{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-YN45YGYT49",
  "slug": "which-party-will-trump-endorse-in-the-2026-israeli-election-20260610144125261",
  "question": "Which party will Trump endorse in the 2026 Israeli election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump",
    "israel-politics",
    "2026-election",
    "political-endorsement",
    "middle-east"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Trump's publicly announced endorsement of a named party in the 2026 Israeli legislative election. Each Polymarket contract isolates a single party, creating a mutually exclusive binary set across the full field. A \"No Endorsement\" leg captures the scenario where no qualifying announcement occurs before the October 2026 deadline. Resolution across all contracts uses Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, keyed to a publicly announced endorsement statement.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-5WMX4P4VS8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.65,
    "implied_probability": 0.65
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YN45YGYT49",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x476ed5ed3b72d010a060063964553f4f8bcbd525a7751da7117448638b941f85",
      "question": "Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?",
      "description": "Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election. \n\nIn the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents. \n\nIn the event that Donald Trum",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Likud: The named public figure's announced endorsement of a listed party or candidate in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, as documented by major news sources, resolves by October 28, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-28T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-28T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election. \n\nIn the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents. \n\nIn the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties.\n\nStatements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No Endorsement\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 37,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 0.65,
      "volume_24h_usd": 526.15,
      "volume_total_usd": 10760.719535,
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YN45YGYT49",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xfd5a2d096af9461fb8b46ce82b37fd19aa474e9333b0eb142ad94fb8d5009ffd",
      "question": "Will Trump endorse Together in the 2026 Israeli Election?",
      "description": "Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election. \n\nIn the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents. \n\nIn the event that Donald Trum",
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      "underlying_reference": "Together: The named public figure's announced endorsement of a listed party or candidate in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, as documented by major news sources, resolves by October 28, 2026.",
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        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election. \n\nIn the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents. \n\nIn the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties.\n\nStatements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No Endorsement\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x9c7c67d8bd804c20571887cd603872d347bd5e93f99c48762f8fd19e932a3118",
      "question": "Will Trump endorse Shas in the 2026 Israeli Election?",
      "description": "Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election. \n\nIn the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents. \n\nIn the event that Donald Trum",
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      "underlying_reference": "Shas: The named public figure's announced endorsement of a listed party or candidate in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, as documented by major news sources, resolves by October 28, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-28T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-28T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election. \n\nIn the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents. \n\nIn the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties.\n\nStatements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No Endorsement\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.",
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      "volume_total_usd": 367.99,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZZ6DT0RFG3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YN45YGYT49",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3b6bd0a35d7384fec941b313fd94ef5a0878d4992292ecb7f8f951a6198462a4",
      "question": "Will Trump endorse Blue and White in the 2026 Israeli Election?",
      "description": "Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election. \n\nIn the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents. \n\nIn the event that Donald Trum",
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      "underlying_reference": "Blue and White: The named public figure's announced endorsement of a listed party or candidate in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, as documented by major news sources, resolves by October 28, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-28T03:59:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election. \n\nIn the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents. \n\nIn the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties.\n\nStatements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No Endorsement\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.",
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      "last_price": 0.019,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C30PSM2LY7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YN45YGYT49",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x7dd83921e461edf1f42d9f96cc7ac27fb4431752f28ec8f765503aa95703ac01",
      "question": "Will Trump endorse Religious Zionism in the 2026 Israeli Election?",
      "description": "Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election. \n\nIn the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents. \n\nIn the event that Donald Trum",
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      "close_at": "2026-10-28T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-28T03:59:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election. \n\nIn the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents. \n\nIn the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties.\n\nStatements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No Endorsement\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.",
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        "caps": [
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-22PFH9HH35",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YN45YGYT49",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x8cafc8418ec9027e6c31d89e7ab80c97522c95c7f0efaad21926fa59ddad723b",
      "question": "Will Trump endorse UTJ in the 2026 Israeli Election?",
      "description": "Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election. \n\nIn the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents. \n\nIn the event that Donald Trum",
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      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-10-28T03:59:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election. \n\nIn the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents. \n\nIn the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties.\n\nStatements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No Endorsement\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "caps": [
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JK4K90L9S4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YN45YGYT49",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8e3890b932009ceb58b4265f0971670cd94eb3b68157c1b8b1c8c66aaea2351a",
      "question": "Will Trump endorse Otzma Yehudit in the 2026 Israeli Election?",
      "description": "Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election. \n\nIn the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents. \n\nIn the event that Donald Trum",
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      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Otzma Yehudit: The named public figure's announced endorsement of a listed party or candidate in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, as documented by major news sources, resolves by October 28, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-28T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-28T03:59:00Z",
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