{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-MGDRLLFX83",
  "slug": "what-will-karoline-leavitt-say-during-the-next-white-house-press-briefing-20260723134130083",
  "question": "Will Karoline Leavitt make a statement during the next White House press briefing?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "trump",
    "politics",
    "white-house-briefing",
    "press-secretary",
    "speech-content",
    "2026"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track specific word and phrase frequencies in White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's next briefing transcript. Each binary contract resolves on whether a target term clears a stated count threshold. All 22 contracts resolve against the official White House transcript via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, with a resolve date of July 23, 2026. Frequency thresholds vary widely, from single-mention checks to 50-plus occurrences of \"President.\"",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-JDQVXGGW43",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.997,
    "implied_probability": 0.997
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x5d1157ecf6deda6d84add0c6c8b5bc55e334adfeeb20164ff89f7ad33466a861",
      "question": "Will Leavitt say \"President\" 50+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the acting White House Press Secretary says the listed term during the next White House press briefing they participate in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such press briefing happens by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\". \n\nThis market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify. \"New Media\" pr",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "President 50+ times: The acting White House Press Secretary's next press briefing transcript, per White House official records, determines whether the listed term was spoken by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-23T17:59:13Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the acting White House Press Secretary says the listed term during the next White House press briefing they participate in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such press briefing happens by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\". \n\nThis market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify. \"New Media\" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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            "url": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/",
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            "name": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/",
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      "question": "Will Leavitt say \"President\" 40+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the acting White House Press Secretary says the listed term during the next White House press briefing they participate in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such press briefing happens by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\". \n\nThis market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify. \"New Media\" pr",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "President 40+ times: The acting White House Press Secretary's next press briefing transcript, per White House official records, determines whether the listed term was spoken by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-23T18:00:28Z",
      "status": "closed",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the acting White House Press Secretary says the listed term during the next White House press briefing they participate in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such press briefing happens by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\". \n\nThis market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify. \"New Media\" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1R1LK315H4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MGDRLLFX83",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb2f24b4441959c9999f74587eadacdf96224c68192f4e469032c2e6cb53e4108",
      "question": "Will Leavitt say \"Administration\" 10+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the acting White House Press Secretary says the listed term during the next White House press briefing they participate in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such press briefing happens by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\". \n\nThis market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify. \"New Media\" pr",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Administration 10+ times: The acting White House Press Secretary's next press briefing transcript, per White House official records, determines whether the listed term was spoken by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-23T17:59:13Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the acting White House Press Secretary says the listed term during the next White House press briefing they participate in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such press briefing happens by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\". \n\nThis market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify. \"New Media\" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_of_record": "footage of the relevant briefing",
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KWNK7SXWP8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MGDRLLFX83",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x51115f2951075e8a91cb7425e6832094ded92d5de3e8e011e9e9482be25d27c4",
      "question": "Will Leavitt say \"Thing\" 10+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the acting White House Press Secretary says the listed term during the next White House press briefing they participate in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such press briefing happens by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\". \n\nThis market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify. \"New Media\" pr",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-23T18:29:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the acting White House Press Secretary says the listed term during the next White House press briefing they participate in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such press briefing happens by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\". \n\nThis market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify. \"New Media\" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x4f6f64d14a7054ccdaf0f448da2c917d3fc64c150904a3ee348e2cfa5eb611d9",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the acting White House Press Secretary says the listed term during the next White House press briefing they participate in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such press briefing happens by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\". \n\nThis market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify. \"New Media\" pr",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-23T17:52:03Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the acting White House Press Secretary says the listed term during the next White House press briefing they participate in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such press briefing happens by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\". \n\nThis market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify. \"New Media\" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x5fde017d3483bf394790d2ad46c26ffd99ffe951b75af06ad8df0543589a98a0",
      "question": "Will Leavitt say \"Iran\" 5+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
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      "status": "closed",
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      "status": "closed",
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      "question": "Will Leavitt say \"Ceasefire\" during the next White House Press Briefing?",
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      "question": "Will Leavitt say \"Russia\" or \"Ukraine\" during the next White House Press Briefing?",
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      "status": "closed",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the acting White House Press Secretary says the listed term during the next White House press briefing they participate in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such press briefing happens by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\". \n\nThis market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify. \"New Media\" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
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      "question": "Will Leavitt say \"Mexico\" during the next White House Press Briefing?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-23T17:52:03Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the acting White House Press Secretary says the listed term during the next White House press briefing they participate in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such press briefing happens by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\". \n\nThis market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify. \"New Media\" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
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        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "url": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
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      "question": "Will Leavitt say \"Illegal\" or \"Illegals\" during the next White House Press Briefing?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-23T17:48:13Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the acting White House Press Secretary says the listed term during the next White House press briefing they participate in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such press briefing happens by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\". \n\nThis market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify. \"New Media\" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [
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      "question": "Will Leavitt say \"CDC\" or \"WHO\" during the next White House Press Briefing?",
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      "status": "resolved",
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      "question": "Will Leavitt say \"World Cup\" during the next White House Press Briefing?",
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      "status": "closed",
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      "platform": "polymarket",
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      "question": "Will Leavitt say \"Madness\" during the next White House Press Briefing?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-07-23T17:52:03Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
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      "question": "Will Leavitt say \"Commander in Chief\" during the next White House Press Briefing?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-23T17:55:58Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the acting White House Press Secretary says the listed term during the next White House press briefing they participate in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such press briefing happens by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\". \n\nThis market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify. \"New Media\" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-23T17:48:13Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the acting White House Press Secretary says the listed term during the next White House press briefing they participate in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such press briefing happens by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\". \n\nThis market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify. \"New Media\" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
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        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/",
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      "question": "Will Leavitt say \"Hormuz\" or \"Strait\" during the next White House Press Briefing?",
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      "status": "closed",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
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      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the acting White House Press Secretary says the listed term during the next White House press briefing they participate in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such press briefing happens by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\". \n\nThis market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify. \"New Media\" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
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      "status": "closed",
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      "source": "platform_api",
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      "platform": "polymarket",
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