{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-T97Q44M684",
  "slug": "who-will-advance-from-the-alaska-governor-primary",
  "question": "Will the winner of the Alaska Governor primary advance to the general election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "alaska",
    "2026",
    "governor-primary",
    "us-state-politics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidates advance from Alaska's August 18, 2026 non-partisan gubernatorial primary. Each of the 20 Polymarket contracts prices a binary outcome for one named candidate. All resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against official Alaska primary election results. Alaska's top-four advancement structure means multiple contracts can resolve affirmatively.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-PRXFHQVD11",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.33,
    "implied_probability": 0.33
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2R3X6F7H74",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T97Q44M684",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x53b57ecd30664c0f0356b3a82e7276602afe1b9660f1d9f11ecffe86820981c0",
      "question": "Will Lesil McGuire advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?",
      "description": "The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Lesil McGuire: Alaska's August 18, 2026 non-partisan gubernatorial primary election results determine whether the named candidate places among the top four vote-getters advancing to the general election.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "State of Alaska Division of Elections",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "State of Alaska Division of Elections",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 240.019545,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who advance from"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2Y8LMNVPK0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T97Q44M684",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd3ce92b24cf19c6c853386234c9211ff89c28e2540ddbeeeaa312665b041942d",
      "question": "Will Gregg Brelsford advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?",
      "description": "The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Gregg Brelsford: Alaska's August 18, 2026 non-partisan gubernatorial primary election results determine whether the named candidate places among the top four vote-getters advancing to the general election.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "State of Alaska Division of Elections",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "State of Alaska Division of Elections",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.1,
      "implied_probability": 0.1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 170.776665,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
        "who advance from"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KC6LHQ77Q5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T97Q44M684",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe3ca06854cae6dd38000c97d51ea7e6c1cdd11297246d95ea54da0fe4344064d",
      "question": "Will Jessica Faircloth advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?",
      "description": "The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Jessica Faircloth: Alaska's August 18, 2026 non-partisan gubernatorial primary election results determine whether the named candidate places among the top four vote-getters advancing to the general election.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "State of Alaska Division of Elections",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "State of Alaska Division of Elections",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.011,
      "implied_probability": 0.011,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 156.33599999999998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "who advance from"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RPCG81WCV2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T97Q44M684",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb8e253d3ef180de6596a972eeebe1e9f9595a2eab051b062355a956a2051b878",
      "question": "Will Destry J. Payne Sr. advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?",
      "description": "The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Destry J. Payne Sr.: Alaska's August 18, 2026 non-partisan gubernatorial primary election results determine whether the named candidate places among the top four vote-getters advancing to the general election.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "State of Alaska Division of Elections",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "State of Alaska Division of Elections",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1230.82,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who advance from"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PTTXGB9DS8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T97Q44M684",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xef8afe2de2ff58d24e8515069609d2056ccfa91b1fac4328f51fc392c1c14300",
      "question": "Will Bill Walker advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?",
      "description": "The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Bill Walker: Alaska's August 18, 2026 non-partisan gubernatorial primary election results determine whether the named candidate places among the top four vote-getters advancing to the general election.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "State of Alaska Division of Elections",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "State of Alaska Division of Elections",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.32,
      "implied_probability": 0.32,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 453.82589099999996,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who advance from"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B9FL8WPTJ7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T97Q44M684",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3342ecddb31d790a0aa690a12b3ef674d0c5014fcd5c3a50afb828b30f982170",
      "question": "Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?",
      "description": "The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Click Bishop: Alaska's August 18, 2026 non-partisan gubernatorial primary election results determine whether the named candidate places among the top four vote-getters advancing to the general election.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "State of Alaska Division of Elections",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "State of Alaska Division of Elections",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.37,
      "implied_probability": 0.37,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 41620.437236,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "who advance from"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-97M3LK0PS8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T97Q44M684",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7fdfdf3089f2926e189998489f530a1a4b3f90ee8d2d52f81d8774757f8ca762",
      "question": "Will Dave Bronson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?",
      "description": "The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Dave Bronson: Alaska's August 18, 2026 non-partisan gubernatorial primary election results determine whether the named candidate places among the top four vote-getters advancing to the general election.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "State of Alaska Division of Elections",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "State of Alaska Division of Elections",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.5,
      "implied_probability": 0.5,
      "volume_24h_usd": 58,
      "volume_total_usd": 2822.693796,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who advance from"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5PM6HC2M86",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T97Q44M684",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x73ed39e6ef4b022710fcfa177b343e68d057045833ce53a322062de48291fe91",
      "question": "Will Adam Crum advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?",
      "description": "The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Adam Crum: Alaska's August 18, 2026 non-partisan gubernatorial primary election results determine whether the named candidate places among the top four vote-getters advancing to the general election.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "State of Alaska Division of Elections",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "State of Alaska Division of Elections",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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