{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-2L4N5YMQF2",
  "slug": "will-3jane-launch-a-token-by",
  "question": "Will 3Jane launch a token by 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "token-launch",
    "3jane",
    "2028",
    "defi-governance",
    "project-milestone"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether 3Jane will launch a token by each successive quarterly deadline through December 31, 2027. The seven contracts form a term structure: earlier expiries price near-term launch probability, while later expiries embed cumulative odds across the full horizon. Each resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, with confirmation required from 3Jane's primary communications channel or credible reporting. A launch confirmed before any deadline settles all earlier contracts simultaneously, creating implicit correlation across the strip.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-KXBY1K8ZV6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.87,
    "implied_probability": 0.87
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-82N17R8F91",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2L4N5YMQF2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8a2b1673fb311db06e5e1108fbe06e34f91be0f01c0a68180aaea57ab6d3e3a2",
      "question": "Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if 3Jane officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly an official token launched by 3Jane will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from 3Jane (https://x.com/3janexyz), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30, 2026: Official token launch by the named company, confirmed by its primary communications channel or credible reporting consensus, resolves by January 1, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T10:54:52Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if 3Jane officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly an official token launched by 3Jane will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from 3Jane (https://x.com/3janexyz), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/3janexyz",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/3janexyz",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "3Jane (https://x.com/3janexyz)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 44,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 4863.188571000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-D03BE62A30",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "3jane",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q6QTR9W5R2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2L4N5YMQF2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x57de81dcf77a96384ea34f332c895449f0b4edff5d46b97ada21a2053f478d4e",
      "question": "Will 3jane launch a token by September 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if 3Jane officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly an official token launched by 3Jane will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from 3Jane (https://x.com/3janexyz), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "September 30, 2026: Official token launch by the named company, confirmed by its primary communications channel or credible reporting consensus, resolves by January 1, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if 3Jane officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly an official token launched by 3Jane will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from 3Jane (https://x.com/3janexyz), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/3janexyz",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/3janexyz",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "3Jane (https://x.com/3janexyz)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 44,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": null,
      "implied_probability": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": null,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-64F6A82ECC",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "3jane",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SWHC2WP1Y7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2L4N5YMQF2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3c3215d3e88710d0f2f62ba9458d29e1350fcd5608112d6b8791934b587d30db",
      "question": "Will 3jane launch a token by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if 3Jane officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly an official token launched by 3Jane will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from 3Jane (https://x.com/3janexyz), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2026: Official token launch by the named company, confirmed by its primary communications channel or credible reporting consensus, resolves by January 1, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if 3Jane officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly an official token launched by 3Jane will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from 3Jane (https://x.com/3janexyz), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/3janexyz",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/3janexyz",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "3Jane (https://x.com/3janexyz)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 44,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.59,
      "implied_probability": 0.59,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3.7,
      "volume_total_usd": 7830.431376999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-5101BF189B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "3jane",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5R6Q17TJ16",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2L4N5YMQF2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x474cbf28f060ece7e15b77459d08582d374f3624281bea0d5ec794ddd8302066",
      "question": "Will 3jane launch a token by March 31, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if 3Jane officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly an official token launched by 3Jane will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from 3Jane (https://x.com/3janexyz), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "March 31, 2027: Official token launch by the named company, confirmed by its primary communications channel or credible reporting consensus, resolves by January 1, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if 3Jane officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly an official token launched by 3Jane will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from 3Jane (https://x.com/3janexyz), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/3janexyz",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/3janexyz",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "3Jane (https://x.com/3janexyz)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 44,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": null,
      "implied_probability": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": null,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-8D6468D62D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "3jane",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KXBY1K8ZV6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2L4N5YMQF2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x79c6e0184906aa6a58e4395922f2a002e6feda7b3904555e082499622a6cb36b",
      "question": "Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if 3Jane officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly an official token launched by 3Jane will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from 3Jane (https://x.com/3janexyz), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30, 2027: Official token launch by the named company, confirmed by its primary communications channel or credible reporting consensus, resolves by January 1, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if 3Jane officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly an official token launched by 3Jane will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from 3Jane (https://x.com/3janexyz), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/3janexyz",
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            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/3janexyz",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "3Jane (https://x.com/3janexyz)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 44,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.87,
      "implied_probability": 0.87,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 9302.694237,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-278AF31529",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "3jane",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G3WM494TV1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2L4N5YMQF2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3531d031e3874489a9f146ec1182cfdc28bf25ef1a6e8081214de38d97b4138d",
      "question": "Will 3jane launch a token by September 30, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if 3Jane officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly an official token launched by 3Jane will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from 3Jane (https://x.com/3janexyz), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "September 30, 2027: Official token launch by the named company, confirmed by its primary communications channel or credible reporting consensus, resolves by January 1, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if 3Jane officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly an official token launched by 3Jane will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from 3Jane (https://x.com/3janexyz), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/3janexyz",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/3janexyz",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "3Jane (https://x.com/3janexyz)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 44,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": null,
      "implied_probability": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": null,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-9735DF60C1",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "3jane",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z5RVTJHM10",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2L4N5YMQF2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x866fe6105120c682c4fa5e52645300e8f2a35c1d4014f32ae6f29d76794808d0",
      "question": "Will 3jane launch a token by December 31, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if 3Jane officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly an official token launched by 3Jane will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from 3Jane (https://x.com/3janexyz), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2027: Official token launch by the named company, confirmed by its primary communications channel or credible reporting consensus, resolves by January 1, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if 3Jane officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly an official token launched by 3Jane will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from 3Jane (https://x.com/3janexyz), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/3janexyz",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/3janexyz",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "3Jane (https://x.com/3janexyz)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
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        "score": 44,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": null,
      "implied_probability": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": null,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-6D6D69E320",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "3jane",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q6QTR9W5R2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5R6Q17TJ16",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
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