{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-QZ6R4D04Z1",
  "slug": "who-will-trump-publicly-insult-by-august-31-20260730161613099",
  "question": "Will Trump publicly insult someone by August 31?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "trump",
    "politics",
    "public-statements",
    "personality-based",
    "2026",
    "social-behavior"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether Trump publicly insults any of 27 named individuals by August 31, 2026. All markets are binary and hosted on Polymarket. Each resolves independently via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, which determines whether a qualifying direct public insult was made. The \"public insult\" threshold introduces subjectivity risk at resolution.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-913YR25V75",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.38,
    "implied_probability": 0.38
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z9FCC8J2B0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QZ6R4D04Z1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9150228cb561ed490edc045b41ebc615406c1db07274847be5e7fb6ef7bc0bb2",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and vi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Tucker Carlson: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named individual receives a public direct insult statement from the referenced public figure between market creation and August 31, 2026, based on recorded, published, or on-record media statements.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.\n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements made by Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.31,
      "implied_probability": 0.31,
      "volume_24h_usd": 257.167632,
      "volume_total_usd": 1532.1977900000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who trump publicly"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3DH9PWW723",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QZ6R4D04Z1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x732c490b46937b05aeee788b743b76d86f3a42893295c922b9483389cfbb9320",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult Megyn Kelly by August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and vi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Megyn Kelly: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named individual receives a public direct insult statement from the referenced public figure between market creation and August 31, 2026, based on recorded, published, or on-record media statements.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.\n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements made by Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": null,
      "implied_probability": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 329.18,
      "volume_total_usd": 351.03185,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who trump publicly"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-913YR25V75",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QZ6R4D04Z1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x20aba214ed852c6d57171e378c6974c095ee116170dcf2947a04b454e81118bb",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and vi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candace Owens: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named individual receives a public direct insult statement from the referenced public figure between market creation and August 31, 2026, based on recorded, published, or on-record media statements.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.\n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements made by Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.38,
      "implied_probability": 0.38,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3184.2716189999996,
      "volume_total_usd": 5062.828996,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who trump publicly"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H440DCTJM6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QZ6R4D04Z1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa884aea8dcefc81853bdce086f6f8ec8ab07bbf34f02e57385b2c10c358ff1e9",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult Alex Jones by August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and vi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Alex Jones: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named individual receives a public direct insult statement from the referenced public figure between market creation and August 31, 2026, based on recorded, published, or on-record media statements.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.\n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements made by Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.13,
      "implied_probability": 0.13,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 2959.0601279999996,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who trump publicly"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M2XVXT4JL6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QZ6R4D04Z1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xef4f61d7beb1ad8ac888d472ccfce24fa0124f7f945eabf387d8faea3d7c3997",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and vi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Pope Leo XIV: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named individual receives a public direct insult statement from the referenced public figure between market creation and August 31, 2026, based on recorded, published, or on-record media statements.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.\n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements made by Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "volume_24h_usd": 83.333332,
      "volume_total_usd": 2313.3786760000003,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who trump publicly"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5123MPLR24",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QZ6R4D04Z1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x18c0e34074f745b4d65ead87b31c639e9a09a58cbe50bfe0a489bcca85120cb2",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and vi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Vladimir Putin: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named individual receives a public direct insult statement from the referenced public figure between market creation and August 31, 2026, based on recorded, published, or on-record media statements.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.\n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements made by Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.12,
      "implied_probability": 0.12,
      "volume_24h_usd": 116.905832,
      "volume_total_usd": 797.5473890000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who trump publicly"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-59B9R10412",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QZ6R4D04Z1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x48c201d35454fb52bee29f656d0b381b00b268c9d12fdb46f00e949e4805e9ab",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and vi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Joe Biden: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named individual receives a public direct insult statement from the referenced public figure between market creation and August 31, 2026, based on recorded, published, or on-record media statements.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:36:56Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.\n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements made by Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.998,
      "implied_probability": 0.998,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 2725.0930020000005,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who trump publicly"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PGW6HYMFB4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QZ6R4D04Z1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6f817b148af03f374ac38ae902966d1f21d43edb91f3f130415d7c31634482e5",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and vi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Barack Obama: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named individual receives a public direct insult statement from the referenced public figure between market creation and August 31, 2026, based on recorded, published, or on-record media statements.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-01T13:44:57Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.\n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements made by Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.991,
      "implied_probability": 0.991,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 2489.446305,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who trump publicly"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8V382WQZD8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QZ6R4D04Z1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8a5cc7cd7cecbeedfb8d2e5e36013838ef46efaef593a7c06bb9e13e268ee88e",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and vi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Marjorie Taylor Greene: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named individual receives a public direct insult statement from the referenced public figure between market creation and August 31, 2026, based on recorded, published, or on-record media statements.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.\n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements made by Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.6,
