{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-NJCS7H1VQ2",
  "slug": "when-will-bitcoin-hit-150k",
  "question": "Will Bitcoin reach $150,000?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "bitcoin",
    "crypto-prices",
    "price-milestones",
    "btc-targets",
    "2025"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Bitcoin's spot price reaches $150,000 by five sequential deadlines across 2025 and 2026. Each contract is a discrete binary, staggered from September 30, 2025 through December 31, 2026, forming an implicit term structure of Bitcoin price probability. All five resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle using the Binance BTC/USDT one-minute candle high as the authoritative price reference. A single threshold-breach on Binance satisfies resolution across whichever contracts remain open at that moment.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-TR9FG4G9Z1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0Q1VQ392S9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NJCS7H1VQ2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe85aa009b1296e6cb66571d2f1e33db3a91939711dd073486ef1b8f2a53ad1a8",
      "question": "Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30?",
      "description": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final \"High\" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"High\" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "by September 30, 2025: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle \"High\" price reaches or exceeds the specified threshold by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026, per Binance chart data.",
      "close_at": "2025-10-01T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2025-10-01T07:40:01Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final \"High\" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"High\" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 778900.335643,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": 150000,
      "question_id": "CMX-D0FE2B0732",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "cryptocurrency",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1Y6VDWMYS3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NJCS7H1VQ2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0cd467df4030e7da99133ae20665f0905e6a9cbc6706d11c87712730a0434170",
      "question": "Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final \"High\" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"High\" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "by December 31, 2025: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle \"High\" price reaches or exceeds the specified threshold by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026, per Binance chart data.",
      "close_at": "2026-01-01T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-01-01T09:07:41Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final \"High\" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"High\" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1555669.585882,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": 150000,
      "question_id": "CMX-2D982A05E6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "cryptocurrency",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N5NN3CGMP3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NJCS7H1VQ2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe857d6cd180acdb314dd38e583e625172407fa83d54156c78679e601b312d068",
      "question": "Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final \"High\" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"High\" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "by March 31, 2026: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle \"High\" price reaches or exceeds the specified threshold by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026, per Binance chart data.",
      "close_at": "2026-04-01T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-04-01T08:21:57Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final \"High\" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"High\" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": null,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": 150000,
      "question_id": "CMX-00D5997632",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "cryptocurrency",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TR9FG4G9Z1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NJCS7H1VQ2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa0f4c4924ea1a8b410b4ce821c2a9955fad21a1b19bdcfde90816732278b3dd5",
      "question": "Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final \"High\" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"High\" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "by June 30, 2026: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle \"High\" price reaches or exceeds the specified threshold by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026, per Binance chart data.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final \"High\" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"High\" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 54713.574247000004,
      "volume_total_usd": 20530648.856887836,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": 150000,
      "question_id": "CMX-B8B9F7C9AF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "cryptocurrency",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HCFXF53547",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NJCS7H1VQ2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x02deb9538f5c123373adaa4ee6217b01745f1662bc902e46ac92f3fe6f8741e8",
      "question": "Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final \"High\" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"High\" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "by December 31, 2026: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle \"High\" price reaches or exceeds the specified threshold by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026, per Binance chart data.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final \"High\" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"High\" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5441.71047,
      "volume_total_usd": 2676904.5946099637,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": 150000,
      "question_id": "CMX-8DDB8F8589",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-MBVTHVLGS7",
          "price": 0.039
        },
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-B0VWXP1TG2",
          "price": 0.04
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "cryptocurrency",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TR9FG4G9Z1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T04:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N5NN3CGMP3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-04-01T08:21:57Z",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1Y6VDWMYS3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-01-01T09:07:41Z",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0Q1VQ392S9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2025-10-01T07:40:01Z",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-NJCS7H1VQ2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}