{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-L4XLBWP2Z8",
  "slug": "which-bills-will-become-law-in-2026",
  "question": "Which bills will become law in 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "congress",
    "trump",
    "politics",
    "us-legislation",
    "2026",
    "bill-passage"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These fourteen Polymarket markets track whether specific bills become law by December 31, 2026. Each is a binary outcome contract: passage through both chambers and presidential signature constitutes resolution as yes. All markets resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. Coverage spans national security, housing, autonomous vehicles, semiconductor export controls, and naming legislation.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-4H5T36YV36",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.21,
    "implied_probability": 0.21
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S0MVS1DSV6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L4XLBWP2Z8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8d7b8e6341406de4021802ba1bd445b62bafb226130c38c5f08f2346e4815883",
      "question": "Will the DEFIANCE Act become law this year?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if legislation that creates a federal civil lawsuit right for victims of intimate deepfakes is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nQualifying legislation includes the S. 1837 (119th) — “DEFIANCE Act of 2025.”\n\nQualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidenti",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "DEFIANCE Act: Legislation reauthorizing the referenced surveillance authority for two years must pass both chambers of U.S. Congress and be signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if legislation that creates a federal civil lawsuit right for victims of intimate deepfakes is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nQualifying legislation includes the S. 1837 (119th) — “DEFIANCE Act of 2025.”\n\nQualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "congress.gov",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "congress.gov",
            "url": "Congress.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "other official information from the government of the United States",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.09,
      "implied_probability": 0.09,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 27.422151999999997,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "defiance act",
        "legislation",
        "us-congress"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z8JX2QHBR4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L4XLBWP2Z8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x28d6d12eac68223138afb976332da144b44a3ebcf71960b8a0efe4f21f4521c2",
      "question": "Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if legislation that would revise federal housing programs to increase housing supply and affordability by expanding federal financing and grant authority for affordable housing and streamlining federal requirements that delay housing development is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nQualifying legislation includes the H.R. 6644 (119th) — Housing for the 21st Century Act.\n\nQualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the Hous",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Housing for the 21st Century Act: Legislation reauthorizing the referenced surveillance authority for two years must pass both chambers of U.S. Congress and be signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if legislation that would revise federal housing programs to increase housing supply and affordability by expanding federal financing and grant authority for affordable housing and streamlining federal requirements that delay housing development is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nQualifying legislation includes the H.R. 6644 (119th) — Housing for the 21st Century Act.\n\nQualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "congress.gov",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "congress.gov",
            "url": "Congress.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "other official information from the government of the United States",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 46021.55881299997,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "housing",
        "housing for 21st",
        "legislation",
        "us-congress"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WQSC77P290",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L4XLBWP2Z8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x58d735c94571661e7819362dc457b44062b6623e8cb018bb5ca5a52bffe5f897",
      "question": "Will the SELF DRIVE Act become law this year?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if legislation preempts state and local autonomous vehicle laws by establishing a unified federal regulatory framework for the testing and deployment of vehicles equipped with automated driving systems, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress, and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nQualifying legislation includes the H.R. 7390 (119th) — SELF DRIVE Act of 2026.\n\nQualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the Presiden",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "SELF DRIVE Act: Legislation reauthorizing the referenced surveillance authority for two years must pass both chambers of U.S. Congress and be signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if legislation preempts state and local autonomous vehicle laws by establishing a unified federal regulatory framework for the testing and deployment of vehicles equipped with automated driving systems, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress, and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nQualifying legislation includes the H.R. 7390 (119th) — SELF DRIVE Act of 2026.\n\nQualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "congress.gov",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "congress.gov",
            "url": "Congress.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "other official information from the government of the United States",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.013,
      "implied_probability": 0.013,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 141.55512000000002,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "autonomous-vehicles",
        "legislation",
        "self drive act",
        "us-congress"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-662BRC8L37",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L4XLBWP2Z8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x66bb726a78761329326fa100fb541af99eb423b1325b8824199251a6c77024fa",
      "question": "Will Film/TV production expensing become law this year?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if legislation that extends Section 181 expensing for film and television productions is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nQualifying legislation includes H.R. 4787 (119th).\n\nQualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire reso",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Film/TV production expensing: Legislation reauthorizing the referenced surveillance authority for two years must pass both chambers of U.S. Congress and be signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if legislation that extends Section 181 expensing for film and television productions is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nQualifying legislation includes H.R. 4787 (119th).\n\nQualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "congress.gov",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "congress.gov",
