{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-MMBPJJ36Y9",
  "slug": "who-will-trump-publicly-praise-in-august-20260728221212339",
  "question": "Will Trump publicly praise someone in August?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "trump",
    "politics",
    "public-statements",
    "august-2026",
    "praise-prediction",
    "political-figures"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Trump publicly praises each named individual during August 2026. All 21 markets are structured identically as binary outcome questions on Polymarket. Each resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle based on documented public statements. The subject list spans heads of state, athletes, media figures, and domestic political allies.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-MWMKSR3C70",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.81,
    "implied_probability": 0.81
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-20QCXN7RM2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MMBPJJ36Y9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x30d302c65839c655cf281765fa0fae7f5916d27418a55c768ef9d7693b63de3c",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nA",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Benjamin Netanyahu: UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve based on whether the named individual receives public praise from Trump expressing approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement between August 1 and August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements from Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 56,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.65,
      "implied_probability": 0.65,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5.377141,
      "volume_total_usd": 320.268569,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who trump publicly"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SRWCPD3C24",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MMBPJJ36Y9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0e6e9444451420e8a290495b26a7073aa30aba490859924fe3bdd0bba9a78486",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nA",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Zohran Mamdani: UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve based on whether the named individual receives public praise from Trump expressing approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement between August 1 and August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 56,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.97,
      "implied_probability": 0.97,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 176.55863300000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L8SLSSN433",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MMBPJJ36Y9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x24f2f5530446ea6116a021f6f3dbe354a89e9cfcb209dd226c699ebb540732c3",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Emmanuel Macron in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nA",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Emmanuel Macron: UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve based on whether the named individual receives public praise from Trump expressing approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement between August 1 and August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "name": "public statements from Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 56,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.17,
      "implied_probability": 0.17,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 40,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who trump publicly"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HGY74P7BW4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MMBPJJ36Y9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa9da846beeb463014f61ca4c40667dbefb9da2853a5da05c1383af1d423dec71",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Mark Rutte in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nA",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Mark Rutte: UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve based on whether the named individual receives public praise from Trump expressing approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement between August 1 and August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements from Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 56,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.32,
      "implied_probability": 0.32,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2135.01,
      "volume_total_usd": 2778.87,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
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      "tags": [
        "who trump publicly"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J6SCFRZ5F1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MMBPJJ36Y9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x860e846c141e24e5d3562b75f8f433c1ccdfb99dccd7719f8c22d3733118f05b",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Elon Musk in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nA",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Elon Musk: UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve based on whether the named individual receives public praise from Trump expressing approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement between August 1 and August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "public statements from Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 56,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.79,
      "implied_probability": 0.79,
      "volume_24h_usd": 143.675605,
      "volume_total_usd": 162.194122,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
        "who trump publicly"
      ],
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XLRB6M38Z5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MMBPJJ36Y9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x23b70a8294988d5e27ba93505cc1cfb101666f52ace02966e8ad3b4f4291b038",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Dana White in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nA",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Dana White: UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve based on whether the named individual receives public praise from Trump expressing approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement between August 1 and August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "public statements from Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 56,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.38,
      "implied_probability": 0.38,
      "volume_24h_usd": 151.737834,
      "volume_total_usd": 733.0260249999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
        "who trump publicly"
      ],
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RYQ1MLN136",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MMBPJJ36Y9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x556e7bea8ca492061d675af6ece5efab978f47f4937fa7dfc70ac87105fae330",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Gianni Infantino in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nA",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Gianni Infantino: UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve based on whether the named individual receives public praise from Trump expressing approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement between August 1 and August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.71,
      "volume_24h_usd": 190,
      "volume_total_usd": 280.995805,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PXZ8RT3S46",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MMBPJJ36Y9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xaa53311299e1b16ca868b73b54a5c021b2372aa3805ec7307dadd030416b9da9",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Delcy Rodriguez in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nA",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Delcy Rodriguez: UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve based on whether the named individual receives public praise from Trump expressing approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement between August 1 and August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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      "volume_24h_usd": 148.98000000000002,
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MMBPJJ36Y9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7fac107d4dc3d513d8511305fd2135246c2b68e15c6af4913250364709b90750",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nA",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Bryson DeChambeau: UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve based on whether the named individual receives public praise from Trump expressing approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement between August 1 and August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "volume_24h_usd": 48.88,
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MMBPJJ36Y9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x41ad1647899440bfe639818d327b6679a40ff3461509b8a091454f8d794d3c5a",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Jon Rahm in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nA",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Jon Rahm: UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve based on whether the named individual receives public praise from Trump expressing approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement between August 1 and August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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            "url": null,
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      "rcg": {
