{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-6PCRBL7TX9",
  "slug": "who-will-be-in-the-burnham-cabinet-20260623004532614",
  "question": "Will Keir Starmer be Prime Minister and form a cabinet by 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "uk-politics",
    "cabinet-formation",
    "burnham-government",
    "labour-cabinet",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track individual binary outcomes for cabinet appointments under a potential Andy Burnham premiership. Each contract resolves YES if the named politician receives a royal cabinet appointment within seven days of Burnham taking office. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle referencing the UK Monarch's official cabinet appointment records. The seven-day appointment window is a binding resolution constraint that could affect edge-case ministerial confirmations.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-9FZQ6VN545",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.999,
    "implied_probability": 0.999
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L4Q5VWZDR7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6PCRBL7TX9",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x1148ba25f6af660e815e4e84621080a5a1517357521a01d87762aec3ccdca3a7",
      "question": "Will Angela Rayner be in the Burnham cabinet?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nTo qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Angela Rayner: UK Monarch's official cabinet appointments within seven days of the named candidate's appointment as Prime Minister, confirmed by UMA Optimistic Oracle by July 21, 2026, 08:13 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-21T08:03:25Z",
      "status": "closed",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nTo qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify.\n\nAny interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nTo qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution.\n\nIf Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x907b30d0d705ca140913f831c1c1b0adc28cb77bbe282e882e85f634282f3c40",
      "question": "Will Wes Streeting be in the Burnham cabinet?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nTo qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-07-21T08:01:57Z",
      "status": "closed",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nTo qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify.\n\nAny interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nTo qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution.\n\nIf Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x3f3f2584cc140da36518c5d78b9f5ca5a66df7e880d79156af6b2808847e0ae7",
      "question": "Will Catherine West be in the Burnham cabinet?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nTo qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their",
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      "underlying_reference": "Catherine West: UK Monarch's official cabinet appointments within seven days of the named candidate's appointment as Prime Minister, confirmed by UMA Optimistic Oracle by July 21, 2026, 08:13 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nTo qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify.\n\nAny interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nTo qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution.\n\nIf Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.084,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 15,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WW32D1JCW6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6PCRBL7TX9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6aa17d68b02a4610aacab3c0f90ee30e4209e38303c41013b36464c628a8feab",
      "question": "Will Keir Starmer be in the Burnham cabinet?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nTo qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their",
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      "underlying_reference": "Keir Starmer: UK Monarch's official cabinet appointments within seven days of the named candidate's appointment as Prime Minister, confirmed by UMA Optimistic Oracle by July 21, 2026, 08:13 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nTo qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify.\n\nAny interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nTo qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution.\n\nIf Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x0d7ceb075dbf2cae08611466b6450e34a62424c52411278770dc52d1f0c6a0f4",
      "question": "Will Rachel Reeves be in the Burnham cabinet?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nTo qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their",
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      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nTo qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify.\n\nAny interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nTo qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution.\n\nIf Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6F3GT625K1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6PCRBL7TX9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6f1e5540d098eb5f40b8b1acf2591b498d6d94884b9832be6e8ba310dbc8c849",
      "question": "Will David Lammy be in the Burnham cabinet?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nTo qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their",
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      "underlying_reference": "David Lammy: UK Monarch's official cabinet appointments within seven days of the named candidate's appointment as Prime Minister, confirmed by UMA Optimistic Oracle by July 21, 2026, 08:13 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nTo qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify.\n\nAny interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nTo qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution.\n\nIf Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6PCRBL7TX9",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x396fcea5a81dba51fd2826ab37097e399d274c7da01c29650c91890fd361ebe5",
      "question": "Will Yvette Cooper be in the Burnham cabinet?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nTo qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Yvette Cooper: UK Monarch's official cabinet appointments within seven days of the named candidate's appointment as Prime Minister, confirmed by UMA Optimistic Oracle by July 21, 2026, 08:13 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-20T21:35:40Z",
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