{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-QF15YF74T9",
  "slug": "who-will-enter-iran-by-june-30",
  "question": "Will someone enter Iran by June 30?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "iran",
    "travel",
    "political-figures",
    "middle-east",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track physical entry into Iranian terrestrial territory by named individuals before June 30, 2026. Each contract is independent, covering a distinct principal: Trump, Vance, Rubio, Hegseth, Kushner, Netanyahu, and U.S. legislators. Collectively they map diplomatic or military engagement scenarios across executive, legislative, and foreign-ally dimensions. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, requiring verified confirmation of physical entry into Iran.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-15L4P8C8K3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YNHJ2T30W7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QF15YF74T9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x83f38b0110a93a4e68d2391dc70868ab1f8a9a074de58b0ef50d5312e3fcfcf7",
      "question": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?",
      "description": "If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nFor markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Benjamin Netanyahu: The named person's physical entry into Iranian terrestrial territory by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as verified by UMA Optimistic Oracle, determines resolution.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nFor markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 41,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 49478.852703000004,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "benjamin netanyahu",
        "israel",
        "politician"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-15L4P8C8K3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QF15YF74T9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x80590117819c7b4a2be045d98f7be8247fa13162830e5540bec140d14829e9eb",
      "question": "Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?",
      "description": "If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nFor markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Pete Hegseth: The named person's physical entry into Iranian terrestrial territory by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as verified by UMA Optimistic Oracle, determines resolution.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nFor markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 41,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 60,
      "volume_total_usd": 97223.98053699998,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "pete hegseth",
        "politician",
        "usa"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YTCY2DD662",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QF15YF74T9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x584c9773bd54965e7c1b4c7ca6dd6ec7a7ee47632f41f877be179aeb3c9006be",
      "question": "Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?",
      "description": "If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nFor markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Any U.S. House member: The named person's physical entry into Iranian terrestrial territory by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as verified by UMA Optimistic Oracle, determines resolution.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nFor markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 41,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 572.843582,
      "volume_total_usd": 91856.34528899983,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "any house member",
        "congress",
        "politician",
        "usa"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DM2BXML705",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QF15YF74T9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xaa2d85a0f668d96c7d7efc1c9ca736119b6d230a439daea9998be032e4ce007d",
      "question": "Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?",
      "description": "If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nFor markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Any U.S. Senator: The named person's physical entry into Iranian terrestrial territory by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as verified by UMA Optimistic Oracle, determines resolution.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nFor markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 41,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 31242.392399000037,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "any senator",
        "congress",
        "politician",
        "usa"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YS38NSY243",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QF15YF74T9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x77eafa497fe8ff7a41f540e2920e8897540b01f06b82477d168c4a21a7f9e57a",
      "question": "Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?",
      "description": "If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nFor markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "JD Vance: The named person's physical entry into Iranian terrestrial territory by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as verified by UMA Optimistic Oracle, determines resolution.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nFor markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 41,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3093.978953,
      "volume_total_usd": 36192.55738199999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "jd vance",
        "politician",
        "usa"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YCMWBML733",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QF15YF74T9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb7c3eb14951b4bdbca17460231d502acd843e5a1b2fa4b2e784fc4e86f4e61d8",
      "question": "Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30?",
      "description": "If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nFor markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Marco Rubio: The named person's physical entry into Iranian terrestrial territory by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as verified by UMA Optimistic Oracle, determines resolution.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nFor markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 41,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 22654.363761,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "marco rubio",
        "politician",
        "usa"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0PK642YL07",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QF15YF74T9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x52f23b60032d6e63721bb64c06077c783c97c0c44a31073b8027f31865eff2b5",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?",
      "description": "If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nFor markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Donald Trump: The named person's physical entry into Iranian terrestrial territory by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as verified by UMA Optimistic Oracle, determines resolution.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nFor markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 41,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 71468.09123200005,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump",
        "politician",
        "usa"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y6SRNC3XR7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QF15YF74T9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9c9c61a05eb70ddd796283b86db07efd0c07a4d29b48870987f1c8279217f783",
      "question": "Will Jared Kushner enter Iran by June 30?",
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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      "resolved_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
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}