{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-RBJPCP8088",
  "slug": "which-company-has-the-best-ai-agent-end-of-august-20260716210246314",
  "question": "Which company will have the best AI Agent by the end of August?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "ai",
    "tech",
    "ai-agents",
    "comparative-ranking",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which company holds the top rank on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard on August 31, 2026. Each Polymarket contract isolates a single named company as a binary outcome. The contracts are mutually exclusive and exhaustive across roughly 20 named firms plus an \"other\" bucket. All markets resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the leaderboard's published rank column at that date.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-G3PMZQ0B10",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.13,
    "implied_probability": 0.13
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WDJH5CYXG7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RBJPCP8088",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2931a52eaf2d323073b166fae73ef963c949328ef7a3640431c91cb86630f0af",
      "question": "Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under \"Agent Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Anthropic: The arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard's \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Models tab on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines which company's model ranks highest.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under \"Agent Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 64,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.9,
      "implied_probability": 0.9,
      "volume_24h_usd": 6.27776,
      "volume_total_usd": 13191.88426,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-9FBB120F13",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "which company has"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G3PMZQ0B10",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RBJPCP8088",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x29fb35940b754af2146dd6cc2f6eb871b65cf4f7e33a7e606337a2e7b08b19d6",
      "question": "Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under \"Agent Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "OpenAI: The arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard's \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Models tab on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines which company's model ranks highest.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under \"Agent Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent",
        "sources": [
          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 64,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.13,
      "implied_probability": 0.13,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5.4,
      "volume_total_usd": 22505.696805,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-46ED203119",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "which company has"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4NN23S9ZJ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RBJPCP8088",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x826181fb9e8f71bf4ddd4a5cba576535fe4e8679941f970a2cf87f87ab746998",
      "question": "Will Z.ai have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under \"Agent Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Z.ai: The arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard's \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Models tab on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines which company's model ranks highest.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under \"Agent Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 64,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 608.993325,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-011D976CF1",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "which company has"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YWV96TSTG5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RBJPCP8088",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1f8874a6262eacebcdbc48eba9adadf574269ec9ae3d7b4ddd7170c39d359881",
      "question": "Will SpaceXAI have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under \"Agent Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "SpaceXAI: The arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard's \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Models tab on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines which company's model ranks highest.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under \"Agent Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 64,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 4023.539416,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-E40E82026A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "which company has"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0PW6CWVNH3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RBJPCP8088",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x36d8e9ece7657ff2105658f274e45ed4a1ce7a4e5cd5ca926783ce844e60aa5c",
      "question": "Will Meta have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under \"Agent Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Meta: The arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard's \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Models tab on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines which company's model ranks highest.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under \"Agent Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 64,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 3329.573416,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-81EB068FC1",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "which company has"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z18MXLQM50",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RBJPCP8088",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa093a893748ab1be746b392b8b6655ad5d0ad37ee50afcb06ee707e137223307",
      "question": "Will Alibaba have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under \"Agent Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Alibaba: The arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard's \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Models tab on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines which company's model ranks highest.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under \"Agent Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 64,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.009,
      "implied_probability": 0.009,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 4268.554193,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-BA94C4D454",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "which company has"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D8KL8P1QZ7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RBJPCP8088",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x90b78ded1ac1390d5cf26b826014eb1149fb3a90e8bdab3e8b62557432008097",
      "question": "Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?",
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      "question": "Will MiniMax have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under \"Agent Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the ",
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      "tags": [
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    {
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0VBRGD0H99",
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      "question": "Will ByteDance have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under \"Agent Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the ",
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        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent",
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      "description": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under \"Agent Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the ",
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