{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-CX51K58MV0",
  "slug": "who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-ny-04",
  "question": "Will the Democratic primary winner be determined for New York's 4th congressional district?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "elections",
    "politics",
    "ny-04",
    "democratic-primary",
    "2026",
    "us-house"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Democratic nominee outcome for New York's 4th congressional district primary, closing June 23, 2026. Polymarket structures the event as a set of binary per-candidate contracts; each resolves yes or no independently. Exactly one named candidate contract should resolve yes, making the set collectively exhaustive. All contracts settle via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against official New York Democratic primary results.",
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-K9LS5C4Z20",
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    "implied_probability": 1
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CX51K58MV0",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xd426b5e37b1adeb4a30ed0ece09fe70b5ca0aee2392a43c97b18af26b3fec447",
      "question": "Will Laura Gillen be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Laura Gillen: The Democratic Party nominee for the referenced New York congressional district resolves according to official Democrat sources including democrats.org by June 23, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source_citation": "https://democrats.org/",
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        "score": 52,
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      "tags": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4PVZP3YCH0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CX51K58MV0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x576b5f5f1ec1fb585d195f3310148efabbd11ec45679b7835228fb3431c648a4",
      "question": "Will Nicholas Sciretta be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?",
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      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xf7ac5d815c89465ae0d264c495464a3f629b28fea7c732e2ea42f6389178bc84",
      "question": "Will Candidate B be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-08SSJVKJG5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CX51K58MV0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0923a5dcec149dda0d9e693cd495f916e6cb7db0e57845ca0643b0ae0635d77e",
      "question": "Will Candidate D be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate D: The Democratic Party nominee for the referenced New York congressional district resolves according to official Democrat sources including democrats.org by June 23, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CX51K58MV0",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x37bc1490c1d1f4355c2a3042a9e38567f8658a9a7e1c933d6ebdb723be6a717c",
      "question": "Will Candidate F be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HCGPT1XMN4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CX51K58MV0",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x3d11b70ee2323b11885bd733379549b84f9c748a03aec413192a5b9e9671c1bc",
      "question": "Will Candidate H be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
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        "source_citation": "https://democrats.org/",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5RY4C650R6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CX51K58MV0",
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      "question": "Will Candidate J be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate J: The Democratic Party nominee for the referenced New York congressional district resolves according to official Democrat sources including democrats.org by June 23, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NQ9KH2Y3Y6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CX51K58MV0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x190440e817fb284f604e3f0c1245e3688996636360fd01e787214f9690740a42",
      "question": "Will Candidate L be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate L: The Democratic Party nominee for the referenced New York congressional district resolves according to official Democrat sources including democrats.org by June 23, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
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