{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-HRDT88BKQ0",
  "slug": "who-will-trump-endorse",
  "question": "Will Trump endorse specific Senate/Governor candidates by Nov 2026? (multi-deadline series)",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "trump",
    "politics",
    "2026-election",
    "endorsement",
    "us-political-figures"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Trump will formally endorse specific candidates across six Senate and governor races before November 2, 2026. Each contract is binary and candidate-specific, allowing traders to price endorsement probability independently per race. All seven markets resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, using credible news reports or direct confirmation as the authoritative source. A notable caveat: the authoritative source language references John Cornyn across all contracts, suggesting a templating error that could create resolution ambiguity for non-Cornyn candidates.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-8ZTRHPRBX3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.014
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  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
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      "question": "Will Trump endorse Ken Paxton for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Donald Trump's announcement of support for or endorsement of John Cornyn, as reported by credible news sources or confirmed through official Trump statements by November 2, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "tags": [
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      "question": "Will Trump endorse Winsome Earle-Sears for VA-Gov by Nov 2 2025 ET?",
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      "question": "Will Trump endorse Susan Collins for ME-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?",
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      "question": "Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?",
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      "question": "Will Trump endorse Andy Barr for KY-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.",
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      "question": "Will Trump endorse Steve Hilton in CA-Gov for Nov 2 2026 ET?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.",
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      "question": "Will Trump endorse Lindsey Graham for SC-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.",
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