{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-RT2VPS5DM7",
  "slug": "who-will-trump-announce-as-next-director-of-national-intelligence",
  "question": "Will Trump announce Aaron Lukas as the next Director of National Intelligence?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump",
    "us-government",
    "cabinet-appointment",
    "intelligence-agency",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which individual Trump will publicly announce as his next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026. Each Polymarket binary resolves on a named candidate, making the full slate a mutually exclusive set of candidate-specific contracts. All markets resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against a public Trump announcement as the authoritative trigger. No single aggregate market exists; position-takers must select across individual names.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-K6YRC13BT5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K6YRC13BT5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RT2VPS5DM7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb0b2408ad9bcbaf92ce34a93b6a9417e2c44620e383854448004955b67fa59b3",
      "question": "Will Trump announce Aaron Lukas as the next Director of National Intelligence?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.\n\nAn announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.\n\nQualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Donald Trump's public announcement of Aaron Lukas as his pick for Director of National Intelligence, made by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.\n\nAn announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.\n\nQualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. \nMedia reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.\n\nA formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RT2VPS5DM7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0e037428a0fe3a7e1652372cab2b4e3e26f83ed0e9f7bc2edd37820ff9116208",
      "question": "Will Trump announce Chris Stewart as the next Director of National Intelligence?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.\n\nAn announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.\n\nQualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. \nMedia reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.\n\nA formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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      "question": "Will Trump announce John Eisenberg as the next Director of National Intelligence?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.\n\nAn announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.\n\nQualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Donald Trump's public announcement of Aaron Lukas as his pick for Director of National Intelligence, made by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GQ2J74ND07",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RT2VPS5DM7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x88e9e46ace16ab5392ecaefa6816c30a99721f7d5fbacdbfc2823f5cfc5f237e",
      "question": "Will Trump announce Sebastian Gorka as the next Director of National Intelligence?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.\n\nAn announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.\n\nQualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Donald Trump's public announcement of Aaron Lukas as his pick for Director of National Intelligence, made by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.\n\nAn announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.\n\nQualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. \nMedia reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.\n\nA formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3HT33LGLX7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RT2VPS5DM7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5ebb6088e912cd8f289e8407d3c861b225ba994887f7142181194480b907fe87",
      "question": "Will Trump announce Elise Stefanik as the next Director of National Intelligence?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.\n\nAn announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.\n\nQualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Donald Trump's public announcement of Aaron Lukas as his pick for Director of National Intelligence, made by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.\n\nAn announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.\n\nQualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. \nMedia reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.\n\nA formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RYV9F5VJB7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RT2VPS5DM7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb9fa992b816bc3d3c38bf6c4132b1b943f57d0e8fa81c6034e8d45fb18bc7ad5",
      "question": "Will Trump announce Richard Grenell as the next Director of National Intelligence?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.\n\nAn announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.\n\nQualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Donald Trump's public announcement of Aaron Lukas as his pick for Director of National Intelligence, made by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.\n\nAn announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.\n\nQualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. \nMedia reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.\n\nA formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2FK45MYCM9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RT2VPS5DM7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xdfd76f3d3b4b7fd207b9459f8d3b68645c723462444973911cb0788968445c0a",
      "question": "Will Trump announce Robert O’Brien as the next Director of National Intelligence?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.\n\nAn announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.\n\nQualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Donald Trump's public announcement of Aaron Lukas as his pick for Director of National Intelligence, made by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.\n\nAn announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.\n\nQualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. \nMedia reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.\n\nA formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "volume_total_usd": 164,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VWGTH105W0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RT2VPS5DM7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9b6b57e7f117b6ec67ab3b31dec65c24707e15453ce1f19699538089d48bad1a",
      "question": "Will Trump announce Tom Cotton as the next Director of National Intelligence?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.\n\nAn announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.\n\nQualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Donald Trump's public announcement of Aaron Lukas as his pick for Director of National Intelligence, made by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.\n\nAn announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.\n\nQualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. \nMedia reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.\n\nA formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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