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.32,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MWMKSR3C70",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MMBPJJ36Y9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa27269d9a2dbd2836024149baf89a865d23dc0c17a23000da13b97687c85cd75",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nA",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Xi Jinping: UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve based on whether the named individual receives public praise from Trump expressing approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement between August 1 and August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_24h_usd": 3186.593156,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NPWPY76S72",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MMBPJJ36Y9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7701268de354b74fa6c47ad9bf5a285ba4edd0a2759663c4b090aeb734a53944",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Roger Penske in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nA",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Roger Penske: UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve based on whether the named individual receives public praise from Trump expressing approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement between August 1 and August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
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        "caps": [
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      "volume_24h_usd": 1738.82,
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      "tags": [
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MMBPJJ36Y9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xdafaf4156875cc44019ed3c6fd2ecec9ef934ad49be678df8694e7bcc46b6946",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Nicki Minaj in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nA",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Nicki Minaj: UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve based on whether the named individual receives public praise from Trump expressing approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement between August 1 and August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.15,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 80.399511,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D5G9R5DK63",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MMBPJJ36Y9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc46ea70e0d369723774a9950a6868a2e9a64a97c38c32a9a6c980a3da70c5c8c",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Kevin Warsh in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nA",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Kevin Warsh: UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve based on whether the named individual receives public praise from Trump expressing approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement between August 1 and August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements from Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 56,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.51,
      "implied_probability": 0.51,
      "volume_24h_usd": 709.582591,
      "volume_total_usd": 1193.982591,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
        "who trump publicly"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-019KQDYNX8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MMBPJJ36Y9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xeb0548ef70d054c88183baa7cfa4f09a0b4b5bea6a23c8e17acfd926aeb45fed",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nA",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Volodymyr Zelenskyy: UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve based on whether the named individual receives public praise from Trump expressing approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement between August 1 and August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements from Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 56,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.82,
      "implied_probability": 0.82,
      "volume_24h_usd": 84.163332,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VD3D325283",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MMBPJJ36Y9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7fce8b5067ff83657365db5b1a49a47f7afa8fca915713a47c52dd17119c9206",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Javier Milei in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nA",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Javier Milei: UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve based on whether the named individual receives public praise from Trump expressing approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement between August 1 and August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_24h_usd": 220,
      "volume_total_usd": 604.343332,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BQHBCQHDT2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MMBPJJ36Y9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x022d9fc95d927be1fc4ad0c3735a33e645b85aed668e25aacdd4613182af86d2",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Claudia Sheinbaum in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nA",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Claudia Sheinbaum: UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve based on whether the named individual receives public praise from Trump expressing approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement between August 1 and August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 56,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.46,
      "implied_probability": 0.46,
      "volume_24h_usd": 69,
      "volume_total_usd": 156.42433599999998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y8WXR38QN8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MMBPJJ36Y9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x08a59c82f20cde4f0b642cca036b50b9262a557eb61dc9bfb4a254cef7dd2e2a",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Warren Buffett in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nA",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Warren Buffett: UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve based on whether the named individual receives public praise from Trump expressing approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement between August 1 and August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 56,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.31,
      "implied_probability": 0.31,
      "volume_24h_usd": 457.777776,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H3S464RWF9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MMBPJJ36Y9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9502da657d9d5aea9ed5c1e0af730f2db447a512f089cbd2c0641d4228ac1562",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Byron Donalds in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nA",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Byron Donalds: UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve based on whether the named individual receives public praise from Trump expressing approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement between August 1 and August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T04:15:14Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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            "url": null,
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 56,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "volume_24h_usd": 810.2796,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LSG7DHFTT3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MMBPJJ36Y9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xce28d40f67e917d493e0525a9e97adc23f04ade9d7a2da1d59ab3e175c7cbd60",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Doug Ford in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nA",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Doug Ford: UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve based on whether the named individual receives public praise from Trump expressing approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement between August 1 and August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.14,
      "implied_probability": 0.14,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 652.427141,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HXYND3Q1L8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MMBPJJ36Y9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x29f747908e9b320a32e10f93773f0c22bd344d23a6561ad53655a36c0441be17",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Andy Burnham in August?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nA",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Andy Burnham: UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve based on whether the named individual receives public praise from Trump expressing approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement between August 1 and August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.\n\nAny statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., \"He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents.\" would qualify).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements from Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 56,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.4,
      "implied_probability": 0.4,
      "volume_24h_usd": 89.56,
      "volume_total_usd": 940.3000000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "who trump publicly"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H3S464RWF9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-04T04:15:14Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-MMBPJJ36Y9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}