{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-S60V5G2ZX5",
  "slug": "who-will-win-the-dem-nomination-for-ann-arbor-mayor",
  "question": "Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "elections",
    "politics",
    "democratic-primary",
    "ann-arbor",
    "local-government",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Democratic nominee outcome from the Ann Arbor mayoral primary on August 4, 2026. All 13 contracts are binary legs on Polymarket, each pricing one candidate's nomination probability. Named candidates include Christopher Taylor, Carlos Fiorello Gordish, and Yousef Rabhi; remaining legs use placeholder labels. Resolution uses Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against official Democratic Party primary results.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-DJ02BC6883",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.63,
    "implied_probability": 0.63
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DJ02BC6883",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S60V5G2ZX5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x787afdd4215ac4b22ec38bf579154f3dd599dda6f39eb34fdf2f6faf0f16d9e2",
      "question": "Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the Ann Arbor, Michigan Mayoral election. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The Democratic Party nominee announced following the August 4, 2026 Ann Arbor mayoral primary, confirmed by official Democratic sources including democrats.org.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the Ann Arbor, Michigan Mayoral election. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://democrats.org/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.63,
      "implied_probability": 0.63,
      "volume_24h_usd": 650.8577760000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 8631.030761,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ann arbor",
        "christopher taylor",
        "democrat",
        "mayor"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QR4K7B0GK4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S60V5G2ZX5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x12fa1163e9ba11e7b649931f1d27f4b76204bacffecf069b57e73158f5b044a3",
      "question": "Will Carlos Fiorello Gordish be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the Ann Arbor, Michigan Mayoral election. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The Democratic Party nominee announced following the August 4, 2026 Ann Arbor mayoral primary, confirmed by official Democratic sources including democrats.org.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the Ann Arbor, Michigan Mayoral election. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://democrats.org/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.003,
      "implied_probability": 0.003,
      "volume_24h_usd": 33.03,
      "volume_total_usd": 136.03,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ann arbor",
        "carlos fiorello gordish",
        "democrat",
        "mayor"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CTPX15GHN0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S60V5G2ZX5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8eee624102156df0ecaf984221f1ed600593d0280be680d4e6bf426231b86c09",
      "question": "Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the Ann Arbor, Michigan Mayoral election. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The Democratic Party nominee announced following the August 4, 2026 Ann Arbor mayoral primary, confirmed by official Democratic sources including democrats.org.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the Ann Arbor, Michigan Mayoral election. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://democrats.org/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.33,
      "implied_probability": 0.33,
      "volume_24h_usd": 82.41,
      "volume_total_usd": 4197.928409999998,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ann arbor",
        "democrat",
        "mayor",
        "yousef rabhi"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-S60V5G2ZX5",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}