{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-B60Q08CR88",
  "slug": "who-will-be-the-next-to-leave-the-trump-cabinet-474",
  "question": "Who will be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump",
    "cabinet-turnover",
    "us-government",
    "personnel-changes",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks which Trump Cabinet official will be the first to depart before 2027. Polymarket structures the event as a set of binary, per-official outcome markets, each resolved via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. All markets share a common deadline of December 31, 2026. Traders face a mutually exclusive field: only one official can resolve \"yes\" as the next departure.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-4S03J5PPZ4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.1,
    "implied_probability": 0.1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2RKW62XSZ9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B60Q08CR88",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x50f740162f52bcef8c8035e5b175c7ad6f5230b7ffbed4cbd5733ff93fc91168",
      "question": "Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "None before 2027: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.\n\nAn individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.\n\nIf a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from the Trump administration",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reopening",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.467,
      "implied_probability": 0.467,
      "volume_24h_usd": 26.972445999999998,
      "volume_total_usd": 5689.456451,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "who next leave"
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H9SR6JPJP1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B60Q08CR88",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd770bf23505473a79f64b4b31bf99b500b8f666cb12ce589c91bb18def334308",
      "question": "Will J.D. Vance be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "J.D. Vance: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.\n\nAn individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.\n\nIf a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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            "name": "official information from the Trump administration",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reopening",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.013,
      "implied_probability": 0.013,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 581.047565,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TFGP5HXZ23",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B60Q08CR88",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc8936588fb95e06f1f249047241cf8cf9f7b876cbb441a6e0376429233b7eabe",
      "question": "Will Marco Rubio be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Marco Rubio: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.\n\nAn individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.\n\nIf a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from the Trump administration",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reopening",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 497.616986,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-74N2T9CFC2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B60Q08CR88",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1afe066dc38c10493b91b3ba7f845ee44f371d930c03807b337350b163a19155",
      "question": "Will Scott Bessent be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Scott Bessent: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.\n\nAn individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.\n\nIf a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from the Trump administration",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reopening",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
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          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.009,
      "implied_probability": 0.009,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1112.7086989999998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YGSNPY45L4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B60Q08CR88",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1178bf565b7496cd991fdf45d0946f68ff2720592117650cf8c78dbfcd311d08",
      "question": "Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Pete Hegseth: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.\n\nAn individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.\n\nIf a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from the Trump administration",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reopening",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.006,
      "implied_probability": 0.006,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 938.6299999999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S33NY1Y1G4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B60Q08CR88",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf51a07868e96beab3c5f83186419255bbfc5a594fd51191ef838421f91be85b1",
      "question": "Will Doug Burgum be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Doug Burgum: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.\n\nAn individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.\n\nIf a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from the Trump administration",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reopening",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
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          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.003,
      "implied_probability": 0.003,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 754.0095779999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FKKV0F72D7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B60Q08CR88",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9d9a09103ce0e25f738bd2e64ee0e2d28938041086a62559d4e57c617d91ea6a",
      "question": "Will Brooke Rollins be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Brooke Rollins: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.\n\nAn individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.\n\nIf a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "name": "official information from the Trump administration",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reopening",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
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          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.006,
      "implied_probability": 0.006,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 670.0600000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GDP554S2J3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B60Q08CR88",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x387ac8c757d95f8a1b93d379e781746221707a13414d7c9f82f5d9979e34adf8",
      "question": "Will Howard Lutnick be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Howard Lutnick: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.\n\nAn individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.\n\nIf a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "name": "official information from the Trump administration",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reopening",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.005,
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      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 737.3861,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4S03J5PPZ4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B60Q08CR88",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2f0b77381a7c68b1d94f83ce8193aa92ca00234313872c6fb28e3a0b0a44a494",
      "question": "Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.\n\nAn individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.\n\nIf a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from the Trump administration",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reopening",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
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          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.1,
      "implied_probability": 0.1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 338.880701,
      "volume_total_usd": 16356.537884999996,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MHJNWBPMY6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B60Q08CR88",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x93bf03d021fe1398d0f64bd3e462edc7f5cbcd514a00f502f835ddc9048e7c23",
      "question": "Will Scott Turner be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Scott Turner: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.\n\nAn individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.\n\nIf a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from the Trump administration",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reopening",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.003,
      "implied_probability": 0.003,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 350.8,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J4GHS1S356",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B60Q08CR88",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd50e439f27487a6f4d65e8fead3188396cd4a296e10b8d42d613e90c291c20a2",
      "question": "Will Sean Duffy be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Sean Duffy: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.\n\nAn individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.\n\nIf a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reopening",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.006,
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      "volume_total_usd": 561.0315439999999,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D7XBC84718",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B60Q08CR88",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3b815edcfc87ffeac1342de91a7ae90c57c1f099b2e396bec2dc58575bbcf5f1",
      "question": "Will Chris Wright be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Chris Wright: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.\n\nAn individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.\n\nIf a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from the Trump administration",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reopening",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.059,
