{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-2JWJ8BNMZ8",
  "slug": "what-will-dow-say-during-their-next-earnings-call-20260717163814079",
  "question": "Will Dow make a specific statement during their next earnings call?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "tech",
    "earnings-call",
    "dow-chemical",
    "corporate-guidance",
    "speech-analysis"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track term frequency in Dow Inc.'s Q2 2026 earnings call audio on July 23, 2026. Markets split across two threshold tiers: high-frequency terms like \"Revenue\" and \"Quarter\" require 10+ mentions, while geopolitical and thematic terms like \"China\" and \"Trump\" require 5+. All 20 markets resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the call audio transcript. A no-air market runs alongside, covering the edge case of the call not occurring.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-CNCC29T6H0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.028,
    "implied_probability": 0.028
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-96RDRTJHC0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2JWJ8BNMZ8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xec55b028cc6e48dce0b3c01276a97e59b0b9af24dfab9a3e1589278b392fd3c5",
      "question": "Will Dow say \"Income\" 10+ times during earnings call?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Dow currently scheduled to take place on July 23, 2026 at 9 AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_prod",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Income 10+ times: The listed company's earnings call audio on July 23, 2026 determines whether the named term appears 5+ times; if the event doesn't air by July 24, 2026 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" resolves Yes.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-23T15:10:15Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Dow currently scheduled to take place on July 23, 2026 at 9 AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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            "url": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "audio of the event",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "audio of the event",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.069,
      "implied_probability": 0.069,
      "volume_24h_usd": 635.5899999999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 1574.8041609999998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-4D3F1F5DF4",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SXS97FWFZ5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2JWJ8BNMZ8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5621dd24724df84565ef8af2dfd86426d840a1bf718b9ec003fbfc3587614568",
      "question": "Will Dow say \"Quarter\" 10+ times during earnings call?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Dow currently scheduled to take place on July 23, 2026 at 9 AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_prod",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Quarter 10+ times: The listed company's earnings call audio on July 23, 2026 determines whether the named term appears 5+ times; if the event doesn't air by July 24, 2026 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" resolves Yes.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-23T14:37:12Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Dow currently scheduled to take place on July 23, 2026 at 9 AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
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            "name": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "audio of the event",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1792.542378,
      "volume_total_usd": 2373.8568190000005,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-B7AF6F1905",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "what dow say"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0YSHQZDPV9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2JWJ8BNMZ8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5bec7adf8081efbdbcf3f8c4fc7ae8276541d050e08f805659e01aa814955ddb",
      "question": "Will Dow say \"Fiscal\" 10+ times during earnings call?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Dow currently scheduled to take place on July 23, 2026 at 9 AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_prod",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Fiscal 10+ times: The listed company's earnings call audio on July 23, 2026 determines whether the named term appears 5+ times; if the event doesn't air by July 24, 2026 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" resolves Yes.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-23T15:07:13Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Dow currently scheduled to take place on July 23, 2026 at 9 AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "audio of the event",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "audio of the event",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.021,
      "implied_probability": 0.021,
      "volume_24h_usd": 792.88,
      "volume_total_usd": 1894.2617630000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-BBB15162F7",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9J48VGQPM9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2JWJ8BNMZ8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb8f1ba43bfc96b9d8fcb0afce1a99ff17a93fd754cded880a995b75923f7101c",
      "question": "Will Dow say \"Demand\" 10+ times during earnings call?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Dow currently scheduled to take place on July 23, 2026 at 9 AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_prod",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Demand 10+ times: The listed company's earnings call audio on July 23, 2026 determines whether the named term appears 5+ times; if the event doesn't air by July 24, 2026 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" resolves Yes.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-23T14:37:12Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Dow currently scheduled to take place on July 23, 2026 at 9 AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "audio of the event",
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": "CMX-9B73BD2B40",
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
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      "platform_market_id": "0xca4d814adfcaedc4f304bd94fbf265fefd32c94b6aafb2790055c8467f764eb1",
      "question": "Will Dow say \"Profit\" 10+ times during earnings call?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Dow currently scheduled to take place on July 23, 2026 at 9 AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_prod",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Profit 10+ times: The listed company's earnings call audio on July 23, 2026 determines whether the named term appears 5+ times; if the event doesn't air by July 24, 2026 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" resolves Yes.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-23T15:10:15Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Dow currently scheduled to take place on July 23, 2026 at 9 AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "sources": [
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "audio of the event",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "audio of the event",
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2JWJ8BNMZ8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa8b5e00601a1702d8b8589c4fddb72fa42888d6a33753095f0c83f24b6fdb49c",
      "question": "Will Dow say \"Revenue\" 10+ times during earnings call?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Dow currently scheduled to take place on July 23, 2026 at 9 AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_prod",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Revenue 10+ times: The listed company's earnings call audio on July 23, 2026 determines whether the named term appears 5+ times; if the event doesn't air by July 24, 2026 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" resolves Yes.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-23T16:01:42Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Dow currently scheduled to take place on July 23, 2026 at 9 AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": null,
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        "source_of_record": "audio of the event",
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "volume_total_usd": 1130.46,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": "CMX-19F81B4347",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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    {
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
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        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
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          {
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "audio of the event",
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      "rcg": {
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
