{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-DQ3JJCR3C7",
  "slug": "what-will-hyperliquid-hip-3-open-interest-reach-2026",
  "question": "Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest, 2026",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      5000000000,
      6000000000
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 1000000000,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2000000000,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3000000000,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4000000000,
        "prob": 94
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5000000000,
        "prob": 84
      },
      {
        "threshold": 6000000000,
        "prob": 36
      },
      {
        "threshold": 7000000000,
        "prob": 16
      },
      {
        "threshold": 8000000000,
        "prob": 12
      },
      {
        "threshold": 9000000000,
        "prob": 11
      },
      {
        "threshold": 10000000000,
        "prob": 7
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "hyperliquid",
    "derivatives",
    "open-interest",
    "2027",
    "defi-metrics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Hyperliquid HIP-3 total open interest reaches discrete dollar thresholds by January 1, 2027. Polymarket structures ten binary strikes from $1B to $10B; each is an independent yes/no contract at a separate notional level. The cross-platform insight here is intra-platform: the ladder of strikes functions as an implied cumulative distribution of HIP-3 open interest. Resolution relies on Artemis Analytics' Hyperliquid page daily bar chart data, verified through Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-TZTWFKBMY5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.42,
    "implied_probability": 0.42,
    "as_of": "2026-09-03T08:00:44.406Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q3K604LC01",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DQ3JJCR3C7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd17368012bfd3807655a9576a099bc10c48ca641299a5ab288014c0ec90b5d47",
      "question": "Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $1B in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest is equal to or greater than the amount specified in the title at any point in 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source is Artemis Analytics, using the Hyperliquid page available at:\nhttps://app.artemisanalytics.com/asset/Hyperliquid?tab=deep_dives\n\nThe value used will be the “Total” open interest shown when hovering over a daily bar in the “HIP-3 DEXs by Open Interest” chart.\n\nA daily value is considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nIf the resolution source becomes perma",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$1B: Artemis Analytics' Hyperliquid page \"Total\" open interest value from the daily bar chart resolves by January 1, 2027, with finalization occurring the day after each data point publishes.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-01-31T16:39:10Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest is equal to or greater than the amount specified in the title at any point in 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source is Artemis Analytics, using the Hyperliquid page available at:\nhttps://app.artemisanalytics.com/asset/Hyperliquid?tab=deep_dives\n\nThe value used will be the “Total” open interest shown when hovering over a daily bar in the “HIP-3 DEXs by Open Interest” chart.\n\nA daily value is considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nIf the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable public data sources.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://classic.artemis.ai/asset/Hyperliquid?tab=hip_3",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "classic.artemis.ai",
            "url": "https://classic.artemis.ai/asset/Hyperliquid?tab=hip_3",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Artemis Analytics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://classic.artemis.ai/asset/Hyperliquid?tab=hip_3",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "classic.artemis.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 65,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 7548.4306,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-F11B460ED6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "derivatives",
        "hip-3",
        "hyperliquid",
        "hyperliquid hip open",
        "open-interest"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FP5LXZ8CL2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DQ3JJCR3C7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x773cfdfaf90d365afe1474bedb84f0a2ed6a9ad0b5a93270fb422ded266e93c3",
      "question": "Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $2B in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest is equal to or greater than the amount specified in the title at any point in 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source is Artemis Analytics, using the Hyperliquid page available at:\nhttps://app.artemisanalytics.com/asset/Hyperliquid?tab=deep_dives\n\nThe value used will be the “Total” open interest shown when hovering over a daily bar in the “HIP-3 DEXs by Open Interest” chart.\n\nA daily value is considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nIf the resolution source becomes perma",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$2B: Artemis Analytics' Hyperliquid page \"Total\" open interest value from the daily bar chart resolves by January 1, 2027, with finalization occurring the day after each data point publishes.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-04-04T15:48:47Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest is equal to or greater than the amount specified in the title at any point in 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source is Artemis Analytics, using the Hyperliquid page available at:\nhttps://app.artemisanalytics.com/asset/Hyperliquid?tab=deep_dives\n\nThe value used will be the “Total” open interest shown when hovering over a daily bar in the “HIP-3 DEXs by Open Interest” chart.\n\nA daily value is considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nIf the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable public data sources.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://classic.artemis.ai/asset/Hyperliquid?tab=hip_3",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "classic.artemis.ai",
            "url": "https://classic.artemis.ai/asset/Hyperliquid?tab=hip_3",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Artemis Analytics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://classic.artemis.ai/asset/Hyperliquid?tab=hip_3",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "classic.artemis.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 65,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 5579.376436000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-B077ECFB14",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "derivatives",
        "hip-3",
        "hyperliquid",
        "hyperliquid hip open",
        "open-interest"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-453XG73VW7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DQ3JJCR3C7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x953c657a5edee528b4eac2ce464c3e29edb4f0c2d952b2061143c4c161757b0d",
      "question": "Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $3B in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest is equal to or greater than the amount specified in the title at any point in 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source is Artemis Analytics, using the Hyperliquid page available at:\nhttps://app.artemisanalytics.com/asset/Hyperliquid?tab=deep_dives\n\nThe value used will be the “Total” open interest shown when hovering over a daily bar in the “HIP-3 DEXs by Open Interest” chart.\n\nA daily value is considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nIf the resolution source becomes perma",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$3B: Artemis Analytics' Hyperliquid page \"Total\" open interest value from the daily bar chart resolves by January 1, 2027, with finalization occurring the day after each data point publishes.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-06T05:11:27Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest is equal to or greater than the amount specified in the title at any point in 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source is Artemis Analytics, using the Hyperliquid page available at:\nhttps://app.artemisanalytics.com/asset/Hyperliquid?tab=deep_dives\n\nThe value used will be the “Total” open interest shown when hovering over a daily bar in the “HIP-3 DEXs by Open Interest” chart.\n\nA daily value is considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nIf the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable public data sources.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://classic.artemis.ai/asset/Hyperliquid?tab=hip_3",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "classic.artemis.ai",