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      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 710.094223,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZF4G3J1QJ9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B60Q08CR88",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc7068949634a05dd807784e713178a1e41e4cadf147f07143c52897e18fd566c",
      "question": "Will Linda McMahon be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Linda McMahon: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.\n\nAn individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.\n\nIf a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from the Trump administration",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reopening",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.007,
      "implied_probability": 0.007,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 846.739069,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who next leave"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-40916WKFW4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B60Q08CR88",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa3a9467164cfa125190118621d7e62aaec6ebd9877567ff5d5e06426784e5fc1",
      "question": "Will Doug Collins be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Doug Collins: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.\n\nAn individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.\n\nIf a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "name": "official information from the Trump administration",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reopening",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.011,
      "implied_probability": 0.011,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 506.28555399999993,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-65XPRX6H46",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B60Q08CR88",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb6fe9436c3384f5908ad5d08c0933e4def60fff84d5cf0e8cd8e2bccec181fb4",
      "question": "Will Lee Zeldin be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Lee Zeldin: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.\n\nAn individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.\n\nIf a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from the Trump administration",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reopening",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.006,
      "implied_probability": 0.006,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 413.30039999999997,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
        "who next leave"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G84SRBJ3Z2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B60Q08CR88",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3a11b6d80fe355d716ed6b5a1549a73d34ab4893a5ad6399f307bcf8fb1d7c51",
      "question": "Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Susie Wiles: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.\n\nAn individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.\n\nIf a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from the Trump administration",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reopening",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.027,
      "implied_probability": 0.027,
      "volume_24h_usd": 169.78,
      "volume_total_usd": 3351.6698069999998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WGH1JPX192",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B60Q08CR88",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5e702b24d2ab6dc48c942837c5f96866d432672045042170e09d9dd8e18c9e80",
      "question": "Will Russell T. Vought be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Russell T. Vought: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.\n\nAn individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.\n\nIf a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from the Trump administration",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reopening",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 473.433574,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
        "who next leave"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q8G2CC7N94",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B60Q08CR88",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc57f32fd83e60e6c7e0bda03a83b9ca17ec512f0b72ac559ca971f824f213666",
      "question": "Will John Ratcliffe be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "John Ratcliffe: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.\n\nAn individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.\n\nIf a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from the Trump administration",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reopening",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.003,
      "implied_probability": 0.003,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 517.232782,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "who next leave"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XY03SDYVP2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B60Q08CR88",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x003727f7ccd4668da72c2cc47bcc8cc05999644677c1156df6ec5ad1aa132d7a",
      "question": "Will Jamieson Greer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Jamieson Greer: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.\n\nAn individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.\n\nIf a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "official information from the Trump administration",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reopening",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 478.38,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who next leave"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HY816QHPB7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B60Q08CR88",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x67ff535d68b35791d874799674b63ab4a92a69f28da1c9685e52f43109364fce",
      "question": "Will Mike Waltz be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Mike Waltz: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.\n\nAn individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.\n\nIf a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "name": "a consensus of credible reopening",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.002,
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      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 518.0055789999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NKJZCPGC00",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B60Q08CR88",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x983984614c1bffb2522dd409e7b7ae3b0abb58e61c81435b0bfecd1268e7abef",
      "question": "Will Kelly Loeffler be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Kelly Loeffler: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.\n\nAn individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.\n\nIf a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reopening",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.011,
      "implied_probability": 0.011,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 756,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S66LTZ16P7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B60Q08CR88",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf872de89616c244d75873ace9376fdd3f3019ff80b468146a824d1fd0ef85886",
      "question": "Will Person A be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person A: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.\n\nAn individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.\n\nIf a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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            "url": null,
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B4BF4QLHQ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B60Q08CR88",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0fdc58deaa6ba28b917a99d7cb8041b25f045f0eef32acd352920dde70468439",
      "question": "Will Person B be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If",
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      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person B: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.\n\nAn individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.\n\nIf a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "official information from the Trump administration",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "name": "a consensus of credible reopening",
            "url": null,
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        "source_of_record": null,
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KB3KXDVV76",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B60Q08CR88",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x055b78a8825ff2a7565bf6d6de36e8cdb72d27143164ace4cbccb1eccd64033a",
      "question": "Will Person C be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person C: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.\n\nAn individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.\n\nIf a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "official information from the Trump administration",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
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          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
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      "tags": [
        "who next leave"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XMC5G67Z22",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B60Q08CR88",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xba57856f4546b301458398cd3772941dfdedb6c796255ba329a620a3184be6f0",
      "question": "Will Person D be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person D: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.\n\nAn individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.\n\nIf a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.",
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      "question": "Will Person E be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.\n\nAn announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.\n\nIf multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.\n\nAn individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.\n\nIf a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.",
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      "question": "Will another individual (Other) be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?",
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