            "url": "Congress.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "other official information from the government of the United States",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.14,
      "implied_probability": 0.14,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 106.06,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "entertainment",
        "film tv production",
        "legislation",
        "tax",
        "us-congress"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M87VTKN833",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L4XLBWP2Z8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbd264d3ca85be3e899ba8cf8f5599369c673378b0574c83fc5dc96cc1c231f40",
      "question": "Will Export-control chip security become law this year?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if legislation that would require location-verification security mechanisms on certain advanced chips before export is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nQualifying legislation includes the H.R. 3447 (119th) — “Chip Security Act.”\n\nQualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through ve",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Export-control chip security: Legislation reauthorizing the referenced surveillance authority for two years must pass both chambers of U.S. Congress and be signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if legislation that would require location-verification security mechanisms on certain advanced chips before export is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nQualifying legislation includes the H.R. 3447 (119th) — “Chip Security Act.”\n\nQualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "congress.gov",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "congress.gov",
            "url": "Congress.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "other official information from the government of the United States",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.12,
      "implied_probability": 0.12,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 107.97289100000002,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "export control chip",
        "export-control",
        "legislation",
        "semiconductors",
        "us-congress"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RTKDW134X0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L4XLBWP2Z8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbcf92dd69e289a4bce83a086363bc7deeae3f8d3f0370e8f4b02cffdc7ac8b7e",
      "question": "Will Data center utility cost protection become law this year?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if legislation that prohibits data center power usage from increasing consumers' electric utility bills is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nQualifying legislation includes the GRID Act (119th) — Guaranteeing Rate Insulation Act.\n\nQualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through ve",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Data center utility cost protection: Legislation reauthorizing the referenced surveillance authority for two years must pass both chambers of U.S. Congress and be signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if legislation that prohibits data center power usage from increasing consumers' electric utility bills is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nQualifying legislation includes the GRID Act (119th) — Guaranteeing Rate Insulation Act.\n\nQualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "congress.gov",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "congress.gov",
            "url": "Congress.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "other official information from the government of the United States",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": null,
      "implied_probability": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 86.99,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "data center utility",
        "data-centers",
        "legislation",
        "us-congress",
        "utilities"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C22WWD4577",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L4XLBWP2Z8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9e9d668a4febba154c8e92c425d989505f1655d7dde199ebb1449e182114c627",
      "question": "Will Trump Airport become law this year?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if legislation that renames Washington Dulles International Airport after Donald Trump is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nQualifying legislation includes H.R. 691 (119th).\n\nQualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire reso",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Trump Airport: Legislation reauthorizing the referenced surveillance authority for two years must pass both chambers of U.S. Congress and be signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if legislation that renames Washington Dulles International Airport after Donald Trump is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nQualifying legislation includes H.R. 691 (119th).\n\nQualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "congress.gov",
            "url": "Congress.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "other official information from the government of the United States",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1482.2404929999998,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "legislation",
        "trump airport",
        "us-congress"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JB07FNJHJ3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L4XLBWP2Z8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe73ed5d9cc758f69483433d2a3b063626c23bb2647dacedcd6a2dc04fad2e2a6",
      "question": "Will $2.50 Coin become law this year?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if legislation that would require the Treasury to mint and issue $2.50 coins to mark America’s 250th anniversary is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nQualifying legislation includes the H.R. 5616 (119th) — “$2.50 for America’s 250th Act”. \n\nQualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$2.50 Coin: Legislation reauthorizing the referenced surveillance authority for two years must pass both chambers of U.S. Congress and be signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if legislation that would require the Treasury to mint and issue $2.50 coins to mark America’s 250th anniversary is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nQualifying legislation includes the H.R. 5616 (119th) — “$2.50 for America’s 250th Act”. \n\nQualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22",
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            "url": "Congress.gov",
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          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "other official information from the government of the United States",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.07,
      "implied_probability": 0.07,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 314.089016,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "threshold": null,
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      "tags": [
