{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-29KLH8MKX3",
  "slug": "which-guests-will-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-before-2027",
  "question": "Will specific guests appear on the UpOnly podcast before 2027?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "podcast",
    "guest-appearance",
    "uponly",
    "social-media",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether named crypto figures appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31, 2026. Each of the 21 individual binary markets resolves independently based on a confirmed full episode appearance. All markets resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, using official UpOnly podcast channels on YouTube, Spotify, and Apple Podcasts as authoritative sources. Guests range from exchange executives to traders, creating a broad cross-section of crypto industry participation.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-ZS2ZXSWB50",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.02,
    "implied_probability": 0.02
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YF02ST9LH5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-29KLH8MKX3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd6c2818171cd76e1e10ca36eee3f38eed78a3ae9dabae413df494364b5433467",
      "question": "Will Gainzy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\n“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).\n\nPreviews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Official UpOnly podcast channels (YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or official feed) determine whether a full ThreadGuy episode is publicly released by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\n“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).\n\nPreviews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "uncommitted_illustrative"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.05,
      "implied_probability": 0.05,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 127.14525699999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-14BE74C685",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "which guests appear"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LWTYRN5ZQ9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-29KLH8MKX3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x182228a2435742cfcaaf9ef3387c1d7667d1a4b10416bc74211ca41fa8c12b8c",
      "question": "Will SBF appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\n“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).\n\nPreviews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Official UpOnly podcast channels (YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or official feed) determine whether a full ThreadGuy episode is publicly released by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\n“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).\n\nPreviews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "uncommitted_illustrative"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.021,
      "implied_probability": 0.021,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1865.958789,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-CAB36FB50D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "which guests appear"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5YXX3PHLD9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-29KLH8MKX3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9b3d320db3c4d095ca3feb7dce35f9bba3e4bae92a8c654bb7722ac2d9673456",
      "question": "Will Jeff Yan appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\n“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).\n\nPreviews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Official UpOnly podcast channels (YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or official feed) determine whether a full ThreadGuy episode is publicly released by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\n“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).\n\nPreviews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "uncommitted_illustrative"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.26,
      "implied_probability": 0.26,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1753.114913,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-F867DCFE42",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "which guests appear"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7K8CKR3286",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-29KLH8MKX3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x18682f5c3ac9f66132244ac057a2817a1b908702d424680f35de26cad232087d",
      "question": "Will Brian Armstrong appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\n“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).\n\nPreviews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Official UpOnly podcast channels (YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or official feed) determine whether a full ThreadGuy episode is publicly released by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\n“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).\n\nPreviews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "uncommitted_illustrative"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3148.2281100000005,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-F618B74C77",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "which guests appear"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R4D09L9K24",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-29KLH8MKX3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x27aad6b150842f937852361de3f82b7f8c927a2fa89f8b3c49d955af32e73bd1",
      "question": "Will GCR appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\n“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).\n\nPreviews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Official UpOnly podcast channels (YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or official feed) determine whether a full ThreadGuy episode is publicly released by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\n“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).\n\nPreviews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "uncommitted_illustrative"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.011,
      "implied_probability": 0.011,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 311.902721,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-AEC73348FF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "which guests appear"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M02GVD4MC7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-29KLH8MKX3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1f58934915eddcde4d5a5fa609d74e4129caf2a33777e35eeb859742322d443c",
      "question": "Will Arthur Hayes appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\n“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).\n\nPreviews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Official UpOnly podcast channels (YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or official feed) determine whether a full ThreadGuy episode is publicly released by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\n“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).\n\nPreviews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "uncommitted_illustrative"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.036,
      "implied_probability": 0.036,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3078.557871,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-B44B192535",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "which guests appear"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XNCZHT7GX8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-29KLH8MKX3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x45d5c177c789fd3b1abc3f1f3bfe4ab28e5553aa4fd8bd5d83572dfda751476d",
      "question": "Will Su Zhu appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\n“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).\n\nPreviews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Official UpOnly podcast channels (YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or official feed) determine whether a full ThreadGuy episode is publicly released by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\n“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).\n\nPreviews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "uncommitted_illustrative"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.47,
      "implied_probability": 0.47,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 174.568283,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-4C60B9E207",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "which guests appear"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RD3GFFP0F2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-29KLH8MKX3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc11ec2d6f475145fd3da886d95f5a565aeef45ed8ab264c2e94211708ff7302b",
      "question": "Will Javier Milei appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\n“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).\n\nPreviews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Official UpOnly podcast channels (YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or official feed) determine whether a full ThreadGuy episode is publicly released by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\n“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).\n\nPreviews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "uncommitted_illustrative"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": null,
