{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-XM0CQ9HLD4",
  "slug": "what-will-trump-say-during-remarks-in-las-vegas-20260803153421445",
  "question": "Will Trump make remarks in Las Vegas?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "trump",
    "politics",
    "speech-content",
    "2026",
    "event-remarks",
    "word-frequency"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track specific word and phrase usage during Trump's scheduled remarks in Las Vegas, closing August 5, 2026. All 16 contracts are structured as binary occurrence bets, ranging from high-frequency terms like \"Tax\" (30+ threshold) to low-probability phrases like \"Warren Buffett.\" One market covers event cancellation, resolving YES if the remarks do not air. All contracts resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against verified speech transcripts.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-S7WJXT8QW4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.92,
    "implied_probability": 0.92
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-861T32VFY3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XM0CQ9HLD4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe82812b0b7ae69019bef2623c8286106f4c759a5adb2abc7110fe6472fe54017",
      "question": "Will Trump say \"Tax\" 30+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?",
      "description": "Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 scheduled for 4:30 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf this event is defin",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Tax 30+ times: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named candidate utters the specified phrase during the scheduled August 5, 2026 Las Vegas remarks at 4:30 PM ET, resolving by 11:59 PM ET that day.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 scheduled for 4:30 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio/video of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "forth.news",
            "url": "https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "rollcall.com",
            "url": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.66,
      "implied_probability": 0.66,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2706.6171479999985,
      "volume_total_usd": 2706.617148,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 30,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "las vegas",
        "speech",
        "trump",
        "trump remarks word"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W23DXPKJB6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XM0CQ9HLD4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2bddb0e53827afdfd0f5bd213f9efe755155d963a23edfed8647b448b212b75d",
      "question": "Will Trump say \"Hell\" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?",
      "description": "Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 scheduled for 4:30 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf this event is defin",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Hell 8+ times: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named candidate utters the specified phrase during the scheduled August 5, 2026 Las Vegas remarks at 4:30 PM ET, resolving by 11:59 PM ET that day.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 scheduled for 4:30 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio/video of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "forth.news",
            "url": "https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "rollcall.com",
            "url": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.45,
      "implied_probability": 0.45,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2935.4349049999987,
      "volume_total_usd": 2935.4349049999996,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 8,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "las vegas",
        "speech",
        "trump",
        "trump remarks word"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8CZLHH5147",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XM0CQ9HLD4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd66795856235221df01cab794e20b02bf10dce07aee869a336f11eef7ede81e4",
      "question": "Will Trump say \"Beautiful\" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?",
      "description": "Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 scheduled for 4:30 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf this event is defin",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Beautiful 15+ times: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named candidate utters the specified phrase during the scheduled August 5, 2026 Las Vegas remarks at 4:30 PM ET, resolving by 11:59 PM ET that day.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 scheduled for 4:30 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio/video of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "forth.news",
            "url": "https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "rollcall.com",
            "url": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.42,
      "implied_probability": 0.42,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2487.5710420000023,
      "volume_total_usd": 2487.5710420000028,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 15,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "las vegas",
        "speech",
        "trump",
        "trump remarks word"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DTRWJD6K08",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XM0CQ9HLD4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x72d359b531fdf4417833f0e1c638e6c6a7540a2d45d91029414657632eb19c25",
      "question": "Will Trump say \"Job\" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?",
      "description": "Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 scheduled for 4:30 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf this event is defin",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Job 15+ times: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named candidate utters the specified phrase during the scheduled August 5, 2026 Las Vegas remarks at 4:30 PM ET, resolving by 11:59 PM ET that day.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 scheduled for 4:30 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio/video of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "forth.news",
            "url": "https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "rollcall.com",
            "url": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.67,
      "implied_probability": 0.67,
      "volume_24h_usd": 860.1166889999997,
      "volume_total_usd": 860.116689,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 15,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "las vegas",
        "speech",
        "trump",
        "trump remarks word"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-35DXZZSKQ1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XM0CQ9HLD4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2441a586b2fb982d757321ef6b9b476e2445e40b1d120a42b651e35889d5df98",
      "question": "Will Trump say \"Rural Health\" or \"Rural Healthcare\" during remarks in Las Vegas?",
      "description": "Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 scheduled for 4:30 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf this event is defin",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Rural Health / Rural Healthcare: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named candidate utters the specified phrase during the scheduled August 5, 2026 Las Vegas remarks at 4:30 PM ET, resolving by 11:59 PM ET that day.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 scheduled for 4:30 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio/video of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "forth.news",
