{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-BH3J95BS79",
  "slug": "who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-in-the-maine-senate-race-on-july-27-20260706182929391",
  "question": "Will the Maine Democratic Senate nominee be determined by July 27?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "maine",
    "democrats",
    "senate-2026",
    "nominees"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidate wins the Maine Democratic U.S. Senate primary nomination on July 27, 2026. Polymarket structures the event as 15 named-candidate binary contracts plus placeholder and catch-all legs, with probabilities summing to one across the set. All legs resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the Maine Democratic Party's official nominee announcement. The authoritative source is the Maine Democratic Party's formal declaration of its apparent nominee.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-L72Y7KJJC3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.992,
    "implied_probability": 0.992
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WQ35N38716",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BH3J95BS79",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x24da2d855d7561b582fb430802eeeeead3de0bc0881b96d86dc1a9fbd9a68001",
      "question": "Will Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?",
      "description": "If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET. \n\nThis market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET. \n\nThis market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chos",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Graham Platner: Maine Democratic Party's official announcement of its apparent U.S. Senate nominee for 2026, determined by July 27 at 11:59PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-27T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-27T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET. \n\nThis market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET. \n\nThis market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed. \n\nIn the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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            "name": "official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2262.491,
      "volume_total_usd": 123546.10133799988,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "platform_market_id": "0x3633e1f046171a19091153393a064fef914669841a7fa49f2503967133903a69",
      "question": "Will Dan Kleban be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?",
      "description": "If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET. \n\nThis market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET. \n\nThis market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chos",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Dan Kleban: Maine Democratic Party's official announcement of its apparent U.S. Senate nominee for 2026, determined by July 27 at 11:59PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-27T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-27T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET. \n\nThis market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET. \n\nThis market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed. \n\nIn the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "tags": [
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      "platform_market_id": "0x1bf6e03e622182ad9445f74c3a4e3be92343a9d4481c7bb8f61ac9edf3221934",
      "question": "Will Janet Mills be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?",
      "description": "If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET. \n\nThis market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET. \n\nThis market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chos",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Janet Mills: Maine Democratic Party's official announcement of its apparent U.S. Senate nominee for 2026, determined by July 27 at 11:59PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-27T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-27T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET. \n\nThis market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET. \n\nThis market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed. \n\nIn the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 20.34,
      "volume_total_usd": 36645.522744,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MLMJ6ZY9K3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BH3J95BS79",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc80dc8d53efc821c44ada24435a9108ca7396e1364a9e9dfa625b6ec4cffd036",
      "question": "Will Jared Golden be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?",
      "description": "If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET. \n\nThis market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET. \n\nThis market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chos",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Jared Golden: Maine Democratic Party's official announcement of its apparent U.S. Senate nominee for 2026, determined by July 27 at 11:59PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-27T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-27T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET. \n\nThis market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET. \n\nThis market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed. \n\nIn the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 159.27800000000002,
      "volume_total_usd": 52512.452217000326,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W0WH10H263",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BH3J95BS79",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0d4f33022a4d5f9a6b260d3023003d363cc5773acdc8a65decddbab383168d84",
      "question": "Will Aaron Frey be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?",
      "description": "If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET. \n\nThis market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET. \n\nThis market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chos",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Aaron Frey: Maine Democratic Party's official announcement of its apparent U.S. Senate nominee for 2026, determined by July 27 at 11:59PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-27T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-27T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET. \n\nThis market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET. \n\nThis market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed. \n\nIn the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "volume_24h_usd": null,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
        "maine democratic senate"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0Q8TD2SBG7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BH3J95BS79",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2f759fc1f03ba88cfeac07147d773f0e1f0bbb46587a3b29766b432c48d7e6e9",
      "question": "Will Chellie Pingree be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?",
      "description": "If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET. \n\nThis market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET. \n\nThis market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chos",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Chellie Pingree: Maine Democratic Party's official announcement of its apparent U.S. Senate nominee for 2026, determined by July 27 at 11:59PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-27T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-27T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET. \n\nThis market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET. \n\nThis market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed. \n\nIn the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "volume_total_usd": 7842.196333000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V73P2S3CM6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BH3J95BS79",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9623f8c0435f3cd5f32c5c8f98472ec78c0cbcd3a44147035d3f8e771cd70011",
      "question": "Will Jordan Wood be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?",
      "description": "If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET. \n\nThis market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET. \n\nThis market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chos",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Jordan Wood: Maine Democratic Party's official announcement of its apparent U.S. Senate nominee for 2026, determined by July 27 at 11:59PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-27T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-27T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET. \n\nThis market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET. \n\nThis market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed. \n\nIn the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party",
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            "url": null,
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      "question": "Will Valli Geiger be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?",
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