      "implied_probability": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": null,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-9D16E49D89",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "which guests appear"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LR7B9PXF98",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-29KLH8MKX3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x51ee8b6642dfcb5240bc72a0bef34a7063e2c52c6e053f12ee21a7c0a347822b",
      "question": "Will light appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\n“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).\n\nPreviews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Official UpOnly podcast channels (YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or official feed) determine whether a full ThreadGuy episode is publicly released by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\n“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).\n\nPreviews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "uncommitted_illustrative"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 47.386466999999996,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-9D5D47D452",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "which guests appear"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZS2ZXSWB50",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-29KLH8MKX3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5ab165053e4658271eb3f6a6fd36f59169b076fd7583971a6543dc6b0a12fb1d",
      "question": "Will ThreadGuy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\n“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).\n\nPreviews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Official UpOnly podcast channels (YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or official feed) determine whether a full ThreadGuy episode is publicly released by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\n“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).\n\nPreviews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "uncommitted_illustrative"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 11314.577985000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-A03452FF4D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "which guests appear"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4JT8XJPZM7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-29KLH8MKX3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x030e8b40b28af645fada1454d9d9e3054ebcd1360925dbf2a783dff06ec0ec9d",
      "question": "Will Jesse Pollak appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\n“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).\n\nPreviews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Official UpOnly podcast channels (YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or official feed) determine whether a full ThreadGuy episode is publicly released by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\n“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).\n\nPreviews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
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        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "uncommitted_illustrative"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 548.848935,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-49DFF50803",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "which guests appear"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L6HKPRZGF7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-29KLH8MKX3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc2dfcd440cc94f5f7c69f3c6d71c0a839d753adfc6850c5a8eb95bda70071030",
      "question": "Will Michael Saylor appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\n“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).\n\nPreviews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Official UpOnly podcast channels (YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or official feed) determine whether a full ThreadGuy episode is publicly released by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\n“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).\n\nPreviews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "uncommitted_illustrative"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.079,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 181.982792,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-5F3CF2F6C3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "which guests appear"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PWFX8FC7Q0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-29KLH8MKX3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3aba74cd5357f0859036460cc36d639b0d50daaa73378de2464538337918823c",
      "question": "Will CZ appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\n“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).\n\nPreviews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Official UpOnly podcast channels (YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or official feed) determine whether a full ThreadGuy episode is publicly released by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\n“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).\n\nPreviews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "uncommitted_illustrative"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 442.33700999999996,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-0070BCF05B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "which guests appear"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LGC117XQB2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-29KLH8MKX3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2aecec356a7a750da269869b80cd4c037d9a29230b0b75575a4f81baa000019c",
      "question": "Will Vitalik Buterin appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\n“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).\n\nPreviews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Official UpOnly podcast channels (YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or official feed) determine whether a full ThreadGuy episode is publicly released by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\n“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).\n\nPreviews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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          "uncommitted_illustrative"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.09,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 452.2143209999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-555CFBCB6D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "which guests appear"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P3ZWH1BS90",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-29KLH8MKX3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbdc36c0940e6c9a2ce8f7d0ab497149f71388c049d8d5d505a4e4e15c381bee9",
      "question": "Will Ansem appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\n“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).\n\nPreviews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Official UpOnly podcast channels (YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or official feed) determine whether a full ThreadGuy episode is publicly released by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\n“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).\n\nPreviews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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          "uncommitted_illustrative"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.134,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4335.4533790000005,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-7DFAA5C1E1",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "which guests appear"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T5665N7TX7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-29KLH8MKX3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x95730425d34f559d27f5c14bc14348018ff19a1659160cf46ccd19e557a2e9d2",
      "question": "Will Martin Shkreli appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\n“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).\n\nPreviews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Official UpOnly podcast channels (YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or official feed) determine whether a full ThreadGuy episode is publicly released by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\n“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).\n\nPreviews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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          "uncommitted_illustrative"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": null,
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      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 160.66557,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-B893EB3AEE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "which guests appear"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N46R0JL0C8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-29KLH8MKX3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x852efefbf590bf85c3f80574e11744ee3ae0c08e69d161bd63132cc5e445849f",
      "question": "Will Guy Young appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\n“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).\n\nPreviews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Official UpOnly podcast channels (YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or official feed) determine whether a full ThreadGuy episode is publicly released by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\n“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).\n\nPreviews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\n“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).\n\nPreviews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.",
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