            "url": "https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "rollcall.com",
            "url": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.29,
      "implied_probability": 0.29,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2164.127636,
      "volume_total_usd": 2164.127636,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "las vegas",
        "speech",
        "trump",
        "trump remarks phrase"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9L93MKV393",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XM0CQ9HLD4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x15657dd0f3032afbff1772c906a81d16ae5d3ba26d5d6feee20df701f4faecaa",
      "question": "Will Trump say \"Police Officer\" during remarks in Las Vegas?",
      "description": "Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 scheduled for 4:30 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf this event is defin",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Police Officer: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named candidate utters the specified phrase during the scheduled August 5, 2026 Las Vegas remarks at 4:30 PM ET, resolving by 11:59 PM ET that day.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 scheduled for 4:30 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio/video of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "forth.news",
            "url": "https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "rollcall.com",
            "url": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.34,
      "implied_probability": 0.34,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1463.732476,
      "volume_total_usd": 1463.7324760000001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "las vegas",
        "speech",
        "trump",
        "trump remarks phrase"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MZFTC1C404",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XM0CQ9HLD4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x191a539937c913fc1a48fdddbeff17e75df2654955c78a79e69cca06dc8eb1a0",
      "question": "Will Trump say \"COVID\" or \"Warp Speed\" during remarks in Las Vegas?",
      "description": "Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 scheduled for 4:30 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf this event is defin",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "COVID / Warp Speed: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named candidate utters the specified phrase during the scheduled August 5, 2026 Las Vegas remarks at 4:30 PM ET, resolving by 11:59 PM ET that day.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 scheduled for 4:30 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio/video of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "forth.news",
            "url": "https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "rollcall.com",
            "url": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.45,
      "implied_probability": 0.45,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2537.6169409999998,
      "volume_total_usd": 2537.616941,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "las vegas",
        "speech",
        "trump",
        "trump remarks phrase"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5XGXJ94XG6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XM0CQ9HLD4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc9dc74c918dd9e10caa9c719db287c938225eb0535cad080ed3253d02ba148cc",
      "question": "Will Trump say \"Warren Buffett\" during remarks in Las Vegas?",
      "description": "Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 scheduled for 4:30 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf this event is defin",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Warren Buffett: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named candidate utters the specified phrase during the scheduled August 5, 2026 Las Vegas remarks at 4:30 PM ET, resolving by 11:59 PM ET that day.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 scheduled for 4:30 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio/video of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "forth.news",
            "url": "https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "rollcall.com",
            "url": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.3,
      "implied_probability": 0.3,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3286.122934000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 3286.122934,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "las vegas",
        "speech",
        "trump",
        "trump remarks phrase"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LDLYW2PDN9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XM0CQ9HLD4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc35b9469ab142213e7fb943c8094349ce72faeb9e0706fbeffa8e7469e6083d7",
      "question": "Will Trump say \"No No No\" during remarks in Las Vegas?",
      "description": "Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 scheduled for 4:30 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf this event is defin",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "No No No: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named candidate utters the specified phrase during the scheduled August 5, 2026 Las Vegas remarks at 4:30 PM ET, resolving by 11:59 PM ET that day.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 scheduled for 4:30 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio/video of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "forth.news",
            "url": "https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "rollcall.com",
            "url": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.39,
      "implied_probability": 0.39,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1487.620541,
      "volume_total_usd": 1487.6205410000002,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "las vegas",
        "speech",
        "trump",
        "trump remarks phrase"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LM5HV00665",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XM0CQ9HLD4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe5522de3c9978972e63c2a222c175a8182e92beb1dfd34f3a97106ff10db6cb8",
      "question": "Will Trump say \"Through the Roof\" during remarks in Las Vegas?",
      "description": "Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 scheduled for 4:30 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf this event is defin",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Through the Roof: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named candidate utters the specified phrase during the scheduled August 5, 2026 Las Vegas remarks at 4:30 PM ET, resolving by 11:59 PM ET that day.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 scheduled for 4:30 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio/video of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "forth.news",
            "url": "https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "rollcall.com",
            "url": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.64,
      "implied_probability": 0.64,
      "volume_24h_usd": 647.081236,
      "volume_total_usd": 647.081236,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "las vegas",
        "speech",
        "trump",
        "trump remarks phrase"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4YM984T503",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XM0CQ9HLD4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6b7da05b847ee247667aafd6562b0ee37f46eeb89ac68020217f8d2b00d31c07",
      "question": "Will Trump say \"Racist\" or \"Lebron James\" during remarks in Las Vegas?",
