equities",
        "spy",
        "us-index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1XK70C5HV0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-04T17:02:17Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H4ZQRLPV65",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-04T13:47:32Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YGQ9C6GN72",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-03T13:48:18Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K7YWW8M7Q3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-03T13:48:15Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-82XFTLM2W2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}