{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-VZWBTXSKR0",
  "slug": "who-will-attend-a-round-of-us-iran-peace-by-august-31-20260623143114130",
  "question": "Will a round of US-Iran peace talks occur by August 31?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "us-iran-diplomacy",
    "peace-negotiations",
    "geopolitics",
    "trump",
    "2026",
    "diplomatic-attendance"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track individual attendance at any formal US-Iran senior-level peace talks by August 31, 2026. All 19 markets are binary and platform-exclusive to Polymarket, pricing each named official separately. The roster spans US principals, Iranian counterparts, and potential mediators including Omani, Qatari, and Pakistani officials. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle for each named individual independently.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-JVKZ7XN5Q1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.36,
    "implied_probability": 0.36
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SDXLC7FZV9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VZWBTXSKR0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x613bd4a97f627af4f9ba0dcfc806e865c956f2863be804956502998e4984cc03",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.\n\nIndirect ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Donald Trump: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named individual attended any formal senior-level round of peace talks between US and Iranian representatives by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.\n\nIndirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.\n\nFollow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nAttendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.\n\nIf a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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            "name": "official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 40,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.05,
      "implied_probability": 0.05,
      "volume_24h_usd": 292.27,
      "volume_total_usd": 3961.456106,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6HCDVF19L1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VZWBTXSKR0",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x48da736f0ec347cf182b5523117e3e20db3709acae090e3f0bf9721bd03fa657",
      "question": "Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.\n\nIndirect ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Marco Rubio: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named individual attended any formal senior-level round of peace talks between US and Iranian representatives by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.\n\nIndirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.\n\nFollow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nAttendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.\n\nIf a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 40,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.1,
      "implied_probability": 0.1,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 4747.41705,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FYSLHB0D01",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VZWBTXSKR0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x21110d1a1bcb00d36614c565fc5ade34551bd0721bd39438e2c61f60c624a0bb",
      "question": "Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.\n\nIndirect ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "J.D. Vance: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named individual attended any formal senior-level round of peace talks between US and Iranian representatives by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.\n\nIndirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.\n\nFollow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nAttendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.\n\nIf a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "name": "official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 40,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.37,
      "implied_probability": 0.37,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 4222.133097000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "who attend round"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JVKZ7XN5Q1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VZWBTXSKR0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2dc45f73b502f87692c4231011f87728fa19c73d8561257c0fa3fc84642f6fd6",
      "question": "Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.\n\nIndirect ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Jared Kushner: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named individual attended any formal senior-level round of peace talks between US and Iranian representatives by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.\n\nIndirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.\n\nFollow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nAttendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.\n\nIf a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 40,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.36,
      "implied_probability": 0.36,
      "volume_24h_usd": 15.829007,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LDPDQF6YC4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VZWBTXSKR0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1557344ef1bbce6dfac379172e7f10d2b4c2fa10fd0e37e228bcb3c2201515bc",
      "question": "Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.\n\nIndirect ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Steve Witkoff: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named individual attended any formal senior-level round of peace talks between US and Iranian representatives by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.\n\nIndirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.\n\nFollow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nAttendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.\n\nIf a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "name": "official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 40,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.3,
      "implied_probability": 0.3,
      "volume_24h_usd": 45.7,
      "volume_total_usd": 6352.882241999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QMVG7H0ZM2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VZWBTXSKR0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8aa6f4a0c9a7cf1e4b86758b406aa3352692845cc572d5a11c3918b1fd18a2a2",
      "question": "Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.\n\nIndirect ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Pete Hegseth: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named individual attended any formal senior-level round of peace talks between US and Iranian representatives by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.\n\nIndirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.\n\nFollow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nAttendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.\n\nIf a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
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      "question": "Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.\n\nIndirect ",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
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      "question": "Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?",
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      "question": "Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?",
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      "question": "Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.\n\nIndirect ",
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      "question": "Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.\n\nIndirect ",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.\n\nIndirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.\n\nFollow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nAttendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.\n\nIf a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "question": "Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?",
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      "question": "Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?",
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who attend round"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7DHBQMD9R9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VZWBTXSKR0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd55719413579c4ebd0b981d475d5e0b5f40febde9e12405556e6a39d51124e77",
      "question": "Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.\n\nIndirect ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Nick Stewart: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named individual attended any formal senior-level round of peace talks between US and Iranian representatives by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.\n\nIndirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.\n\nFollow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nAttendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.\n\nIf a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 40,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": null,
      "implied_probability": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 10,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who attend round"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-VZWBTXSKR0",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}