{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-WB85BV4T72",
  "slug": "what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026",
  "question": "Will the Federal Reserve's benchmark interest rate be at a specific level at the end of 2026?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "fed-rates",
    "economic-policy",
    "us-monetary-policy",
    "interest-rates",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the federal funds rate upper bound following the December 2026 FOMC meeting. Polymarket structures this as 15 discrete binary strikes, each pricing the probability of a specific rate level. Taken together, the strikes form an implied probability distribution across the full policy rate range. Resolution is determined by the Federal Reserve Board of Governors' December 2026 statement, verified through Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-HN377B9BD3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.065,
    "implied_probability": 0.065,
    "as_of": "2026-09-05T23:01:09.328Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QT00XH6PG1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WB85BV4T72",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcefba5a5ca20b0fee51103c05388828b138cc2199a36fe5a7702049dbc9e5222",
      "question": "Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?",
      "description": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range,",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "2.25%: Federal Reserve Board of Governors' statement on the target federal funds range following the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee meeting resolves the upper bound outcome by December 9, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.\n\nThe upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Reserve",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Reserve",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.003,
      "implied_probability": 0.003,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-07T09:00:42.355Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 5,
      "volume_total_usd": 88882.22652600003,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.25,
      "question_id": "CMX-A0C05317B9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fed",
        "federal funds rate",
        "interest rates",
        "monetary policy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KV42SXTJ35",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WB85BV4T72",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xed67f6f9c7c20366b5e608062ada2b8bcb2f667f96d9acdbfc945bd1e5dfdaea",
      "question": "Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?",
      "description": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range,",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "2.5%: Federal Reserve Board of Governors' statement on the target federal funds range following the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee meeting resolves the upper bound outcome by December 9, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.\n\nThe upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Reserve",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Federal Reserve",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.005,
      "implied_probability": 0.005,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-07T09:00:42.355Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 7.79,
      "volume_total_usd": 175667.066374,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-3F63966245",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fed",
        "federal funds rate",
        "interest rates",
        "monetary policy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PT7Y7RRTZ0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WB85BV4T72",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0fe6bc20ffff1a1f3c0b076f2c512fc582fb82be1cf5836b59bbafa17151fb32",
      "question": "Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?",
      "description": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range,",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "2.75%: Federal Reserve Board of Governors' statement on the target federal funds range following the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee meeting resolves the upper bound outcome by December 9, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.\n\nThe upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Reserve",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Federal Reserve",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.004,
      "implied_probability": 0.004,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-06T16:00:46.221Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 62290.927799,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.75,
      "question_id": "CMX-0CCEAB0C4E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fed",
        "federal funds rate",
        "interest rates",
        "monetary policy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K01FLNYCW6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WB85BV4T72",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf9ca1f6608ee282342a6c8d108dda15b91fc9cc1cf9e90a548c3ae5f825b425f",
      "question": "Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?",
      "description": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range,",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "3.0%: Federal Reserve Board of Governors' statement on the target federal funds range following the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee meeting resolves the upper bound outcome by December 9, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.\n\nThe upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Reserve",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Reserve",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.003,
      "implied_probability": 0.003,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-05T13:01:18.885Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 489646.53689999983,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3,
      "question_id": "CMX-B9511015B5",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fed",
        "federal funds rate",
        "interest rates",
        "monetary policy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-69V04FLBG0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WB85BV4T72",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xaf3a3a07512f3123098b5901a8c4ed2a8320cc7c8e011c831ce4af3c17324260",
      "question": "Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?",
      "description": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range,",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "3.25%: Federal Reserve Board of Governors' statement on the target federal funds range following the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee meeting resolves the upper bound outcome by December 9, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.\n\nThe upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Reserve",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Reserve",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.004,
      "implied_probability": 0.004,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-07T09:00:42.355Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 1102.49,
      "volume_total_usd": 68155.464014,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.25,
      "question_id": "CMX-11697A3416",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fed",
        "federal funds rate",
        "interest rates",
        "monetary policy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KS9M68SF33",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WB85BV4T72",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfdf784c55879c70a90eab563dde386b6c5965e41be15fa74424f1db623282312",
      "question": "Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?",
      "description": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range,",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "3.5%: Federal Reserve Board of Governors' statement on the target federal funds range following the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee meeting resolves the upper bound outcome by December 9, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.\n\nThe upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Reserve",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Reserve",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.075,
      "implied_probability": 0.075,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-07T09:00:42.355Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 5.49,
      "volume_total_usd": 203472.58013799996,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-1376497B8B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fed",
        "federal funds rate",
        "interest rates",
