{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-S8YXVVG6F4",
  "slug": "what-will-gold-gc-hit-by-end-of-december",
  "question": "Will Gold (GC) hit $____ by the end of December?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "finance",
    "commodities",
    "gold-futures",
    "price-level",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether the CME Active Month Gold (GC) futures settlement price reaches discrete upside strike thresholds by December 31, 2026. All seven contracts are Polymarket binary markets structured as strike-ladder questions, ranging from $5,000 to $15,000 per troy ounce. Each resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the CME daily settlement price. The ladder structure allows readers to imply a market-consensus price distribution across strikes.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-CLXVBXG409",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.1,
    "implied_probability": 0.1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0LTHMXML79",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S8YXVVG6F4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x63f5b6ea5e29aa1e198e76b2a3a2da75ca0ab11981a7086acaec87bff5a74072",
      "question": "Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑ $10,000: CME settlement price for the Active Month Gold (GC) futures contract reaches or exceeds the listed price on any trading day through December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.\n\nOnly the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.\n\nNote that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.\n\nOnly days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily \"Settlement\" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CME Group website",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "CME settlement page",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "CME Group",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CME Group",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.029,
      "implied_probability": 0.029,
      "volume_24h_usd": 204.900248,
      "volume_total_usd": 63708.125192,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 10000,
      "question_id": "CMX-BB2C479FCC",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "gc",
        "gold"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6VLM3SW7M9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S8YXVVG6F4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd004d5dfba46e636f05909046ec09eba1fdf8eb21d9466f64228053e98e8f87f",
      "question": "Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑ $12,000: CME settlement price for the Active Month Gold (GC) futures contract reaches or exceeds the listed price on any trading day through December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.\n\nOnly the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.\n\nNote that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.\n\nOnly days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily \"Settlement\" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CME Group website",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "CME settlement page",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "CME Group",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CME Group",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.026,
      "implied_probability": 0.026,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1858.688964,
      "volume_total_usd": 58780.489254000044,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 12000,
      "question_id": "CMX-C63CCABA15",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "gc",
        "gold"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JJ2T0FWLV3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S8YXVVG6F4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x284e9f6e1308f42c1f4d400b7b3f9614d27a3f11714ccde9fe005b0bf9646c66",
      "question": "Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑ $7,000: CME settlement price for the Active Month Gold (GC) futures contract reaches or exceeds the listed price on any trading day through December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.\n\nOnly the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.\n\nNote that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.\n\nOnly days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily \"Settlement\" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CME Group website",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "CME settlement page",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "CME Group",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CME Group",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "volume_24h_usd": 343.859643,
      "volume_total_usd": 92175.91619500006,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 7000,
      "question_id": "CMX-BA04443B71",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "gc",
        "gold"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H41JSMK3H4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S8YXVVG6F4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x90e5f1d7ef37eab2dc577c37770599c8588e797e378ab589d26afe2cffc79f4a",
      "question": "Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑ $8,000: CME settlement price for the Active Month Gold (GC) futures contract reaches or exceeds the listed price on any trading day through December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.\n\nOnly the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.\n\nNote that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.\n\nOnly days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily \"Settlement\" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CME Group website",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "CME settlement page",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "CME Group",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CME Group",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.031,
      "implied_probability": 0.031,
      "volume_24h_usd": 387.09677,
      "volume_total_usd": 44485.54762900001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 8000,
      "question_id": "CMX-1115C18119",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "gc",
        "gold"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N79FTFKGF1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S8YXVVG6F4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc44228f307e8dd5f8735dcb7e0fff4badcb52a97fc384afe6ebcf19a03b6382e",
      "question": "Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑ $15,000: CME settlement price for the Active Month Gold (GC) futures contract reaches or exceeds the listed price on any trading day through December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.\n\nOnly the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.\n\nNote that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.\n\nOnly days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily \"Settlement\" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CME Group website",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "CME settlement page",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "CME Group",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CME Group",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.028,
      "implied_probability": 0.028,
      "volume_24h_usd": 6240.787996999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 68551.198555,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 15000,
      "question_id": "CMX-43DED155D1",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "gc",
        "gold"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CLXVBXG409",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S8YXVVG6F4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x75546dcfa25f2cdd0edb5730ed2dc6f4b03940c2b1cb27eaefba47bfe434345d",
      "question": "Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑ $6,000: CME settlement price for the Active Month Gold (GC) futures contract reaches or exceeds the listed price on any trading day through December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.\n\nOnly the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.\n\nNote that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.\n\nOnly days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily \"Settlement\" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CME Group website",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "CME settlement page",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "CME Group",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CME Group",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.1,
      "implied_probability": 0.1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 55863.60014000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 589600.1528829994,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 6000,
      "question_id": "CMX-BF80A03E66",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "gc",
        "gold"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GKBQ6CN2T7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S8YXVVG6F4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "2183852",
      "question": "Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑ $5,000: CME settlement price for the Active Month Gold (GC) futures contract reaches or exceeds the listed price on any trading day through December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.\n\nOnly the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.\n\nNote that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.\n\nOnly days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily \"Settlement\" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CME Group website",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "CME settlement page",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "CME Group",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CME Group",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5000,
      "question_id": "CMX-ACD10AE9FF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "gc",
        "gold"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GKBQ6CN2T7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-S8YXVVG6F4",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}