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        "currency",
        "legislation",
        "us-congress"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4H5T36YV36",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L4XLBWP2Z8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x612126703db7fb7eaa44906b2c7de42300a6cb6e0615c1e360e96e328b6433e5",
      "question": "Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, for two years is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nQualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.\n\nQualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire reso",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "FISA Section 702 reauthorization: Legislation reauthorizing the referenced surveillance authority for two years must pass both chambers of U.S. Congress and be signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, for two years is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nQualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.\n\nQualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
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            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "congress.gov",
            "url": "Congress.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.21,
      "implied_probability": 0.21,
      "volume_24h_usd": 50.83,
      "volume_total_usd": 90872.95888600002,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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        "national-security",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SN646PYC12",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L4XLBWP2Z8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2d729343311bbfbb60b3acfc0baada58fc09a2a77b8ce0cabc9b3b7f4407e23b",
      "question": "Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if legislation that establishes a federal critical-minerals reserve to mitigate supply disruptions is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nQualifying legislation includes H.R. 7126 (119th) — “To establish a Strategic Resilience Reserve of the United States…” \n\nQualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in sessio",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Critical-minerals stockpile: Legislation reauthorizing the referenced surveillance authority for two years must pass both chambers of U.S. Congress and be signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if legislation that establishes a federal critical-minerals reserve to mitigate supply disruptions is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nQualifying legislation includes H.R. 7126 (119th) — “To establish a Strategic Resilience Reserve of the United States…” \n\nQualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "congress.gov",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "congress.gov",
            "url": "Congress.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "name": "other official information from the government of the United States",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.24,
      "implied_probability": 0.24,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 122.114022,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "legislation",
        "minerals",
        "national-security",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6SVMXC25Z1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L4XLBWP2Z8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x463787e54a3b7801c5717b2b2bddb3db59b1dc7f6f3f6edf4c0c2b4064d7f07c",
      "question": "Will the Smithsonian Women’s History Museum become law this year?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if legislation that authorizes siting the Women’s History Museum within the National Mall Reserve is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nQualifying legislation includes the H.R. 1329 (119th) — “Smithsonian American Women’s History Museum Act.”\n\nQualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become la",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Smithsonian Women’s History Museum: Legislation reauthorizing the referenced surveillance authority for two years must pass both chambers of U.S. Congress and be signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if legislation that authorizes siting the Women’s History Museum within the National Mall Reserve is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nQualifying legislation includes the H.R. 1329 (119th) — “Smithsonian American Women’s History Museum Act.”\n\nQualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "congress.gov",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "congress.gov",
            "url": "Congress.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "other official information from the government of the United States",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "volume_24h_usd": 10,
      "volume_total_usd": 3323.6854409999987,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
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      "tags": [
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        "us-congress"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GBQ5LFT579",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L4XLBWP2Z8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x053bf7376cedbf4dc0b58dfcc164c7242e9f55b0b55072845f6a8bdd27c00a51",
      "question": "Will Credit-card routing competition become law this year?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if legislation that requires two unaffiliated networks for processing covered credit-card transactions is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nQualifying legislation includes the S.Amdt. 2229 to S. 1582 — “Credit Card Competition Act of 2025.”\n\nQualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Credit-card routing competition: Legislation reauthorizing the referenced surveillance authority for two years must pass both chambers of U.S. Congress and be signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if legislation that requires two unaffiliated networks for processing covered credit-card transactions is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nQualifying legislation includes the S.Amdt. 2229 to S. 1582 — “Credit Card Competition Act of 2025.”\n\nQualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "congress.gov",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "congress.gov",
            "url": "Congress.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.05,
      "implied_probability": 0.05,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 130.74575,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "legislation",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MNBBWMQMK3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L4XLBWP2Z8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc2a2b9fb879765ecec9e738cb07ce913c379449d6b046e50bce4f9625ddd2e30",
      "question": "Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if legislation that subjects covered AI-chip exports to mandatory congressional review with a statutory blocking period is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nQualifying legislation includes the H.R. 6875 (119th) — “AI OVERWATCH Act.”\n\nQualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "AI-chip export licensing: Legislation reauthorizing the referenced surveillance authority for two years must pass both chambers of U.S. Congress and be signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
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