        "monetary policy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DK18XB4167",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WB85BV4T72",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf88da08f18b2026d986d67508141ec7c13614d87a6ff0f5315edfce4df643165",
      "question": "Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?",
      "description": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range,",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "3.75%: Federal Reserve Board of Governors' statement on the target federal funds range following the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee meeting resolves the upper bound outcome by December 9, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.\n\nThe upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Reserve",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Reserve",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.217,
      "implied_probability": 0.217,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-07T09:00:42.355Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 11.67,
      "volume_total_usd": 533170.21402,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.75,
      "question_id": "CMX-F40ACC9C74",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fed",
        "federal funds rate",
        "interest rates",
        "monetary policy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-64R6N18R90",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WB85BV4T72",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb6abfbc465b88c6085503b3280872545c99c43fc979674bb47b9df1f7c170fd3",
      "question": "Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?",
      "description": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range,",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "4.0%: Federal Reserve Board of Governors' statement on the target federal funds range following the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee meeting resolves the upper bound outcome by December 9, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.\n\nThe upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Reserve",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Reserve",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.416,
      "implied_probability": 0.416,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-05T13:01:18.885Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1370913.0345590003,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4,
      "question_id": "CMX-D4AF90EFEA",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fed",
        "federal funds rate",
        "interest rates",
        "monetary policy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YZ1TYVQ0V8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WB85BV4T72",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x16dd5e4c4bfa3f3095c3ff0def4bed556eba411e3cdbf7b463b3b9a74c1d93a4",
      "question": "Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?",
      "description": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range,",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "4.25%: Federal Reserve Board of Governors' statement on the target federal funds range following the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee meeting resolves the upper bound outcome by December 9, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.\n\nThe upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Reserve",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Reserve",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.209,
      "implied_probability": 0.209,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-07T09:00:42.355Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 5.32,
      "volume_total_usd": 430807.6752999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.25,
      "question_id": "CMX-B4AA650B6C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fed",
        "federal funds rate",
        "interest rates",
        "monetary policy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HN377B9BD3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WB85BV4T72",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3d20f26deb9b9cc7e24e5e06c10234a722d93bac095ce1105c59b44b503078d7",
      "question": "Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?",
      "description": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range,",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "≥ 4.5%: Federal Reserve Board of Governors' statement on the target federal funds range following the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee meeting resolves the upper bound outcome by December 9, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.\n\nThe upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Reserve",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Reserve",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.065,
      "implied_probability": 0.065,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-05T23:01:09.328Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2409514.346896,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-07D43E4433",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fed",
        "federal funds rate",
        "interest rates",
        "monetary policy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-64P90JJHJ3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WB85BV4T72",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x857a2ae8088bc256184d6684adfdc7832d072e526c1e8f0d218c1160770c20e9",
      "question": "Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?",
      "description": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range,",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "≤1.0%: Federal Reserve Board of Governors' statement on the target federal funds range following the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee meeting resolves the upper bound outcome by December 9, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.\n\nThe upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Reserve",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Reserve",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.004,
      "implied_probability": 0.004,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-07T09:00:42.355Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 375.58599999999996,
      "volume_total_usd": 252492.1549869999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 1,
      "question_id": "CMX-7AA408F3A5",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fed",
        "federal funds rate",
        "interest rates",
        "monetary policy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2VBR884DB3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WB85BV4T72",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7a4ddd066c01025c1f97739238a872546c73ac4a32f75f8045f526a8eb27d1a0",
      "question": "Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?",
      "description": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range,",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1.25: Federal Reserve Board of Governors' statement on the target federal funds range following the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee meeting resolves the upper bound outcome by December 9, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.\n\nThe upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Reserve",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Reserve",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.006,
      "implied_probability": 0.006,
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        "interest rates",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9MVYZ2ZXL1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WB85BV4T72",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xb81fde30f892e09596d26670fd93da5a113451e197d059b434c2b27bb5c27b09",
      "question": "Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?",
      "description": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range,",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.\n\nThe upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).",
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      "question": "Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WB85BV4T72",
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      "question": "Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?",
      "description": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range,",
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        "rules_raw": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.\n\nThe upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
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      "question_id": "CMX-2D0DD36F5A",
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      "tags": [
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        "federal funds rate",
        "interest rates",
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-WB85BV4T72",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}