{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-121JR8VDF2",
  "slug": "which-dcms-self-certify-sports-event-contracts-by-december-31-20260630144618248",
  "question": "Will DCMs self-certify sports event contracts in 2026? (multi-deadline series)",
  "category": "companies",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "companies",
    "dcm-sports-certification",
    "regulatory-compliance",
    "derivatives-contracts",
    "business-operations",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether five designated contract markets will self-certify sports event contracts with the CFTC by December 31, 2026. Each market isolates a single DCM: Aristotle, ForecastEx, Cboe Futures Exchange, ICE, and the Small Exchange. All five resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against CFTC filing records. Resolution occurs July 19, 2026, well before the certification deadline.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-VTPDMLKB20",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.998
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VTPDMLKB20",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-121JR8VDF2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc195649baa5c448890740a92516e1218c07f8c7d0bebbf66d4ae5cd7c14d4d1e",
      "question": "Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Aristotle: The listed DCM's self-certification of sports event contracts with the CFTC by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official CFTC or DCM disclosure and credible reporting.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-19T18:30:55Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CFTC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "the respective DCM",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "implied_probability": 0.998,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 4923.8302160000085,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-CB8EEAE25C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "aristotle",
        "dcm",
        "derivatives-clearing-member",
        "sports-contracts"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L93C4KF6J7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-121JR8VDF2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbc191546bbb68e275a87b5ee9b35d9a457d517a36428de9a4c01cf59a32d5fd0",
      "question": "Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "ForecastEx: The listed DCM's self-certification of sports event contracts with the CFTC by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official CFTC or DCM disclosure and credible reporting.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CFTC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "the respective DCM",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.2,
      "implied_probability": 0.2,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 784.36,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-6D22EFDA38",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "dcm",
        "derivatives-clearing-member",
        "forecastex",
        "sports-contracts"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J7G0SGT8Q0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-121JR8VDF2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x044523b155aaf3e311d2d195c90bf53d2776c7e34d7313717e6c20111ad1ad9e",
      "question": "Will Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "CBOE: The listed DCM's self-certification of sports event contracts with the CFTC by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official CFTC or DCM disclosure and credible reporting.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CFTC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "the respective DCM",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.11,
      "implied_probability": 0.11,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 2884.5558670000005,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-AB5280E507",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cboe",
        "cboe futures exchange",
        "dcm",
        "derivatives-clearing-member",
        "sports-contracts"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PD996KRR55",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-121JR8VDF2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x561bc6772f82bdf0a46e97bd5bca17695d48b2c2f6446d00b058fb2209accbfc",
      "question": "Will Intercontinental Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "ICE: The listed DCM's self-certification of sports event contracts with the CFTC by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official CFTC or DCM disclosure and credible reporting.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "the respective DCM",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 630.1800000000001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-5B0C11FF3A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "derivatives-clearing-member",
        "ice",
        "intercontinental exchange",
        "sports-contracts"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q5GLRXCJB7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-121JR8VDF2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8a2ddb44edaf7a373b5d5f276ff706ad07ee436bef55f6955d13901e07bff899",
      "question": "Will the Small Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Small Exchange: The listed DCM's self-certification of sports event contracts with the CFTC by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official CFTC or DCM disclosure and credible reporting.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
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      "question_id": "CMX-E2D7ADC274",
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      "tags": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VTPDMLKB20",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-19T18:30:55Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
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}