{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-GKV5B9N573",
  "slug": "who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fda-commissioner",
  "question": "Who will Donald Trump announce as the next FDA commissioner?",
  "category": "health",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "health",
    "fda",
    "politics",
    "trump",
    "personnel-appointment",
    "us-regulatory"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which individual Trump will announce as the next FDA commissioner by December 31, 2026. Polymarket structures the event as a discrete candidate grid, with each named or anonymized person carrying a separate binary contract. All contracts resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against a Trump administration public announcement as the authoritative source. The \"someone else\" and \"no announcement\" legs function as a residual hedge across the full candidate set.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-DHG0WLS145",
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  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xc458539c327c77377f29cfcecd486eaaca4bc73772ada8b9b0a915b15fe5d1ae",
      "question": "Will Trump announce Sara Brenner as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Donald Trump or the Trump administration's public announcement of Grace Graham as the FDA Commissioner nominee by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner.\n\nAn announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.\n\nQualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner. \n\nAnnouncements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.\n\nA formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xb156a8c89f28f6fa19480a197d4bb25b14d81e9b24f1de24f13425e99a212832",
      "question": "Will Trump announce Grace Graham as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner.\n\nAn announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.\n\nQualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner. \n\nAnnouncements of acting ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Donald Trump or the Trump administration's public announcement of Grace Graham as the FDA Commissioner nominee by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner.\n\nAn announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.\n\nQualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner. \n\nAnnouncements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.\n\nA formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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      "question": "Will Trump make no announcement for the next FDA commissioner by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner.\n\nAn announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.\n\nQualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner. \n\nAnnouncements of acting ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Donald Trump or the Trump administration's public announcement of Grace Graham as the FDA Commissioner nominee by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
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        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9QS00B7T29",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GKV5B9N573",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x872968b4627268c5f0addef4e5c2170fbeb45e427a732eab8a3a83b4ea447cc8",
      "question": "Will Trump announce Kyle Diamantas as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner.\n\nAn announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.\n\nQualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner. \n\nAnnouncements of acting ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Donald Trump or the Trump administration's public announcement of Grace Graham as the FDA Commissioner nominee by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner.\n\nAn announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.\n\nQualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner. \n\nAnnouncements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.\n\nA formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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      "question": "Will Trump announce Brett Giroir as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner.\n\nAn announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.\n\nQualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner. \n\nAnnouncements of acting ",
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      "question": "Will Trump announce Stephen Hahn as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner.\n\nAn announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.\n\nQualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner. \n\nAnnouncements of acting ",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner.\n\nAn announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.\n\nQualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner. \n\nAnnouncements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.\n\nA formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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    "ref": "CM-EVT-GKV5B9N573",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}