            "url": "https://classic.artemis.ai/asset/Hyperliquid?tab=hip_3",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Artemis Analytics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://classic.artemis.ai/asset/Hyperliquid?tab=hip_3",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "classic.artemis.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 65,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 8570.172945000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-BC8EA61A18",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "derivatives",
        "hip-3",
        "hyperliquid",
        "hyperliquid hip open",
        "open-interest"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MP7SJLGD01",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DQ3JJCR3C7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9157ab1cc19851862005d895cc35dbaeded32518c622e808aa0a7bd839aea35c",
      "question": "Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest is equal to or greater than the amount specified in the title at any point in 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source is Artemis Analytics, using the Hyperliquid page available at:\nhttps://classic.artemis.ai/asset/Hyperliquid?tab=hip_3\n\nThe value used will be the “Total” open interest shown when hovering over a daily bar in the “HIP-3 DEXs by Open Interest” chart.\n\nA daily value is considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nIf the resolution source becomes permanently unav",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$4B: Artemis Analytics' Hyperliquid page \"Total\" open interest value from the daily bar chart resolves by January 1, 2027, with finalization occurring the day after each data point publishes.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest is equal to or greater than the amount specified in the title at any point in 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source is Artemis Analytics, using the Hyperliquid page available at:\nhttps://classic.artemis.ai/asset/Hyperliquid?tab=hip_3\n\nThe value used will be the “Total” open interest shown when hovering over a daily bar in the “HIP-3 DEXs by Open Interest” chart.\n\nA daily value is considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nIf the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable public data sources.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://classic.artemis.ai/asset/Hyperliquid?tab=hip_3",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "classic.artemis.ai",
            "url": "https://classic.artemis.ai/asset/Hyperliquid?tab=hip_3",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Artemis Analytics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://classic.artemis.ai/asset/Hyperliquid?tab=hip_3",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "classic.artemis.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 65,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-25T15:00:38.327Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 25480.515821000008,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-430AD5742D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "derivatives",
        "hip-3",
        "hyperliquid",
        "hyperliquid hip open",
        "open-interest"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LDW5Q9YXL8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DQ3JJCR3C7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3b6ef460b4d6b718240f3d044675d7c1f4a2db41de56e235c87af7c3f37d29dc",
      "question": "Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest is equal to or greater than the amount specified in the title at any point in 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source is Artemis Analytics, using the Hyperliquid page available at:\nhttps://classic.artemis.ai/asset/Hyperliquid?tab=hip_3\n\nThe value used will be the “Total” open interest shown when hovering over a daily bar in the “HIP-3 DEXs by Open Interest” chart.\n\nA daily value is considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nIf the resolution source becomes permanently unav",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$5B: Artemis Analytics' Hyperliquid page \"Total\" open interest value from the daily bar chart resolves by January 1, 2027, with finalization occurring the day after each data point publishes.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest is equal to or greater than the amount specified in the title at any point in 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source is Artemis Analytics, using the Hyperliquid page available at:\nhttps://classic.artemis.ai/asset/Hyperliquid?tab=hip_3\n\nThe value used will be the “Total” open interest shown when hovering over a daily bar in the “HIP-3 DEXs by Open Interest” chart.\n\nA daily value is considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nIf the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable public data sources.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://classic.artemis.ai/asset/Hyperliquid?tab=hip_3",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "classic.artemis.ai",
            "url": "https://classic.artemis.ai/asset/Hyperliquid?tab=hip_3",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Artemis Analytics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://classic.artemis.ai/asset/Hyperliquid?tab=hip_3",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "classic.artemis.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 65,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.811,
      "implied_probability": 0.811,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-07T08:00:41.128Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 45.69,
      "volume_total_usd": 24238.55251,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-A501487C45",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "derivatives",
        "hip-3",
        "hyperliquid",
        "hyperliquid hip open",
        "open-interest"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TZTWFKBMY5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DQ3JJCR3C7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x868a8b73e84076ee57d63fb6dca3637b8fab71685ebd774826fde16e9f88354d",
      "question": "Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest is equal to or greater than the amount specified in the title at any point in 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source is Artemis Analytics, using the Hyperliquid page available at:\nhttps://classic.artemis.ai/asset/Hyperliquid?tab=hip_3\n\nThe value used will be the “Total” open interest shown when hovering over a daily bar in the “HIP-3 DEXs by Open Interest” chart.\n\nA daily value is considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nIf the resolution source becomes permanently unav",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$6B: Artemis Analytics' Hyperliquid page \"Total\" open interest value from the daily bar chart resolves by January 1, 2027, with finalization occurring the day after each data point publishes.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest is equal to or greater than the amount specified in the title at any point in 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source is Artemis Analytics, using the Hyperliquid page available at:\nhttps://classic.artemis.ai/asset/Hyperliquid?tab=hip_3\n\nThe value used will be the “Total” open interest shown when hovering over a daily bar in the “HIP-3 DEXs by Open Interest” chart.\n\nA daily value is considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nIf the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable public data sources.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://classic.artemis.ai/asset/Hyperliquid?tab=hip_3",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "classic.artemis.ai",
            "url": "https://classic.artemis.ai/asset/Hyperliquid?tab=hip_3",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Artemis Analytics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://classic.artemis.ai/asset/Hyperliquid?tab=hip_3",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "classic.artemis.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 65,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.42,
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    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}