{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-775SN6CYC0",
  "slug": "who-will-trump-publicly-praise-by-june-30",
  "question": "Will Trump publicly praise someone specific in 2026? (multi-deadline series)",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "trump",
    "politics",
    "public-statements",
    "2026",
    "praise",
    "prediction-series"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether Trump publicly praises each named individual by June 30, 2026. All 18 markets are hosted on Polymarket and share identical binary structure across a diverse subject set. Each market resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle based on documented public praise. The resolve timestamp of June 4, 2026 precedes the June 30 deadline, creating a potential gap in late-window coverage.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-QJMQXRK973",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.998,
    "implied_probability": 0.998
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CHVNKPCZV7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-775SN6CYC0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9ee5a3bbf90b66e4a99fc68003e394fad4f960d355a2da38e4934eba9a496461",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Zohran Mamdani: The UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve this market based on whether the named individual received public praise from the referenced political figure between market creation and June 10, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-04T04:13:40Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements from Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.997,
      "implied_probability": 0.997,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 890.6802500000001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "new york",
        "politician",
        "zohran mamdani"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7BNZZ41DD6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-775SN6CYC0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3ceddaf6bc63e2ed557d301727a7cf714494500f57f1511507611230d655dcd4",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Pelé by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Pelé: The UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve this market based on whether the named individual received public praise from the referenced political figure between market creation and June 10, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements from Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 50.47581,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "athlete",
        "pel",
        "soccer"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SJPGKNNFK2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-775SN6CYC0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x566f637485a8c7104b2901409d861b6883e9ed2c05e765bec77a0b985f36e08b",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Brett Kavanaugh by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Brett Kavanaugh: The UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve this market based on whether the named individual received public praise from the referenced political figure between market creation and June 10, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements from Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 645.8399999999999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brett kavanaugh",
        "judge",
        "supreme court"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NXC3KL3WZ7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-775SN6CYC0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb741f847b029b8e9c6587618ad23031be9359b186d05e2d0ed4823ca22bbc07d",
      "question": "Will Trump praise King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud: The UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve this market based on whether the named individual received public praise from the referenced political figure between market creation and June 10, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements from Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": null,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "king salman bin",
        "leader",
        "saudi arabia"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QK677YCCT5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-775SN6CYC0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x38b7a8757b49cd447e39677a3b499b7fcc0846b21d340887e219c5ba82c77b78",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Sheikh Tamim al-Thani by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Sheikh Tamim al-Thani: The UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve this market based on whether the named individual received public praise from the referenced political figure between market creation and June 10, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements from Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": null,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "leader",
        "qatar",
        "sheikh tamim al"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SWT26VCQB3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-775SN6CYC0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8d7de9cf837a9d2551711d1246ba6b71439a7098b2005c6b6e972627fe552e00",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Emmanuel Macron by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Emmanuel Macron: The UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve this market based on whether the named individual received public praise from the referenced political figure between market creation and June 10, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements from Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 203.206349,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "emmanuel macron",
        "france",
        "leader"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JK4D4VRT18",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-775SN6CYC0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x95b4d5b9e685226ab802de716248742807603c2893349142ce9f257861cdaf54",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Ursula von der Leyen by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Ursula von der Leyen: The UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve this market based on whether the named individual received public praise from the referenced political figure between market creation and June 10, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements from Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
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      "rcg": {
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "tags": [
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        "leader",
        "ursula von der"
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HNHGMNQLB3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-775SN6CYC0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0bf0ea8b802524258e7ded49f28d60bc89e09df72f0a127def57fc1924d96a4d",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Mark Rutte by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Mark Rutte: The UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve this market based on whether the named individual received public praise from the referenced political figure between market creation and June 10, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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            "url": null,
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      "tags": [
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        "mark rutte",
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    {
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      "question": "Will Trump praise Elon Musk by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Elon Musk: The UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve this market based on whether the named individual received public praise from the referenced political figure between market creation and June 10, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-06T01:30:55Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "tags": [
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    {
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      "question": "Will Trump praise Dana White by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Dana White: The UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve this market based on whether the named individual received public praise from the referenced political figure between market creation and June 10, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
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      "tags": [
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    {
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      "question": "Will Trump praise Cristiano Ronaldo by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Cristiano Ronaldo: The UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve this market based on whether the named individual received public praise from the referenced political figure between market creation and June 10, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
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      "status": "resolved",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
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      "tags": [
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-775SN6CYC0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2486e88d3d3966a42bdf242fb5af39cde42e728a55eb79ed0abeb5f6694300bd",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Lionel Messi: The UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve this market based on whether the named individual received public praise from the referenced political figure between market creation and June 10, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_24h_usd": 177.26758899999976,
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      "tags": [
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-775SN6CYC0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb7e20498aaace4e64e0eeb5432fdade27803d4753c14c9a1af897cead020e964",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Gianni Infantino by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Gianni Infantino: The UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve this market based on whether the named individual received public praise from the referenced political figure between market creation and June 10, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T20:43:43Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-457WCZZ0Y3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-775SN6CYC0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7c0089408f6c3191e7c2260cffa17cece060f173ab13d2e9a398a4d9ffe19a07",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Weijia Jiang by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Weijia Jiang: The UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve this market based on whether the named individual received public praise from the referenced political figure between market creation and June 10, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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