{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-D2FSS8S8N5",
  "slug": "who-will-trump-meet-with-in-2026",
  "question": "Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "trump",
    "politics",
    "geopolitics",
    "diplomatic-meetings",
    "2026",
    "international-relations"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether Trump holds in-person meetings with 24 named individuals during 2026. All markets are structured as binary yes/no outcomes on a single platform. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle using credible reporting consensus. Counterparties are heterogeneous, spanning heads of state, opposition figures, and public personalities.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-ZFPM7JF672",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.999,
    "implied_probability": 0.999
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7JZYCB6S70",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D2FSS8S8N5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9a7ff0658d1d8d63037689ef7316d1f60d12e98b63b67f2fec44ddd13e8980f8",
      "question": "Will Trump meet with Maria Corina Machado in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Maria Corina Machado: Credible reporting consensus determines whether the named individual and the referenced person met in person during 2026, resolving by May 14, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-01-16T03:16:10Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 10120.105896,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who trump meet"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GQR9YPLMY4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D2FSS8S8N5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb94be43d8a8a9a3f1eae80196b1de733c38bca14520e3c359e5bf91d9628bf15",
      "question": "Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Nick Fuentes: Credible reporting consensus determines whether the named individual and the referenced person met in person during 2026, resolving by May 14, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.037,
      "implied_probability": 0.037,
      "volume_24h_usd": 142.339353,
      "volume_total_usd": 65744.65026800003,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W4CGCPXWN3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D2FSS8S8N5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb5395470c9b87f5ae8ffc719c1376aa89b493adf083e01cb8064e683fbaa18fc",
      "question": "Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Kim Jong Un: Credible reporting consensus determines whether the named individual and the referenced person met in person during 2026, resolving by May 14, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": null,
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.24,
      "implied_probability": 0.24,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 30796.468030000022,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
        "who trump meet"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6WGW9BFMZ5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D2FSS8S8N5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5b02289597b1cbc46128dc702ca432c5bfa9a177e2fa6414e5acaf5f01921fb4",
      "question": "Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Volodymyr Zelenskyy: Credible reporting consensus determines whether the named individual and the referenced person met in person during 2026, resolving by May 14, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-01-22T16:31:18Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": null,
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        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 39764.134875,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who trump meet"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZFPM7JF672",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D2FSS8S8N5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3d6148ee5b42224e83416e728fa2df2242ecb1e025782bece2d4f5b45a2ab987",
      "question": "Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Xi Jinping: Credible reporting consensus determines whether the named individual and the referenced person met in person during 2026, resolving by May 14, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-05-14T04:58:20Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 158415.50417099977,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "who trump meet"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TDSHHPFRJ4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D2FSS8S8N5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1d64e87444a527dc7363c4c4f9b1ba3d4096944d4e15f98ebb0c6ec065efc63b",
      "question": "Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Mohammed bin Salman: Credible reporting consensus determines whether the named individual and the referenced person met in person during 2026, resolving by May 14, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.62,
      "implied_probability": 0.62,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5762.757675,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who trump meet"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WQ8ZLML9X9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D2FSS8S8N5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbc7e2edc598ddd8b361c81da115ba2d2d5e6e51d5909791959dce8447b796407",
      "question": "Will Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Ali Khamenei: Credible reporting consensus determines whether the named individual and the referenced person met in person during 2026, resolving by May 14, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-03-01T15:54:41Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 14509.785538,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who trump meet"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B94RN4PMF3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D2FSS8S8N5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x16f8fc62c90a5fd7ff053fd23b1900884e59ad677b68c01f4df7a780c4081cc5",
      "question": "Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Keir Starmer: Credible reporting consensus determines whether the named individual and the referenced person met in person during 2026, resolving by May 14, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 20609.518338,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who trump meet"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HBS538Z5V6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D2FSS8S8N5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe9d59a33a4d94c334684fb785cacf7c200e760f2003ef76289bfb244387a5940",
      "question": "Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Lai Ching-te: Credible reporting consensus determines whether the named individual and the referenced person met in person during 2026, resolving by May 14, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.039,
      "implied_probability": 0.039,
      "volume_24h_usd": 25.641024,
      "volume_total_usd": 33055.41271600002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who trump meet"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6HQ5NF5TQ3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D2FSS8S8N5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd58137f27be545738823871ba165e09f01228e780641c071be646654deaced81",
      "question": "Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2026?",
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      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-05-07T19:02:28Z",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D2FSS8S8N5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x933fe39bb1a05bd96e4a81de2ceff5accea1ace5dc1cb8c57ff4fd0a992a21f5",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-01-22T16:35:10Z",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
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      "question": "Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x2b0b87367d7a1cb580808b23d0bf82490ce14aa4b392783473a5587c58fcf1e0",
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    {
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
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      "question": "Will Trump meet with Friedrich Merz in 2026?",
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      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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