{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-VC79V9TK22",
  "slug": "who-will-trump-publicly-praise-by-july-31-20260626214328031",
  "question": "Will Trump publicly praise someone in 2026? (multi-deadline series)",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "trump",
    "politics",
    "public-statements",
    "2026",
    "praise-prediction",
    "social-media"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether Trump publicly praises each named individual by July 31, 2026. All 18 markets are single-platform binary contracts on Polymarket. Each resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, which determines whether Trump expressed qualifying public approval of the named subject. The praise threshold definition is the key resolution caveat; ambiguous statements may trigger dispute escalation under the UMA protocol.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-4F75D0CYL9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.998,
    "implied_probability": 0.998
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P2C1CKCSC9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VC79V9TK22",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1c2f608d002e8eba13b8704019ddf00bf3775be536d441721de44bf11f3dcb56",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani by July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Zohran Mamdani: UMA Optimistic Oracle resolves whether the named individual receives public praise expressing approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement from the listed public figure between market creation and July 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements from Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 272.119548,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ny",
        "politician",
        "zohran mamdani"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HB68VKSYP6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VC79V9TK22",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x799459e87e97f1409c4ac045b623c248ea1639c1e87efdae023f74c11dfb61f7",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Brett Kavanaugh by July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Brett Kavanaugh: UMA Optimistic Oracle resolves whether the named individual receives public praise expressing approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement from the listed public figure between market creation and July 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-13T16:23:14Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements from Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.998,
      "implied_probability": 0.998,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 796.179404,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brett kavanaugh",
        "judge",
        "supreme court"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-34YCTL73Z0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VC79V9TK22",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7245ca3fe350769a86e02eaf023fbb91cf2b345623cb894c69c62974bfb6d6b2",
      "question": "Will Trump praise King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud by July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud: UMA Optimistic Oracle resolves whether the named individual receives public praise expressing approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement from the listed public figure between market creation and July 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-07T12:18:11Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements from Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1480.3258589999998,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "king salman bin",
        "royalty",
        "saudi arabia"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4QXSKS3V08",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VC79V9TK22",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7f2f3c92660fefc314accf04bfad5e1a66fc48166fe0731e1713138e23c32b2c",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Sheikh Tamim al-Thani by July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Sheikh Tamim al-Thani: UMA Optimistic Oracle resolves whether the named individual receives public praise expressing approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement from the listed public figure between market creation and July 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-07T12:18:11Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements from Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 2052.451,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "qatar",
        "royalty",
        "sheikh tamim al"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q7CY5YQRX6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VC79V9TK22",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa9ab1a692416470c404dd8a30bdfbc397f5082d4753edfe5d9880df5c90639f8",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Emmanuel Macron by July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Emmanuel Macron: UMA Optimistic Oracle resolves whether the named individual receives public praise expressing approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement from the listed public figure between market creation and July 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements from Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.11,
      "implied_probability": 0.11,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 337.54625,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "emmanuel macron",
        "france",
        "president"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WLG9DQNXX8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VC79V9TK22",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3e9030d8c3fd4ae460479405c57721002f7da60886267bf47f83faa2d23a4e1b",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Ursula von der Leyen by July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Ursula von der Leyen: UMA Optimistic Oracle resolves whether the named individual receives public praise expressing approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement from the listed public figure between market creation and July 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements from Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": null,
      "implied_probability": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 20,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eu",
        "president",
        "ursula von der"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T4LCM7Z7L9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VC79V9TK22",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf11db1d68e2a7a805e71fa1fc9655bddd0ebe2408b3ef7862976903bbabc4938",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Mark Rutte by July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Mark Rutte: UMA Optimistic Oracle resolves whether the named individual receives public praise expressing approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement from the listed public figure between market creation and July 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T11:21:13Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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    {
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      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
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      "status": "closed",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
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      "question": "Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by July 31?",
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      "question": "Will Trump praise Gianni Infantino by July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
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      "question": "Will Trump praise Weijia Jiang by July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that",
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      "question": "Will Trump praise Susan Dell by July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that",
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      "underlying_reference": "Susan Dell: UMA Optimistic Oracle resolves whether the named individual receives public praise expressing approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement from the listed public figure between market creation and July 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
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