      "description": "Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 scheduled for 4:30 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf this event is defin",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Racist / Lebron James: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named candidate utters the specified phrase during the scheduled August 5, 2026 Las Vegas remarks at 4:30 PM ET, resolving by 11:59 PM ET that day.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 scheduled for 4:30 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio/video of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "forth.news",
            "url": "https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "rollcall.com",
            "url": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.59,
      "implied_probability": 0.59,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2269.186736,
      "volume_total_usd": 2269.186736,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "las vegas",
        "speech",
        "trump",
        "trump remarks phrase"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S7WJXT8QW4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XM0CQ9HLD4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2d79217bd04c208fbefe4ec2c757a28b5b33fa12094a06a6f979a0950f2c365b",
      "question": "Will Trump say \"Stock Market\" during remarks in Las Vegas?",
      "description": "Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 scheduled for 4:30 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf this event is defin",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Stock Market: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named candidate utters the specified phrase during the scheduled August 5, 2026 Las Vegas remarks at 4:30 PM ET, resolving by 11:59 PM ET that day.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 scheduled for 4:30 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio/video of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "forth.news",
            "url": "https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "rollcall.com",
            "url": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.92,
      "implied_probability": 0.92,
      "volume_24h_usd": 4201.564796000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 4201.564796000001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "speech",
        "trump",
        "trump remarks phrase"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T9B9KZHLQ5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XM0CQ9HLD4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x88c08c4cb3bbf6da1fa8eaf8b65804497ff403f9de25ea7a6072a10286925768",
      "question": "Will Trump say \"Waitress\" during remarks in Las Vegas?",
      "description": "Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 scheduled for 4:30 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf this event is defin",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Waitress: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named candidate utters the specified phrase during the scheduled August 5, 2026 Las Vegas remarks at 4:30 PM ET, resolving by 11:59 PM ET that day.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 scheduled for 4:30 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio/video of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "forth.news",
            "url": "https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "rollcall.com",
            "url": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.8,
      "implied_probability": 0.8,
      "volume_24h_usd": 724.8497860000002,
      "volume_total_usd": 724.849786,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "las vegas",
        "speech",
        "trump",
        "trump remarks word"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MKJTV3HC24",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XM0CQ9HLD4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x717fe2a10db7d773618d68cd65023dd451340b5a9a50fa5becc5bc7cebf5616a",
      "question": "Will Trump say \"Six Seven\" during remarks in Las Vegas?",
      "description": "Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 scheduled for 4:30 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf this event is defin",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Six Seven: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named candidate utters the specified phrase during the scheduled August 5, 2026 Las Vegas remarks at 4:30 PM ET, resolving by 11:59 PM ET that day.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 scheduled for 4:30 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio/video of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "forth.news",
            "url": "https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "rollcall.com",
            "url": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.14,
      "implied_probability": 0.14,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2063.370043,
      "volume_total_usd": 2063.370043,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "las vegas",
        "speech",
        "trump",
        "trump remarks phrase"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VB88KK6X66",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XM0CQ9HLD4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x776232555ed65c68749c8c199706a461e07ecd7f5f5aa20cca82b19d148355b4",
      "question": "Will Trump say \"Bitcoin\", \"Crypto\", or \"Cryptocurrency\" during remarks in Las Vegas?",
      "description": "Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 scheduled for 4:30 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf this event is defin",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named candidate utters the specified phrase during the scheduled August 5, 2026 Las Vegas remarks at 4:30 PM ET, resolving by 11:59 PM ET that day.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 scheduled for 4:30 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio/video of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "forth.news",
            "url": "https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "rollcall.com",
            "url": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2564.629327,
      "volume_total_usd": 2564.6293269999996,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "las vegas",
        "speech",
        "trump",
        "trump remarks phrase"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G404MM9ZR2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XM0CQ9HLD4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x91553b27df6315b1a9c4e259d7a0211a9db9afec8579c299dd1cd78384218431",
      "question": "Will Trump’s remarks not air?",
      "description": "Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 scheduled for 4:30 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf this event is defin",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "-No Qualifying Event-: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named candidate utters the specified phrase during the scheduled August 5, 2026 Las Vegas remarks at 4:30 PM ET, resolving by 11:59 PM ET that day.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 scheduled for 4:30 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio/video of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "forth.news",
            "url": "https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "rollcall.com",
            "url": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.077,
      "implied_probability": 0.077,
      "volume_24h_usd": 237.555771,
      "volume_total_usd": 237.55577100000002,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "las vegas",
        "speech",
        "trump",
        "trump las vegas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-XM0CQ9HLD4",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}