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      "question": "Will Dow say \"Margin\" 5+ times during earnings call?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Dow currently scheduled to take place on July 23, 2026 at 9 AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_prod",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-23T14:37:12Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Dow currently scheduled to take place on July 23, 2026 at 9 AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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            "name": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "audio of the event",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "audio of the event",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
        "what dow say"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2JWJ8BNMZ8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
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      "question": "Will Dow say \"China\" during earnings call?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Dow currently scheduled to take place on July 23, 2026 at 9 AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_prod",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "China: The listed company's earnings call audio on July 23, 2026 determines whether the named term appears 5+ times; if the event doesn't air by July 24, 2026 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" resolves Yes.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-23T14:37:12Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Dow currently scheduled to take place on July 23, 2026 at 9 AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
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            "url": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "audio of the event",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "audio of the event",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2JWJ8BNMZ8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x47fe1d1d5d073aa5b20afb410751528a1c65d9949e67569895191a8c0dbaa741",
      "question": "Will Dow say \"Iran\" during earnings call?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Dow currently scheduled to take place on July 23, 2026 at 9 AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_prod",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Iran: The listed company's earnings call audio on July 23, 2026 determines whether the named term appears 5+ times; if the event doesn't air by July 24, 2026 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" resolves Yes.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-23T15:07:13Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Dow currently scheduled to take place on July 23, 2026 at 9 AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "audio of the event",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "audio of the event",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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      "rcg": {
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8334VNW607",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2JWJ8BNMZ8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x09ebce1c4236a39f8a3be0a0e6ff3797d9bedc299f05b6b511a5891ed0a37031",
      "question": "Will Dow say \"Capacity\" during earnings call?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Dow currently scheduled to take place on July 23, 2026 at 9 AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_prod",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Capacity: The listed company's earnings call audio on July 23, 2026 determines whether the named term appears 5+ times; if the event doesn't air by July 24, 2026 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" resolves Yes.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-23T14:46:42Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Dow currently scheduled to take place on July 23, 2026 at 9 AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "audio of the event",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "audio of the event",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 0.999,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-B4C9C49A79",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2JWJ8BNMZ8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3d29424ab773d8e564fa03dc94daf5f946762c04dc4a151c23a0a154f7b17144",
      "question": "Will Dow say \"Packaging\" during earnings call?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Dow currently scheduled to take place on July 23, 2026 at 9 AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_prod",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Packaging: The listed company's earnings call audio on July 23, 2026 determines whether the named term appears 5+ times; if the event doesn't air by July 24, 2026 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" resolves Yes.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-23T14:35:15Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Dow currently scheduled to take place on July 23, 2026 at 9 AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "audio of the event",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "audio of the event",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "volume_24h_usd": 294,
      "volume_total_usd": 1074.81,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-14861BD6E1",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "what dow say"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-18VC726JT2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2JWJ8BNMZ8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9dc54b22429bef0303cf47b3eafaa023bcc29e6b66bf39a4b6c0d6d38638b70c",
      "question": "Will Dow say \"Trump\" during earnings call?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Dow currently scheduled to take place on July 23, 2026 at 9 AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_prod",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Trump: The listed company's earnings call audio on July 23, 2026 determines whether the named term appears 5+ times; if the event doesn't air by July 24, 2026 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" resolves Yes.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-23T15:07:13Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Dow currently scheduled to take place on July 23, 2026 at 9 AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "status": "closed",
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      "question": "Will Dow say \"Monopoly\" during earnings call?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-23T15:07:13Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
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        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "audio of the event",
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      "rcg": {
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      "question": "Will Dow say \"Surge\" during earnings call?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Dow currently scheduled to take place on July 23, 2026 at 9 AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_prod",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-07-23T15:36:45Z",
      "status": "closed",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2JWJ8BNMZ8",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x52b69bdc302438861396d5bc6cd0088f9feb8e6ce3060798038da97911125889",
      "question": "Will Dow say \"AI\" or \"Artificial Intelligence\" during earnings call?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Dow currently scheduled to take place on July 23, 2026 at 9 AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_prod",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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            "name": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "audio of the event",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x7a690924dfa955f3c446b6676af26b00d5b34687780b31716017c3b322bef901",
      "question": "Will Dow say \"Win\" during earnings call?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Dow currently scheduled to take place on July 23, 2026 at 9 AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_prod",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-23T16:12:16Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
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        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source": null,
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        "source_of_record": "audio of the event",
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      "tags": [
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      "platform_market_id": "0x58d88e0279bb06ae9c35be3dd8e01517fb1369d3d635a2375aae825ac9995974",
      "question": "Will Dow say \"Lawsuit\" during earnings call?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Dow currently scheduled to take place on July 23, 2026 at 9 AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_prod",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Lawsuit: The listed company's earnings call audio on July 23, 2026 determines whether the named term appears 5+ times; if the event doesn't air by July 24, 2026 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" resolves Yes.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-23T15:11:15Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Dow currently scheduled to take place on July 23, 2026 at 9 AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "sources": [
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "audio of the event",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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