{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-NKSCLL66X8",
  "slug": "which-companies-announce-bankruptcy-before-2027",
  "question": "Which companies will announce bankruptcy before 2027?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "bankruptcy",
    "crypto-companies",
    "2026-resolution",
    "multi-outcome",
    "financial-distress"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether any of 15 named companies announce bankruptcy before January 1, 2027. Each Polymarket market is a standalone binary contract on a single company's insolvency announcement. All 15 resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle using official company announcements or credible legal filings as authoritative sources. The varied mix of EV makers, AI firms, and legacy industrials reflects cross-sector distress monitoring through a single binary structure.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-17FRB1KGQ8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.06,
    "implied_probability": 0.06
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-17FRB1KGQ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NKSCLL66X8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xef4450a0de3206fe6bcdf210e3ffe0e220a8a264a6cf6004fee3de236a1fa42b",
      "question": "Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nAn announcement will suffice for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or not the actual filing occurs.\n\nThe announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, including a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or any other individual or team that officially represents the company.\n\nA definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "MicroStrategy: The listed company's official announcement, CEO statement, legal representation communication, or credible news consensus regarding bankruptcy filing or announcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nAn announcement will suffice for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or not the actual filing occurs.\n\nThe announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, including a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or any other individual or team that officially represents the company.\n\nA definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1.04165,
      "volume_total_usd": 67844.10964400007,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-32E8E5991D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "business intelligence",
        "microstrategy",
        "software"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H6G439MYD1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NKSCLL66X8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3b0a46c8c275bba4b392332b87408219c9b3faaa0c9f89c3db8650aa5e1a6e6e",
      "question": "Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nAn announcement will suffice for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or not the actual filing occurs.\n\nThe announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, including a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or any other individual or team that officially represents the company.\n\nA definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Beyond Meat: The listed company's official announcement, CEO statement, legal representation communication, or credible news consensus regarding bankruptcy filing or announcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nAn announcement will suffice for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or not the actual filing occurs.\n\nThe announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, including a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or any other individual or team that officially represents the company.\n\nA definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.36,
      "implied_probability": 0.36,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 13817.660998000001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-9472721D2F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "beyond meat",
        "food",
        "plant-based"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S3WX5235G1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NKSCLL66X8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf975f70ef9497f1b7c1e0406e57890aa1416ebc1c56fbab7c2c58385f563e308",
      "question": "Will iRobot announce bankruptcy before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nAn announcement will suffice for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or not the actual filing occurs.\n\nThe announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, including a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or any other individual or team that officially represents the company.\n\nA definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "iRobot: The listed company's official announcement, CEO statement, legal representation communication, or credible news consensus regarding bankruptcy filing or announcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2025-12-15T03:09:09Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nAn announcement will suffice for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or not the actual filing occurs.\n\nThe announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, including a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or any other individual or team that officially represents the company.\n\nA definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 3610.488917,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-7A59D774DA",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "consumer electronics",
        "irobot",
        "robotics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5YQHFY9FX3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NKSCLL66X8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x28c2427adaa725c391ba431f2dc88c91e06c91cd0ab59a6fc6e5a756c6f48f97",
      "question": "Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nAn announcement will suffice for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or not the actual filing occurs.\n\nThe announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, including a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or any other individual or team that officially represents the company.\n\nA definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Workhorse: The listed company's official announcement, CEO statement, legal representation communication, or credible news consensus regarding bankruptcy filing or announcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nAn announcement will suffice for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or not the actual filing occurs.\n\nThe announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, including a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or any other individual or team that officially represents the company.\n\nA definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.3,
      "implied_probability": 0.3,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 330.12797700000004,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-23CA41AF5B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "electric vehicles",
        "logistics",
        "workhorse"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9CBFQ02052",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NKSCLL66X8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x90ec7b973fe26d67cc057a0a27ead8f7bc3a206f477a7b65fc82a0dbcc0ac96b",
      "question": "Will C3.ai announce bankruptcy before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nAn announcement will suffice for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or not the actual filing occurs.\n\nThe announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, including a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or any other individual or team that officially represents the company.\n\nA definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "C3.ai: The listed company's official announcement, CEO statement, legal representation communication, or credible news consensus regarding bankruptcy filing or announcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nAn announcement will suffice for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or not the actual filing occurs.\n\nThe announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, including a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or any other individual or team that officially represents the company.\n\nA definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.11,
      "implied_probability": 0.11,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 285.5268730000001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-C4A4BFC53F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "artificial intelligence",
        "c3 ai",
        "enterprise software"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M2J1NRNRC5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NKSCLL66X8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x26e8d0bee0a23b92a89f1ce45ae5585ce78d845b526eed5da4eecbe855cc7083",
      "question": "Will Perplexity AI announce bankruptcy before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nAn announcement will suffice for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or not the actual filing occurs.\n\nThe announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, including a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or any other individual or team that officially represents the company.\n\nA definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Perplexity AI: The listed company's official announcement, CEO statement, legal representation communication, or credible news consensus regarding bankruptcy filing or announcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nAn announcement will suffice for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or not the actual filing occurs.\n\nThe announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, including a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or any other individual or team that officially represents the company.\n\nA definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.09,
      "implied_probability": 0.09,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 56199.32056499997,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-9FD7A98E53",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "artificial intelligence",
        "perplexity ai",
        "search"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VP7KVT8617",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NKSCLL66X8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x78317a8e1f53e5da44926cd52d0fcad1b32fa13085e843ee2d1e75d6ae299045",
      "question": "Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nAn announcement will suffice for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or not the actual filing occurs.\n\nThe announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, including a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or any other individual or team that officially represents the company.\n\nA definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "OpenAI: The listed company's official announcement, CEO statement, legal representation communication, or credible news consensus regarding bankruptcy filing or announcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nAn announcement will suffice for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or not the actual filing occurs.\n\nThe announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, including a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or any other individual or team that officially represents the company.\n\nA definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.028,
      "implied_probability": 0.028,
      "volume_24h_usd": 351.02774,
      "volume_total_usd": 13780.59489799999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-572396FB0A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "artificial intelligence",
        "large language models",
        "openai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VN73BX2MC6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NKSCLL66X8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1153d31ded5fc1376b76f6bef55541eea123808af3a2a4235e4e912ed455dc40",
      "question": "Will JetBlue Airways announce bankruptcy before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nAn announcement will suffice for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or not the actual filing occurs.\n\nThe announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, including a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or any other individual or team that officially represents the company.\n\nA definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "JetBlue Airways: The listed company's official announcement, CEO statement, legal representation communication, or credible news consensus regarding bankruptcy filing or announcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nAn announcement will suffice for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or not the actual filing occurs.\n\nThe announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, including a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or any other individual or team that officially represents the company.\n\nA definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 623.7412099999997,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-A60DDD849A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "airlines",
        "jetblue airways",
        "transportation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J9ZPYKP7W7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NKSCLL66X8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb40d75cef495ea643cb075b2a37f96abe3e1c208afbbe6b5e08feb667814191f",
      "question": "Will Xerox announce bankruptcy before 2027?",
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    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}