{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-J1PPP75GK3",
  "slug": "which-candidates-will-advance-to-brazils-presidential-runoff",
  "question": "Will two candidates advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "brazil",
    "presidential-election",
    "runoff",
    "2026",
    "candidate-advancement"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidates advance to Brazil's October 2026 presidential runoff. Each contract is a binary yes/no on a single candidate qualifying. Taken together, they map the full field of contenders across the Lula, Bolsonaro-family, and allied-candidate blocs. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against Brazil's Superior Electoral Court official results from the October 4, 2026 general election.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-G9WLNXF997",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.957
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "close_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J1PPP75GK3",
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      "question": "Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?",
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      "underlying_reference": "Jair Bolsonaro: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court official results from the October 4, 2026 general election determine whether the named candidate finishes first or second, resolving by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
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            "name": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
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      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DZD70KJHX7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J1PPP75GK3",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x42c969b601530ece32eef646b8cbd91ac66e68bdad1fd2ba426f69a2ee2c7548",
      "question": "Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?",
      "description": "General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nT",
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      "underlying_reference": "Fernando Haddad: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court official results from the October 4, 2026 general election determine whether the named candidate finishes first or second, resolving by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).",
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      "tags": [
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      "platform_market_id": "0x003e6ffdf25f45a8d5679831551658e1b54094187f552fc6ef4b26bca404c971",
      "question": "Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?",
      "description": "General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nT",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Michelle Bolsonaro: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court official results from the October 4, 2026 general election determine whether the named candidate finishes first or second, resolving by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).",
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      "tags": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RY06J45452",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J1PPP75GK3",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x023a8c2fd2a78c29c9748a44205e2cbe624d86c11ee41b81d4067ddbbf2a135f",
      "question": "Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?",
      "description": "General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nT",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Flavio Bolsonaro: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court official results from the October 4, 2026 general election determine whether the named candidate finishes first or second, resolving by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
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      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "tags": [
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}