{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-59R0258406",
  "slug": "who-will-meet-with-iran-by-june-30",
  "question": "Will someone meet with Iran by June 30?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "trump",
    "politics",
    "geopolitics",
    "iran-diplomacy",
    "us-foreign-policy",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which named U.S. official will hold a formal diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026. Each contract is binary and individual-specific, requiring physical presence as a U.S. representative. The markets are structurally parallel but price different principals, letting traders express views on negotiating-team composition. All five resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the same physical-presence standard.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-Y4QPFMK2K4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KXD1S98NM8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-59R0258406",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8c2bbf10427fec47209314396631907b16aa2a562ddcd7629aed4207c396181d",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nTo qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy re",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Donald Trump: The named individual must be physically present and actively participate as a U.S. representative in an official diplomatic meeting with Iran representatives by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nTo qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1115.12685,
      "volume_total_usd": 6933.352538000002,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "question": "Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nTo qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy re",
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      "underlying_reference": "J.D. Vance: The named individual must be physically present and actively participate as a U.S. representative in an official diplomatic meeting with Iran representatives by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
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      "status": "resolved",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nTo qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
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      "question": "Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nTo qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy re",
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      "underlying_reference": "Jared Kushner: The named individual must be physically present and actively participate as a U.S. representative in an official diplomatic meeting with Iran representatives by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nTo qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
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      "question": "Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nTo qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy re",
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      "question": "Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nTo qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy re",
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}