{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-VSS4FMD3S9",
  "slug": "what-will-the-median-home-value-in-miami-be-on-september-30-20260630172328034",
  "question": "What will the median home value in Miami be on September 30?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "economy",
    "real-estate",
    "miami",
    "housing-market",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Miami's median home value as of September 30, 2026. Polymarket structures the event as seven mutually exclusive strike tiers spanning below $1,017,000 to above $1,196,000. The authoritative data source is the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle protocol upon index publication.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-P3TQHLT0G3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.34,
    "implied_probability": 0.34
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T56L1CY713",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VSS4FMD3S9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x00b133496b844c5891275e63c581d4b47ee2cd04261186658cae1e1356aba7f5",
      "question": "Will the median home value in Miami be less than $1,017,000 on September 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is releas",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "<$1.017M: Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the referenced location publishes median home value data on September 30, 2026, calculated by multiplying price per square foot by 2100 square feet.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "app.parcllabs.com",
            "url": "https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Parcl Labs Sales Price Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 87,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 890.874012,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 1017000,
      "question_id": "CMX-009657C0D6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "home prices",
        "miami",
        "miami median home",
        "real estate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RFPH84B992",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VSS4FMD3S9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd973d89bd6563433a5b6381ede7bef080897ec4645ed184eb1b545353dac5e9b",
      "question": "Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,017,000 and $1,053,000 on September 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is releas",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$1.017M - $1.053M: Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the referenced location publishes median home value data on September 30, 2026, calculated by multiplying price per square foot by 2100 square feet.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "app.parcllabs.com",
            "url": "https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Parcl Labs Sales Price Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 87,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 2010.8756190000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-5F64137EA3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "home prices",
        "miami",
        "miami median home",
        "real estate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0PPH0VLV85",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VSS4FMD3S9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x308bb8f382ae79af4e51094391c21e982a01cb21c7f73f55bc5376696d4dff9f",
      "question": "Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,053,000 and $1,089,000 on September 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is releas",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$1.053M - $1.089M: Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the referenced location publishes median home value data on September 30, 2026, calculated by multiplying price per square foot by 2100 square feet.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "app.parcllabs.com",
            "url": "https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Parcl Labs Sales Price Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 87,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.3,
      "implied_probability": 0.3,
      "volume_24h_usd": 154.932726,
      "volume_total_usd": 5436.478347,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-358D19EF42",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "home prices",
        "miami",
        "miami median home",
        "real estate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P3TQHLT0G3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VSS4FMD3S9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd00825ea777a98b6527a5734cf4611b36bda0130bf5a32863ae83232347e16a4",
      "question": "Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is releas",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$1.089M - $1.125M: Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the referenced location publishes median home value data on September 30, 2026, calculated by multiplying price per square foot by 2100 square feet.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "app.parcllabs.com",
            "url": "https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Parcl Labs Sales Price Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 87,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.34,
      "implied_probability": 0.34,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3.85,
      "volume_total_usd": 21363.821882999997,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-358D19EF42",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "home prices",
        "miami",
        "miami median home",
        "real estate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CK238GL8K8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VSS4FMD3S9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7f90ba2bc5a0cdd0636c27f9194e117b6abf7623d4b7c686a098a56055249d8a",
      "question": "Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is releas",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$1.125M - $1.161M: Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the referenced location publishes median home value data on September 30, 2026, calculated by multiplying price per square foot by 2100 square feet.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "app.parcllabs.com",
            "url": "https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Parcl Labs Sales Price Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 87,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.155,
      "implied_probability": 0.155,
      "volume_24h_usd": 150.02,
      "volume_total_usd": 10747.004425000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-358D19EF42",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "home prices",
        "miami",
        "miami median home",
        "real estate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-89MKFL1TD2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VSS4FMD3S9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbdb225c4bc6f80adbb7b2d596a735de275549d177d55c962cf42a16e142be22d",
      "question": "Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,161,000 and $1,196,000 on September 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is releas",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$1.161M - $1.196M: Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the referenced location publishes median home value data on September 30, 2026, calculated by multiplying price per square foot by 2100 square feet.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "app.parcllabs.com",
            "url": "https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Parcl Labs Sales Price Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 87,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.16,
      "implied_probability": 0.16,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3,
      "volume_total_usd": 947.3398090000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-5F64137EA3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "home prices",
        "miami",
        "miami median home",
        "real estate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3HH6XYF0S3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VSS4FMD3S9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x76d816c8f5c12bc23e70d099788ebcf094a5ca477edba0916a503a1d1bf7e9f8",
      "question": "Will the median home value in Miami be at least $1,196,000 on September 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is releas",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$1.196M+: Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the referenced location publishes median home value data on September 30, 2026, calculated by multiplying price per square foot by 2100 square feet.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "app.parcllabs.com",
            "url": "https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Parcl Labs Sales Price Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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      "threshold": 1196000,
      "question_id": "CMX-A76986C49B",
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        "miami median home",
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-VSS4FMD3S9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}