      "implied_probability": 0.6,
      "volume_24h_usd": 25.55,
      "volume_total_usd": 699.9311889999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who trump publicly"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0TF779W570",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QZ6R4D04Z1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1750e03286d2e34288b8712d3a686f94408c1312ffdf35f4d1a394afce382e87",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pam Bondi by August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and vi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Pam Bondi: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named individual receives a public direct insult statement from the referenced public figure between market creation and August 31, 2026, based on recorded, published, or on-record media statements.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.\n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements made by Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.038,
      "implied_probability": 0.038,
      "volume_24h_usd": 48.25,
      "volume_total_usd": 69.25,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who trump publicly"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y352NKGS82",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QZ6R4D04Z1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2d0b94aa700fcd844d4cc33b4bf0a2d399fbfdc1312fd5db50685b5f9a870ed6",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and vi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Benjamin Netanyahu: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named individual receives a public direct insult statement from the referenced public figure between market creation and August 31, 2026, based on recorded, published, or on-record media statements.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.\n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements made by Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.23,
      "implied_probability": 0.23,
      "volume_24h_usd": 13.059999999999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 141.688872,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who trump publicly"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K2326PHFQ1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QZ6R4D04Z1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf08e84b00d056ba848e0edfc23aeff4184776d67f6a8261334c2f6f7aca54298",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and vi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "J.D. Vance: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named individual receives a public direct insult statement from the referenced public figure between market creation and August 31, 2026, based on recorded, published, or on-record media statements.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.\n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements made by Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.047,
      "implied_probability": 0.047,
      "volume_24h_usd": 194.69023,
      "volume_total_usd": 751.011463,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who trump publicly"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WXGC918Y30",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QZ6R4D04Z1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd41cb78e0a2d9eaeaa97097f308b0ec91f57cdb3b22ba8bacd16c904a3ab1dd2",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and vi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Melania Trump: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named individual receives a public direct insult statement from the referenced public figure between market creation and August 31, 2026, based on recorded, published, or on-record media statements.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.\n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements made by Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.023,
      "implied_probability": 0.023,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 2988.3480000000004,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who trump publicly"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N3HR1F20K4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QZ6R4D04Z1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5baac6dc1e1c992bb860ec37f018e0de9e70bec9be60de8502699e7fbe426d95",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and vi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Xi Jinping: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named individual receives a public direct insult statement from the referenced public figure between market creation and August 31, 2026, based on recorded, published, or on-record media statements.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.\n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements made by Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.029,
      "implied_probability": 0.029,
      "volume_24h_usd": 41.99,
      "volume_total_usd": 895.7507870000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who trump publicly"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XWSJZFZZR1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QZ6R4D04Z1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd7ef441f041ffd3621674f43714b0860022ba606d08f143af62e538a005d20b3",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult Andy Burnham by August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and vi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Andy Burnham: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named individual receives a public direct insult statement from the referenced public figure between market creation and August 31, 2026, based on recorded, published, or on-record media statements.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.\n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements made by Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.67,
      "implied_probability": 0.67,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1088.5674050000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who trump publicly"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T680D4ZVS5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QZ6R4D04Z1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbba7c6e5ce6c43cdfeea959485e6840804f9952bbf994ed1a79003e5d8ecdfa4",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult Viktor Orbán by August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and vi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Viktor Orbán: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named individual receives a public direct insult statement from the referenced public figure between market creation and August 31, 2026, based on recorded, published, or on-record media statements.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.\n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements made by Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": null,
      "implied_probability": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": null,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who trump publicly"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S39MHFBNL1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QZ6R4D04Z1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x439491212d3926e964c337efabd58f207364983bc1b578b73880b6d73e0839f8",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and vi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Elon Musk: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named individual receives a public direct insult statement from the referenced public figure between market creation and August 31, 2026, based on recorded, published, or on-record media statements.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.\n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements made by Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "volume_24h_usd": 10.41665,
      "volume_total_usd": 1113.0574470000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who trump publicly"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5PXPTCG0S9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QZ6R4D04Z1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x136494b809428694e3f403c6d43109e69d1f281f445c9f109f0b294a084a4c26",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and vi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Jerome Powell: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named individual receives a public direct insult statement from the referenced public figure between market creation and August 31, 2026, based on recorded, published, or on-record media statements.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.\n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements made by Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": null,
