{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-7KQT47ZLX8",
  "slug": "what-will-the-median-home-value-in-new-york-city-be-on-september-30-20260630180215064",
  "question": "Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "economy",
    "real-estate",
    "nyc",
    "median-home-value",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index median home value for New York City on September 30, 2026. Seven mutually exclusive Polymarket bins span below $555,000 to $689,000 or above, in $27,000 increments. All seven resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against Parcl Labs data published on that date. Parcl Labs, not any platform, is the authoritative data source for settlement.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-SR0LMH9HL1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.274,
    "implied_probability": 0.274
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LRFMHLJTZ7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7KQT47ZLX8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2a1b9a9c9df9da93ae0d402a2de467ca01b05a1b119cb80898eb7ea541a900b6",
      "question": "Will the median home value in NYC be less than $555,000 on September 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "<$555K: Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the referenced city publishes median home value data on September 30, 2026, calculated by multiplying the price per square foot index by 1000 square feet.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "app.parcllabs.com",
            "url": "https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 77,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.063,
      "implied_probability": 0.063,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 365.819493,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 555000,
      "question_id": "CMX-49F096B1C0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "housing",
        "median home nyc",
        "nyc",
        "real estate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N5YZJM1CP2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7KQT47ZLX8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8297c02f993e13fbaf3594dd693e32768c3e2e2fa2454b7e0f919a375b42da79",
      "question": "Will the median home value in NYC be between $555,000 and $582,000 on September 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$555K - $582K: Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the referenced city publishes median home value data on September 30, 2026, calculated by multiplying the price per square foot index by 1000 square feet.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.006,
      "implied_probability": 0.006,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1572.432681,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-2B1B952ADB",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "housing",
        "median home nyc",
        "nyc",
        "real estate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GYS5KNLL27",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7KQT47ZLX8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8f3b5b40a9c2d1d829c918e93246cbd9182fbd7925d91e287e13f72f7ca6da7d",
      "question": "Will the median home value in NYC be between $582,000 and $609,000 on September 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$582K - $609K: Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the referenced city publishes median home value data on September 30, 2026, calculated by multiplying the price per square foot index by 1000 square feet.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "app.parcllabs.com",
            "url": "https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 77,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 315.880395,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-F8AF9D7D3E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "housing",
        "median home nyc",
        "nyc",
        "real estate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KHVB1FWP77",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7KQT47ZLX8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbfd3cbf36d316f10aac12946ce51e68bf1d3e1e3f26b5607df98ae691f4f1953",
      "question": "Will the median home value in NYC be between $609,000 and $636,000 on September 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$609K - $636K: Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the referenced city publishes median home value data on September 30, 2026, calculated by multiplying the price per square foot index by 1000 square feet.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50",
        "sources": [
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          },
          {
            "name": "Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 77,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.281,
      "implied_probability": 0.281,
      "volume_24h_usd": 30.35,
      "volume_total_usd": 5567.246794000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-FFD25AA10C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "nyc",
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      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SR0LMH9HL1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7KQT47ZLX8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x17a8def470ebf26c11f32d43570bcb9aa92c40967202121dd8a17f56545b95c7",
      "question": "Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$636K - $663K: Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the referenced city publishes median home value data on September 30, 2026, calculated by multiplying the price per square foot index by 1000 square feet.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 77,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.274,
      "implied_probability": 0.274,
      "volume_24h_usd": 606.69,
      "volume_total_usd": 14350.352172,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-2B8F8EB1C0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "nyc",
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      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8YHZPFTX98",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7KQT47ZLX8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf33a27c0466ba9adfa51492131fa4b25adcde7cb996ef119b73a9c0be9ccef4d",
      "question": "Will the median home value in NYC be between $663,000 and $689,000 on September 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$663K - $689K: Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the referenced city publishes median home value data on September 30, 2026, calculated by multiplying the price per square foot index by 1000 square feet.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50",
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          },
          {
            "name": "Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 77,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.061,
      "implied_probability": 0.061,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 383.44852999999995,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
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      "question_id": "CMX-5F9C0A9CA9",
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      "tags": [
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        "median home nyc",
        "nyc",
        "real estate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4488F1LNS0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7KQT47ZLX8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x462770bf434ae34e8b73a7c84c4e4ef7b810a75101ca5367542bfc01b8de1bb2",
      "question": "Will the median home value in NYC be at least $689,000 on September 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$689K+: Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the referenced city publishes median home value data on September 30, 2026, calculated by multiplying the price per square foot index by 1000 square feet.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "app.parcllabs.com",
            "url": "https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 77,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.103,
      "implied_probability": 0.103,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 526.9200000000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 689000,
      "question_id": "CMX-284ECE1198",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "housing",
        "median home nyc",
        "nyc",
        "real estate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-7KQT47ZLX8",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}