      "implied_probability": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 55.55555,
      "volume_total_usd": 95.55555,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who trump publicly"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TDW4K2LTQ2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QZ6R4D04Z1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbfa4bab7b096765224c957cbf04012ff44a0563081310fe076b892cca3eb4a80",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and vi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Nicolás Maduro: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named individual receives a public direct insult statement from the referenced public figure between market creation and August 31, 2026, based on recorded, published, or on-record media statements.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.\n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements made by Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.55,
      "implied_probability": 0.55,
      "volume_24h_usd": 813.889866,
      "volume_total_usd": 1057.309836,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who trump publicly"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3S6T51NFL5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QZ6R4D04Z1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x18693520fddd3fa42a70e4ef94f221102fea389e6b28cf931fa0b449382cf935",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and vi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Zohran Mamdani: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named individual receives a public direct insult statement from the referenced public figure between market creation and August 31, 2026, based on recorded, published, or on-record media statements.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.\n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements made by Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.3,
      "implied_probability": 0.3,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 65.333332,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who trump publicly"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0NS4CS7SV0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QZ6R4D04Z1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xdc2803f9b5ae50cc9403b8e62aa74df910db7a0d964a726ab5e3917df81aed7b",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and vi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Jimmy Kimmel: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named individual receives a public direct insult statement from the referenced public figure between market creation and August 31, 2026, based on recorded, published, or on-record media statements.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.\n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements made by Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": null,
      "implied_probability": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 181,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who trump publicly"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3Y0ZCS6N14",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QZ6R4D04Z1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9b91d617e836e3986601197e181d7fbf18c46acddc02c7ca1dcdc6dcfa4d19ed",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and vi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Emmanuel Macron: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named individual receives a public direct insult statement from the referenced public figure between market creation and August 31, 2026, based on recorded, published, or on-record media statements.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.\n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements made by Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.18,
      "implied_probability": 0.18,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 839.0521369999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who trump publicly"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V2YM0Q23M2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QZ6R4D04Z1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x81af942132904bfb4cde7a59ee01eefe39b32dfb3a4df76c3afeea917a8bb2fc",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and vi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Friedrich Merz: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named individual receives a public direct insult statement from the referenced public figure between market creation and August 31, 2026, based on recorded, published, or on-record media statements.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.\n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements made by Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.63,
      "implied_probability": 0.63,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 718.021498,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who trump publicly"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BNZ6CDW7F6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QZ6R4D04Z1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x36ccca8a5ed1e2af07900c83d1b5bef03e1553200600779dd92a2713a7c81289",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult Norah O'Donnell by August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and vi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Norah O'Donnell: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named individual receives a public direct insult statement from the referenced public figure between market creation and August 31, 2026, based on recorded, published, or on-record media statements.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.\n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements made by Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1095.16,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who trump publicly"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9XDP881M06",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QZ6R4D04Z1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa49b83d0c1fa3461f87994d754ab9e8f4f8028dd30e4e41e6670fa9dfb1485ac",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and vi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Kaitlan Collins: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named individual receives a public direct insult statement from the referenced public figure between market creation and August 31, 2026, based on recorded, published, or on-record media statements.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.\n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements made by Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.31,
      "implied_probability": 0.31,
      "volume_24h_usd": 20,
      "volume_total_usd": 886.982105,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who trump publicly"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V6FPD77WL7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QZ6R4D04Z1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0ea152e979df6896f9c9f6cf59055112185332627da4142bfc3aa5994b05a935",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mohammed bin Salman by August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and vi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Mohammed bin Salman: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named individual receives a public direct insult statement from the referenced public figure between market creation and August 31, 2026, based on recorded, published, or on-record media statements.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.\n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements made by Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 2.0404,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who trump publicly"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TVH0VFB2P8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QZ6R4D04Z1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4e09bc3bdf8edd9f69a4409475dfe70ead457c984e6c03bead612ecd8c957e5b",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and vi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Kevin Warsh: UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the named individual receives a public direct insult statement from the referenced public figure between market creation and August 31, 2026, based on recorded, published, or on-record media statements.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.\n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements made by Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.07,
      "implied_probability": 0.07,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 15,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who trump publicly"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PGW6HYMFB4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-01T13:44:57Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-59B9R10412",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-07-31T23:36:56Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-QZ6R4D04Z1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}